Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Hillary Clinton

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Hillary Clinton

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?  
  • Very favorable 27% [33%] (27%) {29%} [27%] (25%)
  • Somewhat favorable 24% [23%] (26%) {33%} [31%] (34%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% [18%] (20%) {19%} [17%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 29% [22%] (22%) {18%} [21%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 51% [56%] (53%) {62%} [58%] (59%) / 44% [40%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (36%) {+7%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 80%
  • Rick Scott (R) 13%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 71%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 14%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 43%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 40%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 57%
  • Rick Scott (R) 33%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Men
  • Charlie Crist (D) 47%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 502 likely voters was conducted April 10-14, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 20% Liberal.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [52%] {56%} [53%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43% [44%] {40%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [56%] {57%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% [39%] {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38% [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 52% [52%] (51%) / 43% [43%] (39%) {+9%}
    • Joe Scarborough 14% / 21% {-7%}
    • Chris Christie 36% [33%] (29%) / 44% [46%] (32%) {-8%
    • Jeb Bush 31% / 42% {-11%}
    National survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [34%] (34%) {31%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 26% [27%] (25%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 41% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 13% (13%)
    • Jeb Bush 13% (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
    • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
    • Rand Paul 12% (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
    • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
    • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
    • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%) 
    • Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
    • Rick Perry 3% (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
    • John Kasich 0% (1%)
    • Undecided 14% (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
    Among Republicans
    • Chris Christie 14% (13%) {17%} [17%]
    • Jeb Bush 14% (11%) {9%} [11%]
    • Mike Huckabee 13% (15%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (8%) {12%} [13%]
    • Rand Paul 8% (7%) {10%} [8%]
    • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {5%} [5%]
    • Scott Walker 4% (5%) {3%} [5%]
    • Rick Perry 4% (3%) {7%} [2%]
    • Ted Cruz 3% (5%) {5%} [10%]
    • Bobby Jindal 3% {2%}
    • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {7%} [4%]
    • John Kasich 1% (1%)
    • Undecided 16% (13%) {24%} [16%]
    Among Independents
    • Rand Paul 19% (14%) {8%} [20%
    • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (11%) {13%} [8%]
    • Jeb Bush 11% (4%) {6%} [9%] 
    • Chris Christie 8% (14%) {14%} [20%]
    • Marco Rubio 8% (11%) {10%} [9%]
    • Scott Walker 7% (8%) {5%} [3%]
    • Ted Cruz 5% (5%) {6%} [11%]
    • Rick Santorum 5% (2%) {3%} [3%]
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {4%}
    • Rick Perry 0% (0%) {4%} [3%] 
    • John Kasich 0% (1%)
    • Undecided 9% (10%) {26%} [8%]
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush 14% (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
    • Rand Paul 14% (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
    • Paul Ryan 11% (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% (10%)
    • Chris Christie 10% (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
    • Scott Walker 6% (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
    • Marco Rubio 5% (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
    • Ted Cruz 4% (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%) 
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
    • Rick Santorum 4% (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
    • Rick Perry 1% (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
    • John Kasich 1% (1%)
    • Undecided 13% (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
    Among Women
    • Chris Christie 14% (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
    • Mike Huckabee 14% (16%)
    • Paul Ryan 12% (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%
    • Jeb Bush 11% (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
    • Rand Paul 10% (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
    • Marco Rubio 9% (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)  
    • Rick Perry 4% (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
    • Scott Walker 3% (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
    • Ted Cruz 3% (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
    • Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
    • John Kasich 0% (1%) 
    • Undecided 14% (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
    Survey of 416 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 63% (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 37% (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

    Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
    • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% (32%)
    • Gary Peters (D) 38% (33%)
    • Undecided 18% (35%)
    Survey of 1,460 likely voters was conducted April 9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.56 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (41%) Democrat; 36% (37%) Republican; 19% (17%) Independent; 7% (5%) Another party. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

    Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 14.7%
    • Jeb Bush 10.7%
    • Rand Paul 8.5%
    • Paul Ryan 8.3%
    • Chris Christie 8.0%
    • Ted Cruz 6.2%
    • Marco Rubio 4.7%
    • Rick Santorum 4.7%
    • Scott Walker 4.7%
    • Rick Perry 3.0%
    • John Kasich 0.7%
    • Other 0.7%
    • Undecided 23.8%
    Survey of 600 likely Iowa GOP primary voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

    PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Greg Abbott (R) 51% [50%] (48%) {46%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 37% [35%] (40%) {34%}
    • Not sure 13% [15%] (12%) {20%} 
    Among Men
    • Greg Abbott (R) 53% [57%] (50%) {52%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 32%  [34%] (37%) {30%}
    • Not sure 15% [10%] (13%) {18%}
    Among Women
    • Greg Abbott (R) 49% [43%] (47%) {42%}
    • Wendy Davis (D) 41%  [37%] (42%) {37%}
    • Not sure 11% [20%] (11%) {21%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Greg Abbott 40% [35%] (32%) {33%} / 27% [32%] (26%) {24%} {+13%}
    • Wendy Davis 33% [36%] (39%) {15%} / 47% [42%] (29%) {19%} {-14%}
    Survey of 559 registered voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [42%] (38%) {43%} Republican; 32% [35%] (34%) {32%} Democrat; 24% [24%] (28%) {25%} Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [26%] (21%) {22%} Somewhat conservative; 23% [25%] (28%) {25%} Very conservative; 23% [26%] (26%) {30%} Moderate; 17% [14%] (16%) {15%} Somewhat liberal; 8% [8%] (10%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in curly brackets.

    Monday, April 14, 2014

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

    Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
    • Bruce Rauner (R) 43%
    • Pat Quinn (D) 40%
    • Some other candidate 6% 
    • Undecided 10% 
    Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Friday, April 11, 2014

    Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

    MRG (R) Michigan 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Chris Christie (R) 38%
    • Unsure 18%
    Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Senatorial Survey

    • Dick Durbin (D) 51%
    • Jim Oberweis (R) 37%
    • Some other candidate 3%
    • Undecided 10%
    Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Thursday, April 10, 2014

    Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

    UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
    • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45% (47%) 
    • Scott Brown (R) 39% (37%)
    • Other 2% (3%)
    • Don't know/Undecided 14% (14%)
    Survey of 387 likely voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 44% {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 44% {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
    • Rand Paul (R) 43% {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} [48%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {42%} [43%]
    Among Independents
    • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 45% {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 44% {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% {34%} [36%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {48%} [52%]
    Among Moderates
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 29% [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 31% [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 26% [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [60%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% [25%]
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush (R) 50% {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 47% {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 48% {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% {44%} [46%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {47%} [47%]
    Among Women
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 39% {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 42% {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 39% {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {52%} [50%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {41%} [41%]
    Among Whites
    • Jeb Bush (R) 55% {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 54% {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 54% {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% {53%} [54%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {37%} [38%]
    Among Blacks
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 77% {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 8% {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 78% {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 13% {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
    • Rand Paul (R) 10% {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% {89%} [82%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 10% {9%} [9%]
    Survey of 740 North Carolina voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 22% {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 74% {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
    • Mike Huckabee 22% {19%} [20%] (15%)
    • Jeb Bush 18% {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 12% {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
    • Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
    • Paul Ryan 9% {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
    • Rand Paul 9% {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
    • Scott Walker 7% {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
    • Marco Rubio 5% {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 6% {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
    Among Men
    • Mike Huckabee 19% {15%} [15%] (14%)
    • Ted Cruz 16% {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
    • Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%) 
    • Chris Christie 12% {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
    • Scott Walker 10% {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
    • Paul Ryan 8% {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%) 
    • Rand Paul 8% {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
    • Marco Rubio 6% {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
    • Bobby Jindal 1% {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 4% {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
    Among Women
    • Mike Huckabee 24% {24%} [25%] (16%)
    • Jeb Bush 21% {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
    • Chris Christie 12% {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
    • Rand Paul 11% {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
    • Paul Ryan 9% {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)  
    • Ted Cruz 7% {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
    • Marco Rubio 5% {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
    • Scott Walker 3% {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
    • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
    • Someone else/Not sure 7% {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
    Survey of 314 Republican primary voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 32% {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 6% {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

    Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
    • Steve Daines (R) 49%
    • John Walsh (D) 36%
    • Roger Roots (L) 4%
    • Some other candidate 5%
    • Undecided 6%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Steve Daines 53% / 33% {+20%}
    • John Walsh 47% / 29% {+18%}
    Survey of 2,490 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 1.96 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 27% Democrat; 38% Something else.

    Wednesday, April 09, 2014

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [44%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 37% {40%} [38%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%} [55%]
    • Rand Paul (R) 39% {39%} [35%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {46%} [51%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 38% {42%} [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
      Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {29%} [28%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 34% {42%} [43%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {36%} [43%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 37% {45%} [43%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {34%} [39%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 32% {45%} [40%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
          Among Moderates
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {47%} [52%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 31% {32%} [29%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {61%} [71%]
          • Rand Paul (R) 24% {23%} [20%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {59%} [59%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 28% {29%} [28%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 27%
            Among Men
            • Chris Christie (R) 41% {48%} [43%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {34%} [40%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 48% {49%} [42%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {38%} [49%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {52%} [43%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {35%} [45%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
              Among Women 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {50%} [49%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 32% {32%} [34%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [62%]
              • Rand Paul (R) 31% {31%} [27%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {56%} [57%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 35% {34%} [31%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
                Survey of 825 registered voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {35%} [36%] Democrat; 30% {30%} [29%] Republican; 35% {35%} [35%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% {31%} [33%] Moderate; 26% {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {17%} [18%] Somewhat liberal; 14% {14%} [13%] Very conservative; 12% {12%} [11%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                PPP (D) Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Rand Paul 16% [18%] (18%)
                • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (15%)
                • Mike Huckabee 15%
                • Ted Cruz 11% [15%] (7%)
                • Jeb Bush 9% [10%] (16%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (12%)
                • Scott Walker 5% [5%]
                • Marco Rubio 4% [8%] (11%)
                • Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (4%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 17% [14%] (10%)
                Among Men
                • Rand Paul 17% [21%] (17%)
                • Chris Christie 15% [20%] (14%)
                • Ted Cruz 14% [14%] (7%)
                • Mike Huckabee 10%
                • Scott Walker 8% [6%]
                • Jeb Bush 8% [10%] (16%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (14%)
                • Bobby Jindal 4% [4%] (3%)
                • Marco Rubio 2% [9%] (9%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 17% [7%] (12%)
                Among Women
                • Mike Huckabee 21%
                • Chris Christie 14% [13%] (16%)
                • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (18%)
                • Jeb Bush 10% [10%] (17%)
                • Ted Cruz 8% [16%] (7%)
                • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (10%)
                • Marco Rubio 5% [8%] (13%)
                • Scott Walker 2% [5%]
                • Bobby Jindal 2% [3%] (5%)
                • Someone else/Not sure 18% [22%] (9%)
                Survey of 334 Republican primary voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 20% [20%] (25%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 62.96%
                • Elizabeth Warren 11.85%
                • Joe Biden 9.63% 
                • Mark Warner 1.48%
                • Andrew Cuomo 0.74%
                • Deval Patrick 0.74%
                • Cory Booker 0.00%
                • Undecided 11.85%
                Survey of 135 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.4 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                • Mike Huckabee 11.02%
                • Jeb Bush 10.24%
                • Rand Paul 10.24%
                • Ted Cruz 9.45%
                • Ben Carson 8.66%
                • Chris Christie 7.09%
                • Paul Ryan 6.30%
                • Condoleezza Rice 5.51%
                • Marco Rubio 5.51%
                • Scott Walker 5.51%
                • Sarah Palin 5.51%
                • Rick Santorum 5.51%
                • Rick Perry 3.15%
                • Bobby Jindal 3.15%
                • Undecided 3.15%
                Survey of 127 GOP caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.7 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nebraska 2014 Senatorial Survey

                • Ben Sasse (R) 52%
                • David Domina (D) 27%
                • Some other candidate 5%
                • Undecided 16%
                • Shane Osborn (R) 48%
                • David Domina (D) 27%
                Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

                Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
                • Approve 49% {55%} [68%] (69%) {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
                • Disapprove 44% {38%} [26%] (27%) {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
                Among Democrats
                • Approve 23% {36%} [51%] (41%) {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
                • Disapprove 68% {55%} [43%] (52%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
                Among Republicans
                • Approve 82% {81%} [90%] (96%) {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
                • Disapprove 14% {16%} [6%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
                Among Independents
                • Approve 54% {56%} [70%] (78%) {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
                • Disapprove 39% {37%} [24%] (18%) {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
                Among Men
                • Approve 53% {54%} [67%] (71%) {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
                • Disapprove 43% {39%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
                Among Women
                • Approve 46% {55%} [69%] (66%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
                • Disapprove 45% {37%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
                Survey of 1,356 New Jersey voters was conducted April 2-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {32%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {21%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 34% {39%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-13, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, April 08, 2014

                Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

                Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
                • Approve 55% {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
                • Disapprove 41% {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
                Among Democrats
                • Approve 29% {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
                • Disapprove 67% {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)
                Among Republicans
                • Approve 86% {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
                • Disapprove 10% {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)
                Among Independents
                • Approve 62% {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
                • Disapprove 34% {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)
                Among Moderates
                • Approve 57% [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
                • Disapprove 39% [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)
                Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
                • Favorable 50% {49%} [46%] (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
                • Unfavorable 42% {40%} [43%] (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
                Among Democrats
                • Favorable 25% {28%} [19%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
                • Unfavorable 63% {60%} [69%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
                Among Republicans
                • Favorable 82% {81%} [78%] (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
                • Unfavorable 13% {12%} [15%] (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
                Among Independents
                • Favorable 55% {49%} [55%] (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
                • Unfavorable 37% {38%} [33%] (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
                Survey of 731 registered voters was conducted March 31 - April 6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 21% {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 43% {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
                • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% {44%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (41%)
                • Mitch McConnell (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
                Among Men
                • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 46% {41%} [42%] (39%) [44%] (38%)
                • Mitch McConnell (R) 45% {49%} [47%] (49%) [49%] (49%)
                Among Women
                • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% {46%} [41%] (51%) [46%] (44%)
                • Mitch McConnell (R) 43% {41%} [40%] (38%) [41%] (41%)
                Survey of 663 Kentucky voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014.  Party ID: 54% {52%} [52%] (53%) [50%] (51%) Democrat; 38% {36%} [39%] (37%) [35%] (39%) Republican; 8% {12%} [9%] (11%) [15%] (10%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-26, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                • Charlie Crist (D) 49% {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
                • Rick Scott (R) 42% {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
                Among Democrats
                • Charlie Crist (D) 77% {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
                • Rick Scott (R) 13% {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
                Among Republicans
                • Rick Scott (R) 69% {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
                • Charlie Crist (D) 21% {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
                Among Independents
                • Rick Scott (R) 56% {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
                • Charlie Crist (D) 38% {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
                Among Men
                • Rick Scott (R) 52% {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
                • Charlie Crist (D) 41% {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
                Among Women
                • Charlie Crist (D) 55% {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
                • Rick Scott (R) 33% {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
                Survey of 814 Florida voters was conducted April 1-3, 2014.  Party ID: 44% {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 39% {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 17% {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Jeb Bush 29%
                • Chris Christie 12% (15.72%)
                • Ted Cruz 12% (15.58%)
                • Rand Paul 11% (14.45%)
                • Bobby Jindal 8% (9.49%)
                • Scott Walker 5% (1.70%)
                • Marco Rubio 5% (10.34%)
                • Rick Santorum 2% (3.97%)
                • Not sure 17% (17.14%)
                Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                • Thad Cochran 52% (54%)
                • Chris McDaniel 35% (31%)
                • Not sure 12% (14%)
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Thad Cochran 59% (64%) / 30% (28%) {+29%}
                • Chris McDaniel 37% (33%) / 31% (17%) {+6%}
                Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                • Gary Peters (D) 41% [40%] (41%)
                • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36% [42%] (36%)
                • Not sure 23% [18%] (23%)
                Among Men
                • Gary Peters (D) 40% [35%] (40%)
                • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% [50%] (42%)
                • Not sure 20% [14%] (19%)
                Among Women
                • Gary Peters (D) 42% [45%] (42%)
                • Terri Lynn Land (R) 32% [34%] (30%)
                • Not sure 26% [21%] (28%)
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Gary Peters 26% [22%] (18%) / 27% [21%] (16%) {-1%}
                • Terri Lynn Land 28% [34%] (29%) / 31% [23%] (21%) {-3%}
                Survey of 825 registered voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [35%] (36%) Democrat; 30% [30%] (29%) Republican; 35% [35%] (35%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% [31%] (33%) Moderate; 26% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 14% [14%] (13%) Very conservative; 12% [12%] (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Monday, April 07, 2014

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                • Bruce Rauner (R) 43%
                • Pat Quinn (D) 35%
                • Unsure 22% 
                Survey of 806 registered Illinois voters was conducted March 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 28% Republican; 33% Independent/Other.

                Friday, April 04, 2014

                Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Primary Survey

                • Mary Landrieu (D) 39.3%
                • Bill Cassidy (R) 26.3%
                • Paul Hollis (R) 3.4%
                • Rob Maness (R) 2.6%
                • Undecided 28.4%
                Who would be your second choice for U.S. Senate?
                • Paul Hollis (R) 17.0%
                • Bill Cassidy (R) 15.7%
                • Rob Maness (R) 9.7%
                • Mary Landrieu (D) 3.6%
                • Undecided 53.9%
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Bill Cassidy 25.6% / 11.9% {+13.7%}
                • Mary Landrieu 41.0% / 52.2% {-11.2%}
                Do you believe that Mary Landrieu has performed her job well enough to deserve to be re-elected or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?
                • Deserves to be re-elected 34.1%
                • Time to give new person a chance 56.2%
                Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mary Landrieu is doing as U.S. Senator?
                • Approve 41.8%
                • Disapprove 52.9%
                Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted March 24-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 48% Democrat; 36% Republican; 12% Independent; 4% Other.  Political ideology: 51% Conservative; 30% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

                Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Bobby Jindal (R) 45.0%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.4%
                • Undecided 14.6%
                Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bobby Jindal.  
                • Favorable 45.0%
                • Unfavorable 46.7%
                Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bobby Jindal is doing as governor?
                • Approve 46.7%
                • Disapprove 48.5%
                Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted March 24-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 48% Democrat; 36% Republican; 12% Independent; 4% Other.  Political ideology: 51% Conservative; 30% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

                Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

                • Jeff Merkley (D) 47%
                • Jason Conger (R) 40%
                • Jeff Merkley (D) 46%
                • Monica Wehby (R) 34%
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Jeff Merkley 39% / 32% {+7%}
                • Jason Conger 11% / 16% {-5%}
                • Monica Wehby 7% / 14% {-7%}
                Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeff Merkley is handling his job as Senator?
                • Approve 41%
                • Disapprove 33%
                Survey of 670 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.91 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 34% Republican; 23% Independent/Other. Ideology: 40% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 23% Liberal.

                Thursday, April 03, 2014

                Poll Watch: WPA Opinion Research (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                WPA Research (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                • Mike Huckabee 14%
                • Rand Paul 10%
                • Scott Walker 8%
                • Paul Ryan 7%
                • Jeb Bush 7%
                • Ted Cruz 7%
                • Chris Christie 6%
                • Rick Santorum 5%
                • Rick Perry 3%
                • Marco Rubio 3%
                • Bobby Jindal 2%
                • Someone else 2%
                • Undecided 26%
                Survey of 402 Republican voters was conducted March 30, 2014.

                Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                MRG (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40%
                • Gary Peters (D) 38%
                Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.

                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

                Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

                I'd like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I'll read the name of a person and I'd like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favorable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favorable.

                Mean Score
                • Elizabeth Warren 48.6 [50.7] (49.2)
                • Hillary Clinton 47.8 [48.5] (52.1) 
                • Paul Ryan 47.4 [46.7] (43.0)
                • Bobby Jindal 47.1 [49.6] (45.2)
                • Scott Walker 46.6 [49.2] (41.1)
                • Marco Rubio 46.3 [47.1] (46.5)
                • Mike Huckabee 46.1 [51.0]
                • Rand Paul 45.7 [47.1] (44.8)
                • Chris Christie 45.2 [55.5] (53.1)
                • Jeb Bush 44.7 [45.1] (40.4)
                • John Kasich 43.6 [49.5]
                • Joe Biden 42.7 [43.7] (46.2)
                • Ted Cruz 42.5 [43.9] (46.8)
                • Peter King 41.6 [39.7] (43.6)
                • Andrew Cuomo 41.2 [43.0] (43.9)
                • Rick Santorum 40.9 [41.0] (40.7)
                • Rick Perry 40.2 [41.2]
                • Howard Dean 40.1 [37.2]
                • Martin O'Malley 40.0 [42.1] (45.7)
                • Brian Schweitzer 37.5 [40.6]
                  Percent Scoring >50
                  • Hillary Clinton 49% [47%] (49%) 
                  • Joe Biden 37% [37%] (39%)
                  • Paul Ryan 35% [36%] (28%)
                  • Chris Christie 34% [45%] (37%)
                  • Jeb Bush 32% [30%] (22%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 30% [36%]
                  • Rand Paul 29% [33%] (28%)
                  • Marco Rubio 27% [28%] (25%)
                  • Rick Santorum 24% [25%] (24%)
                  • Ted Cruz 23% [25%] (15%)
                  • Rick Perry 23% [24%]
                  • Elizabeth Warren 23% [25%] (21%)
                  • Scott Walker 20% [20%] (12%)
                  • Bobby Jindal 20% [19%] (16%)
                  • Howard Dean 19% [14%]
                  • Andrew Cuomo 18% [21%] (20%) 
                  • John Kasich 11% [13%]
                  • Peter King 10% [9%] (10%)
                  • Martin O'Malley 5% [6%] (7%)
                  • Brian Schweitzer 5% [6%]
                  Haven't Heard Enough About to Form an Opinion
                  • Brian Schweitzer 81% [82%]
                  • Martin O'Malley 79% [77%] (78%)
                  • Peter King 68% [66%] (71%)
                  • John Kasich 64% [68%]
                  • Scott Walker 54% [57%] (65%)
                  • Bobby Jindal 53% [54%] (56%)
                  • Elizabeth Warren 46% [46%] (51%)
                  • Andrew Cuomo 41% [38%] (41%)
                  • Howard Dean 40% [43%]
                  • Ted Cruz 38% [36%] (60%)
                  • Marco Rubio 34% [34%] (36%)
                  • Rick Santorum 30% [28%] (30%)
                  • Rick Perry 30% [27%]
                  • Rand Paul 26% [22%] (28%)
                  • Mike Huckabee 24% [20%] 
                  • Paul Ryan 20% [18%] (24%)
                  • Jeb Bush 18% [18%] (20%)
                  • Chris Christie 18% [17%] (21%)
                  • Joe Biden 4% [7%] (8%)
                  • Hillary Clinton 1% [2%] (2%)
                  Survey of 1,578 registered voters was conducted March 26-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [28%] (35%) Democrat; 24% [26%] (23%) Republican; 35% [37%] (33%) Independent; 8% [9%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                  • Hillary Clinton 55% (58%)
                  • Joe Biden 5% (6%)
                  • Elizabeth Warren 4% (7%)
                  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (2%)
                  • Howard Dean 0% (1%)
                  • Some other candidate 5% (3%)
                  • Don't know 29% (23%)
                  Survey of 524 registered Democratic voters was conducted March 25-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Wednesday, April 02, 2014

                  Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
                  • David Perdue (R) 37.5% 
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 33.0% 
                  • Phil Gingrey (R) 40.5% 
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 37.6%
                  • Jack Kingston (R) 37.7% 
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 37.0%
                  • Paul Broun (R) 38.5% 
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 38.2%
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 38.1%
                  • Karen Handel (R) 37.0%
                  Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted April 1, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                  Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                  Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

                  Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

                  • Approve 51% (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
                  • Disapprove 43% (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
                  Among Democrats
                  • Approve 34% (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
                  • Disapprove 59% (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
                  Among Republicans
                  • Approve 84% (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
                  • Disapprove 14% (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
                  Among Independents
                  • Approve 55% (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
                  • Disapprove 36% (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%{41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
                  Among Men 
                  • Approve 56% (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
                  • Disapprove 38% (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
                  Among Women
                  • Approve 47% (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
                  • Disapprove 42% (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
                  Survey of 690 registered voters was conducted March 30 - April 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 41% (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

                  Tuesday, April 01, 2014

                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

                  Among Likely Voters
                  • Mark Harris (R) 47%
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 43%
                  • Ted Alexander (R) 46%
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
                  • Heather Grant (R) 46%
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
                  • Greg Brannon (R) 47%
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 45%
                  • Thom Tillis (R) 46%
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 45%
                  Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as United States Senator?

                  Among Registered Voters
                  • Approve 38%
                  • Disapprove 50%
                  Survey of 1.930 registered voters, including 1,489 likely voters, was conducted March 27-31, 2014 for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 2.6 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 42% (42%) Democrat; 32% (33%) Republican; 20% (20%) Independent. Ideology: 40% (39%) Moderate; 36% (38%) Conservative; 18% (17%) Liberal.

                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                  SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                  • Thom Tillis 23% [27%] (28%)
                  • Greg Brannon 15% [13%] (15%)
                  • Mark Harris 11% [9%] (6%)
                  • Heather Grant 6% [5%] (11%)
                  • Ted Alexander 6% [1%] (7%)
                  • Jim Snyder 3% [5%] (4%)
                  • Edward Kryn 2% [0%] (3%) 
                  • Alex Lee Bradshaw 1% [2%] (4%)
                  • Undecided 34% [38%] (23%)
                  Survey of 433 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 27-31, 2014 for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.