Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• Tim Kaine (D) 48% (52%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%)
• George Allen (R) 47% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Some other candidate 1% (0%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {5%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% (3%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (7%)

Among Independents

• George Allen (R) 45% (46%) {47%} 
• Tim Kaine (D) 43% (44%) {36%}

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tim Kaine 

• Very favorable 26% (25%) {30%}
• Somewhat favorable 27% (27%) {20%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% (17%) {18%}
• Very unfavorable 24% (26%) {25%}

George Allen

• Very favorable 26% (27%) {24%}
• Somewhat favorable 23% (23%) {22%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% (18%) {17%}
• Very unfavorable 27% (26%) {29%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Tim Kaine 53% (52%) {50%} / 41% (43%) {43%} {+12%}
• George Allen 49% (50%) {46%} / 42% (44%) {46%} {+7%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-six percent (96%) of the state's likely voters now say they are certain to vote. Among these voters, it's Kaine 49%, Allen 47%.

Kaine attracts 91% support from Virginia Democrats, while Allen earns 89% of the vote from the state's Republicans.