Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [47%] (47%) {50%} [52%] (50%)
  
• Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 56% [47%] (38%) {42%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [37%] (45%) {47%} [43%]

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 36% [40%]  (29%) {28%} [20%]
• Somewhat favorable 14% [11%] (20%) {26%} [30%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% [13%] (14%) {14%} [18%]
• Very unfavorable 34% [34%] (36%) {31%} [30%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (49%) {54%} [50%] (49%) / 50% [47%] (50%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {0%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 28% [31%] (32%) {33%} [31%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 22% [15%] (16%) {18%} [24%] (22%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [6%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• Strongly disapprove 42% [45%] (42%) {42%} [38%] (40%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 50% [46%] (48%) {51%} [55%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% [51%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (47%)
  

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Nevada voters say they already are certain of how they will vote. Among these voters, it's Obama 51%, Obama 49%.

Ninety-one percent (91%) say they are certain to vote this year. Among these voters, it’s Romney 49%, Obama 48%.

Obama earns 92% support from Nevada Democrats, while 86% of the state's Republicans back Romney.

Nevada voters are narrowly divided over which candidate they trust more to handle the economy and national security issues. Romney has a 47% to 45% edge in trust when it comes to handling the economy. Obama has a 48% to 47% edge in the area of national security.