Poll Watch: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (45%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {37%} [41%] (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (46%) {43%} [41%]
• Barack Obama 47% [45%] (47%) {46%} [48%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% [52%] (52%) {53%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [42%] (38%) {39%} [39%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% [46%] (49%) {50%} [48%] / 45% [46%] (45%) {42%} [45%] {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (39%) {40%} [37%] / 47% [45%] (51%) {48%} [49%] {-4%}

Please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job.

• Approve 46% [47%] (47%) {47%} [43%]
  
• Disapprove 46% [46%] (45%) {44%} [47%] 
  

Did you happen to watch this week’s presidential debate between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, or didn’t you get a chance to see it? 

• Yes 72%
• No 27%
  

(If Yes) Regardless of which presidential candidate you support, do you think that Mitt Romney or Barack Obama did a better job in this week’s presidential debate?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Which of the following best describes the effect that last week’s presidential debate had on your vote in the upcoming presidential election. Did it make you:

• Much more likely to vote for Barack Obama 14%
• Slightly more likely to vote for Barack Obama 13%
• Much more likely to vote for Mitt Romney 15%
• Slightly more likely to vote for Mitt Romney 4%
• Debate had no effect on vote for president in the upcoming election 54%

Survey of 444 likely voters was conducted October 17-21, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration: 46% [47%] (47%) {49%} [49%] Democrat; 40% [42%] (39%) {39%} [40%] Republican; 12% [10%] (12%) {8%} [10%] Independent; 2% [2%] {4%} [2%] Other. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23 - April 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 9-28, 2011 are in parentheses.