Tuesday, October 09, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 47% (47%) {50%} [52%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% (45%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% (38%) {42%} [50%]
  • Mitt Romney 37% (45%) {47%} [43%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% [51%] (54%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [45%] (40%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% [59%]
  • Mitt Romney 45% [38%]
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 40%  (29%) {28%} [20%]
  • Somewhat favorable 11% (20%) {26%} [30%]
  • Somewhat unfavorable 13% (14%) {14%} [18%]
  • Very unfavorable 34% (36%) {31%} [30%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 51% (49%) {54%} [50%] (49%) / 47% (50%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {+4%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
  • Strongly approve 31% (32%) {33%} [31%] (28%)
  • Somewhat approve 15% (16%) {18%} [24%] (22%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 6% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • Strongly disapprove 45% (42%) {42%} [38%] (40%)
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 46% (48%) {51%} [55%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 51% (50%) {47%} [44%] (47%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Nevada voters say they are certain of their vote. Among these voters, it's Romney 51%, Obama 49%.
When it comes to whom they trust more to handle the economy, Romney has the edge by a 50% to 45% margin in Nevada. Voters are evenly divided over who can better handle national security: 48% say Romney, 47% Obama.
Forty-two percent (42%) of Nevada voters believe that the economy will get better if the president is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress. Slightly more (47%) think the economy will improve if Romney wins and the GOP takes over Congress. Nearly half (48%) of voters feel the economy will get worse under Obama and the Democrats, compared to 38% who feel that will happen if Romney and Republicans are in charge.

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