Poll Watch: Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP 2012 Presidential Survey

IBD/CSM/TIPP 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47.3% (46.9%) {46.7%} [46.4%] (46.4%) {45.7%} [43.7%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 45.7% (46.6%) {46.0%} [45.7%] (45.7%) {46.9%} [48.7%] (47%)
• Not sure 4.9% (5.0%) {5.7%} [5.9%] (5.9%) {5.5%} [6.1%] (6.7%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 46% (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {51%} [54%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 42% (40%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [34%] (34%)
• Not sure 9% (10%) {12%} [12%] (12%) {11%} [12%] (12%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 56% (56%) {53%} [52%] (53%) {54%} [54%] (57%)
• Mitt Romney 39% (38%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (33%)
• Not sure 5% (5%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (9%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [57%] (54%)
• Barack Obama 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (38%)
• Not sure 6% (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {41%} [41%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (41%)
• Not sure 4% (4%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%)

Survey of 931 likely voters was conducted October 10-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID (among registered voters): 37% (37%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 30% (30%) {30%} [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (31%) Republican; 32% (32%) {32%} [32%] (34%) {30%} [30%] (30%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-8, 2012 are in parentheses.