Friday, October 12, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA/Denver Post Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA/Denver Post Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 48% (46%) 
  • Barack Obama 47% (47%)
If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
  • Mitt Romney 46% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (45%)
  • Gary Johnson 2% (3%)
  • Undecided 5%
Survey of 614 likely Colorado voters was conducted October 9-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Republican; 34% Democrat; 30% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Though there was a national enthusiasm bump for Romney — and higher poll numbers — after that debate, 83 percent of those Colorado voters polled say the debate did not change their mind, according to the Post's poll.
Of the small group of voters who changed their mind after the first debate, however, twice as many switched to Romney as switched to Obama.
Beyond the top-line numbers, there wasn't a lot of movement in whom voters trusted with the economy and who was more likeable. Slightly more people trust Romney to fix the economy and reduce the federal deficit, but voters say Obama is more in touch with the average working person.
The Colorado voters who changed their minds the most, according to the Post poll, were college-educated. Romney and Obama have switched places with those voters. Five weeks ago, Obama led this group by five points and now Romney leads it by five points.

No comments: