Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 49% {47%} [46%] (49%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  
• Josh Mandel (R) 44% {46%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (40%)
• Some other candidate 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 5% {4%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Sherrod Brown (D) 49% {45%} [38%] (49%)
• Josh Mandel (R) 41% {43%} [49%] (38%) 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Sherrod Brown

• Very favorable 30% {27%} [25%] (26%)
• Somewhat favorable 19% {17%} [20%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% {16%} [17%] (15%)
• Very unfavorable 27% {30%} [31%] (26%)

Josh Mandel

• Very favorable 17% {21%} [23%] (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 26% {25%} [25%] (25%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% {13%} [17%] (13%)
• Very unfavorable 35% {33%} [28%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sherrod Brown 49% {44%} [45%] (47%) / 44% {46%} [48%] (41%) {+5%}
• Josh Mandel 43% {46%} [48%] (42%) / 49% {46%} [45%] (44%) {-6%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Voting in Ohio started on October 2, and Brown leads by nearly two-to-one among those who say they have cast their ballots already.

Eighty percent (80%) of all voters in the state say they are certain of their choice at this time. Among these voters, Brown leads Mandel 53% to 46%. Among the 94% of voters who say they are certain to vote in the election, Brown is ahead 50% to 45%.

Brown draws support from 89% of Democrats in the state, while Mandel is backed by 84% of voters in his party.