Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% {51%} [49%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney 48% {49%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (41%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 34% {37%} [29%] (27%) {23%} [23%] (14%)
• Somewhat favorable 15% {13%} [19%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (33%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% {13%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (20%)
• Very unfavorable 34% {37%} [38%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 49% {50%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {50%} / 50% {50%} [51%] (44%) {48%} [45%] (49%) {44%} {-1%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 35% {32%} [33%] (26%) {30%} [27%] (35%) {36%}
• Somewhat approve 16% {17%} [18%] (23%) {22%} [20%] (17%) {15%}
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {8%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (8%) {10%}
• Strongly disapprove 42% {43%} [42%] (40%) {37%} [44%] (39%) {39%}

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 51% {49%} [51%] (49%) {52%} [47%] (52%) {51%}
• Disapprove 49% {51%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [52%] (47%) {49%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Wisconsin voters say they are certain to vote, and the president leads 50% to 48% among this group.

Wisconsin allows early voting, and among those who have already voted, it’s Romney 54%, Obama 43%. Of those who have yet to vote, 90% say they’ve already decided whom they will support. Obama leads 50% to 49% among these voters.

Both candidates draw more than 90% support from voters in their respective parties in Wisconsin. The president leads by 11 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Among all voters in the state, Romney has a 50% to 45% advantage when it comes to whom voters trust more to deal with the economy. Voters are almost evenly divided over whom they trust more to handle national security matters: 47% say Obama, 46% Romney.