Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 45% [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 13% [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 80% [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 45% [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 33% [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 54% [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 41% [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 41% [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)

Survey of 576 likely voters was conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 37% [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 24% [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 43% [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 20% [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 49% [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll released June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll released June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Mead Treadwell, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 42% (41%) {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 37% (33%) {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Mark Fish (L) 5%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% (1%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 0% (2%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party candidates asked whether they support Begich or Treadwell

• Mark Begich (D) 44%
• Mead Treadwell (R) 41%

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Dan Sullivan, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 43% (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Mark Fish (L) 4%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 3%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% (1%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 0% (1%) {2%}

Horse race, with third-party candidates asked whether they support Begich or Sullivan

• Mark Begich (D) 45%
• Dan Sullivan (R) 41%

If the candidates for Senate this fall were Democrat Mark Begich, Republican Joe Miller, Libertarian Mark Fish, Alaska Independence Party candidate Vic Kohring, non-affiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, and non-affiliated candidate Sid Hill, who would you vote for?

• Mark Begich (D) 45% (43%) {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 32% (27%) {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Mark Fish (L) 6%
• Vic Kohring (AIP) 4%
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% (0%) {1%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% (2%) {2%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 38% (30%) {33%} [35%] (34%) / 32% (34%) {31%} [29%] (26%) {+6%} 
• Dan Sullivan 35% (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {-8%}
• Joe Miller 22% (17%) {16%} [19%] (20%) / 59% (61%) {62%} [63%] (63%) {-37%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 44% (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 35% (40%) {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 29% (26%) {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 20% (14%) {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 2% (3%) {2%}
• Undecided 14% (17%) {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 58% (46%) {51%} [50%] / 20% (23%) {20%} [19%] {+38%}
• Dan Sullivan 57% (54%) {46%} [42%] / 25% (28%) {21%} [19%] {+32%}
• Joe Miller 38% (28%) {26%} [26%] / 47% (52%) {52%} [53%] {-9%}

Survey of 673 Alaska voters, including 337 Republican primary voters, was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.3 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 32% (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 47% (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 33% (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for US Senate were being held today for whom would you vote between Thom Tillis, the Republican, Kay Hagan, the Democrat, or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian?

• Kay Hagan (D) 41% [42%] (36%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 39% [36%] (39%)
• Sean Haugh (L) 7% [9%] (8%) 
• Undecided 12% [12%] (15%)

And now suppose only two candidates were running for U.S. Senate. For whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican or Kay Hagan, the Democrat?

• Thom Tillis (R) 45% [43%] (46%)
• Kay Hagan (D) 43% [47%] (41%)
• Undecided 10% [9%] (12%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll 

• Tom Cotton (R) 43% {42%} [44%] (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

• Tom Cotton (R) 50% {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 40% {40%} [39%] (38%)

Among Women

• Mark Pryor (D) 41% {45%} [49%] (50%)
• Tom Cotton (R) 37% {36%} [37%] (33%)

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Pryor, Republican Tom Cotton, Green party candidate Mark Swaney, and Libertarian Nathan LaFrance. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Tom Cotton (R) 41%
• Mark Pryor (D) 39%
• Mark Swaney (G) 4%
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 3%
• Undecided 14%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Pryor's job performance?

• Approve 34% {38%}
• Disapprove 51% {46%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Cotton 40% {37%} / 40% {42%} {0%}
• Mark Pryor 38% / 48% {-10%}

Survey of 1,066 Arkansas voters was conducted August 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {41%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 34% {27%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 31% {32%} [37%] (36%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% {28%} Moderate; 27% {23%} Somewhat conservative; 22% {23%} Very conservative; 14% {16%} Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Paul Ryan (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Unsure 6%

Survey of 1,346 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted July 31 - August 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 33% Republican; 32% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll 

• Scott Walker (R) 47% (49%)
• Mary Burke (D) 47% (44%)
• Unsure 6% (7%) 

Survey of 1,346 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted July 31 - August 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (37%) Democrat; 33% (33%) Republican; 32% (30%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 17, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 42% (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 41% (45%)
• Some other candidate 8% (6%)
• Undecided 9% (10%)

Survey of 900 likely voters was conducted July 29-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Bruce Rauner (R) 44% (43%)
• Pat Quinn (D) 39% (40%)
• Some other candidate 7% (6%) 
• Undecided 10% (10%) 

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 2-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Rand Paul (R) 43%
• Unsure 11%

• Rand Paul (R) 44%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
• Unsure 21%

Survey of 1,380 likely voters was conducted July 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 44%
• Thom Tillis (R) 41%
• Unsure 15%

Survey of 1,380 likely voters was conducted July 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 45% (45%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 38% (41%)
• Roger Roots (L) 9% (6%)
• Unsure 8% (7%)

Survey of 781 likely voters was conducted July 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (36%) Republican; 29% (29%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) California 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) California 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Rand Paul (R) 40%
• Unsure 11%

• Rand Paul (R) 44%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
• Unsure 23%

Survey of 580 registered voters was conducted July 22-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 31% Republican; 26% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {51%} [50%] (47%)
• Rand Paul (R) 42% (41%) {38%} [40%] (44%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%) {51%} [49%]
• John Kasich (R) 40% (42%) {39%} [38%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [42%] (42%)
• Chris Christie (R) 37% (38%) {36%} [41%] (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%) {51%} [50%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 37% (39%) {36%} [37%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 46% (47%) {42%} [41%] (47%) / 30% (29%) {30%} [30%] (28%) {+16%}
• Hillary Clinton 52% (53%) (52%) / 43% (43%) (44%) {+9%}
• Rand Paul 35% (38%) (43%) / 30% (29%) (26%) {+5%}
• Chris Christie 34% (36%) (48%) / 36% (36%) (16%) {-2%}
• Jeb Bush 29% (32%) / 35% (38%) {-6%}

Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted July 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 28% (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 35% (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 6% (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 45% (35%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (37%)
  
• Some other candidate 6% (8%)
• Undecided 10% (20%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Talk Business/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Cotton (R) 44% [42.5%] (41%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 42% [45.5%] (42%)
• Mark Swaney (G) 4% [2%]
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 3% [2%]
• Undecided 7% [8%] (17%)

Survey of 1,780 likely voters was conducted July 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 32.5% Democrat; 30.0% Republican; 30.5% Independent; 7.0% Other. Results from the poll conducted April 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll

• Rand Paul (R) 45% {44%} [47%] (45%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [45%] (48%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {49%} [48%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 43% {40%} [45%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {48%} [47%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 40% {39%} [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {48%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [39%]
• Chris Christie (R) 39% {38%} [46%]

Among Independents

• Rand Paul (R) 41% {45%} [46%] (45%)
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [41%] (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {43%} [45%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 38% {39%} [39%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 35% {36%} [40%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {43%} [42%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {40%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {42%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {36%} [30%]
• Chris Christie (R) 33% {38%} [45%]

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [54%] (58%)
• Rand Paul (R) 32% {30%} [35%] (32%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [59%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 30% {26%} [31%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} [54%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 29% {27%} [30%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {56%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 30% {29%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%} [42%] 
• Chris Christie (R) 30% {31%} [39%]

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 51% {48%} [56%] (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {45%} [37%] (41%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 50% {42%} [53%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {49%} [40%]

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% {46%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {45%} [39%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {44%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {46%}

• Chris Christie (R) 44% {46%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {43%} [31%]

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [53%] (53%)
• Rand Paul (R) 40% {40%} [39%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%} [56%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 36% {38%} [38%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {50%} [54%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 36% {33%} [34%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36% {39%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%} [47%] 
• Chris Christie (R) 35% {31%} [41%]

Survey of 653 Colorado voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [35%] (34%) Republican; 31% {33%} [31%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% {27%} [29%] (26%) Moderate; 23% {23%} [27%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {20%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% {16%} [14%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% {15%} [14%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (49%)
• Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%]
• Rand Paul (R) 41% [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%] (51%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• John Kasich (R) 35%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (31%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%] (40%)

• Rand Paul (R) 48% [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (42%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 38% [40%] (31%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• John Kasich (R) 34%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 45% [46%] (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%] (43%)

• Rand Paul (R) 47% [47%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%]
  

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (44%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 44% [44%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• John Kasich (R) 40%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [55%] (55%)
• Chris Christie (R) 36% [38%] (35%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%]
• Rand Paul (R) 36% [38%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [56%] (57%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 35% [40%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
• John Kasich (R) 30%

National survey of 1,057 registered voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [39%] (40%) Democrat; 35% [38%] (34%) Republican; 18% [20%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 64% [69%] (68%)
• Joe Biden 12% [14%] (12%)
• Elizabeth Warren 9% [6%] (7%)
• Andrew Cuomo 5% [2%] (4%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (1%)

National survey of 438 registered Democrats was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 12% [14%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 12% [5%] (3%)
• Rand Paul 11% [14%] (11%) 
• Chris Christie 10% [15%] (16%) 
• Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (12%)
• Marco Rubio 9% [8%] (8%)
• Ted Cruz 9% [7%] (12%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (6%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% [2%] 
• Rick Santorum 3% [5%] (3%)
• John Kasich 2%

National survey of 358 registered Republicans was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Mitch McConnell (R) 47% [42%] (42%)
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% [43%] (46%)
• Undecided 8% [7%] (12%)

Among Men

• Mitch McConnell (R) 49% [42%] (46%)
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% [41%] (43%)
• Undecided 8% [6%] (11%)

Among Women

• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 47% [45%] (49%)
• Mitch McConnell (R) 46% [41%] (37%)
• Undecided 8% [9%] (14%)

What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?

• Mitch McConnell (R) 41%  [42%]
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 39%  [43%]
• David Patterson (L) 7% [4%]
• Undecided 13% [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Registered Voters

• Alison Lundergan Grimes 36% [35%] (26%) / 33% [27%] (27%) {+3%}
• Mitch McConnell 36% [29%] (27%) / 43% [49%] (50%) {-7%}

Survey of 714 registered voters, including 604 likely voters, was conducted July 18-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 42% [44%] (51%) Democrat; 41% [43%] (37%) Republican; 18% [11%] (9%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Jason Carter (D) 45% (48%)
• Nathan Deal (R) 44% (41%) 
• Some other candidate 3% (3%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 23-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 67% {64%} [63%] (65%)
• Elizabeth Warren 10% [7%] (7%)
• Joe Biden 8% {13%} [12%] (10%)
• Andrew Cuomo 4% {4%} [5%] (6%)
• Martin O'Malley 2% {4%} [2%] (2%)

Survey of 449 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted July 18-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 67% Democrat; 33% Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 12% {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rick Perry 11% {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Jeb Bush 8% {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% {5%} [7%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Paul Ryan 14% {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Rand Paul 12% {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 10% {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Scott Walker 4% {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Santorum 4% {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rand Paul 13% {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Chris Christie 12% {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Rick Perry 12% {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Paul Ryan 7% {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% {6%} [6%]
• Jeb Bush 5% {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 14% {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 12% {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Paul Ryan 12% {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 9% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 6% {7%} [8%]
• Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%) 
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 1% {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Rick Perry 13% {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rand Paul 10% {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Marco Rubio 7% {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Scott Walker 3% {3%} [6%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 5% {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 470 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 18-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 59% {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 41% {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll

• Rand Paul (R) 50%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
• Uncertain 6%

• Rand Paul (R) 52%
• Elizabeth Warren (D) 34%
• Uncertain 14%

Survey of 1,054 likely voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Democrat; 39% Republican; 11% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% (36%)
• Mitch McConnell (R) 45% (43%)
• Undecided 10% (12%)

Survey of 1,054 likely voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (35%) Democrat; 39% (47%) Republican; 11% (18%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• Michelle Nunn (D) 46.6% [48%] (33.0%)
• David Perdue (R) 43.0% [42%] (37.5%)  
• Amanda Swafford (L) 3.8%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 25, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 46% (42%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 40% (45%)
• Some other candidate 4% (7%)
• Undecided 10% (6%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 23-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Gary King (D) 43%
• Susana Martinez (R) 43%
• Some other candidate 7%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 860 likely New Mexico voters was conducted July 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 67% {64%} [64%] (70%)
• Joe Biden 8% {11%} [9%] (9%)
• Elizabeth Warren 8% {6%} [5%] (4%)
• Andrew Cuomo 1% {1%} [1%] (2%)
• Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Brian Schweitzer 0% {1%}

Survey of 457 Democratic voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [56%] (52%) {50%}
• Paul Ryan (R) 38% [36%] (39%) {42%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 39% [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%] (53%) {51%}
• Rand Paul (R) 37% [37%] (38%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [52%] (51%) {45%}
• Chris Christie (R) 33% [34%] (35%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 58% [58%] [57%] (62%) / 38% [37%] [38%] (33%) {+20%}
• Jeb Bush 48% [53%] [54%] (50%) / 37% [35%] [33%] (35%) {+11%}
• Marco Rubio 43% [43%] [44%] (41%) / 35% [36%] [33%] (34%) {+8%}
• Rand Paul 32% [34%] / 28% [31%] {+4%}
• Paul Ryan 33% [33%] / 30% [36%] {+3%}
• Chris Christie 35% [37%] / 36% [35%] {-1%}

Survey of 1,251 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 32% [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 21% {27%} [25%] (22%)
• Marco Rubio 18% {11%} [16%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 10% {6%} [9%] (12%) 
• Rand Paul 8% {14%} [11%] (9%) 
• Mike Huckabee 7% {6%}
• Chris Christie 6% {7%} [9%] (14%)
• Rick Perry 5%
• Paul Ryan 2% {6%} [5%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 2% {4%} [5%] (2%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [3%] (3%)
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 23% {29%} [23%] (21%)
• Marco Rubio 14% {9%} [16%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 13% {19%} [14%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 11% {5%} [10%] (14%) 
• Chris Christie 5% {6%} [9%] (11%) 
• Mike Huckabee 5% {5%}
• Rick Perry 4%
• Scott Walker 3% {5%} [8%] (4%)
• Paul Ryan 2% {7%} [5%] (6%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Rick Santorum 2%
• John Kasich 1%

Among Women

• Marco Rubio 22% {14%} [16%] (20%)
• Jeb Bush 19% {26%} [26%] (23%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% {7%}
• Ted Cruz 9% {6%} [7%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 6% {9%} [9%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 5%
• Rand Paul 3% {7%} [8%] (5%)
• Scott Walker 2% {3%} [3%] (1%)
• Paul Ryan 1% {4%} [6%] (6%)
• John Kasich 1%
• Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [3%] (2%) 
• Rick Santorum 0%

Survey of 451 Republican voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
• Unsure 13%

Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 45%
  
• John Walsh (D) 41%
• Roger Roots (L) 6%
• Unsure 7%

Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Bruce Braley (D) 44%
• Joni Ernst (R) 43%
• Unsure 13%
  

Survey of 1,179 likely voters was conducted July 17-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 32% Republican; 34% Independent.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 78% [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 10% [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 79% [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 12% [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 38% [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
  

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 48% [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 39% [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%) 

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 49% [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 39%
• Rick Scott (R) 37%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 43% [42%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (36%)
• Disapprove 48% [50%] (49%) {47%} [44%] (49%)

Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  

• Yes/Deserves 40% [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%)
• No/Does not 51% [53%] (54%) {53%} [50%] (55%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 40% [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 42% [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-2%}
• Rick Scott 40% [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 45% [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-5%}
  

Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 39% [45%]
• No 48% [43%]

Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 40% [38%]
• No 51% [51%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 44% [48%]
• No 47% [42%]

Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 41% [38%]
• No 52% [55%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 49% [55%]
• No 43% [37%]

Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 54% [49%]
• No 38% [44%]

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more compassionate, Crist or Scott?

• Charlie Crist 48% [50%]
• Rick Scott 36% [35%]

In recent years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?

• Positive thing 47% [52%] {46%} [47%] (50%)
• Negative thing 45% [40%] {46%} [44%] (40%)
  

Survey of 1,251 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 32% [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%)
• Paul Ryan (R) 38% (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%)
• Chris Christie (R) 34% (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (52%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)

Survey of 566 registered voters was conducted July 14-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% (29%) Democrat; 27% (24%) Republican; 28% (47%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Chris Christie (R) 38%

• Chris Christie (R) 48%
• Joe Biden (D) 39%

Among Men

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Chris Christie (R) 39%

• Chris Christie (R) 48%
• Joe Biden (D) 37%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Chris Christie (R) 37%

• Chris Christie (R) 47%
• Joe Biden (D) 41%

Survey of 836 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 19% Liberal. Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male . 

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 46% (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 40% (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%) 

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 82% (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 9% (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 73% (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 16% (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 39% (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 54% (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 32% (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 43% (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 38% (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)

Survey of 564 likely voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 37% (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 24% (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 44% (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 17% (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 52% (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 48% (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll released June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll released June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Udall (D) 44% {47%} [47%] (42%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 43% {43%} [45%] (40%)

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 45% {45%} [43%] (38%)
• Mark Udall (D) 38% {43%} [43%] (30%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 53% {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 38% {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 49% {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 35% {39%} [40%] (36%) 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  

• Approve 36% {42%} (41%)
• Disapprove 47% {45%} (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 34% {35%} (23%)
• Unfavorable 39% {42%} (25%)

Survey of 653 Colorado voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 34% {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 31% {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 41% [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 34% [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
• Sean Haugh (L) 8% [11%] {11%}

Among Men

• Thom Tillis (R) 42% [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
• Kay Hagan (D) 38% [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
• Sean Haugh (L) 9% [10%] {12%}

Among Women

• Kay Hagan (D) 44% [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 27% [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 8% [12%] {10%} 

Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they lean Hagan or Tillis

• Kay Hagan (D) 42% [42%] {41%} 
• Thom Tillis (R) 39% [38%] {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sean Haugh 7% / 20% {-13%}
• Thom Tillis 24% [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 47% [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-23%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 40% [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
• Disapprove 50% [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 1,062 registered voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 22% [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)

• Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%

• Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)

• Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)

• Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

• Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 19%

• Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)

• Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)

• Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 10%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
• Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
• Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 25%
• Jeb Bush 16% (16%)
• Ted Cruz 11% (19%)
• Chris Christie 8% (17%)
• Paul Ryan 6% (4%)
• Rand Paul 6% (12%)
• Marco Rubio 5% (8%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (5%)
• Scott Walker 2% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 16% (10%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 22%
• Jeb Bush 15% (15%)
• Ted Cruz 13% (22%)
• Chris Christie 10% (12%) 
• Paul Ryan 8% (3%)
• Marco Rubio 8% (7%)
• Rand Paul 5% (14%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (4%)
• Scott Walker 3% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 14% (10%)

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 28%
• Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (17%)
• Chris Christie 7% (23%) 
• Rand Paul 7% (10%)  
• Paul Ryan 4% (5%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (6%)
• Scott Walker 1% (0%)
• Someone else/Not sure 19% (10%)

Survey of 434 usual Republican primary voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% (46%) Very conservative; 35% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) Moderate; 3% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 46% (52%)
  
• John Walsh (D) 39% (35%)
• Undecided 15% (13%)

Survey of 574 registered voters was conducted July 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 45% {44%} [38%] (38%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 36% {38%} [41%] (37%)
  

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 12-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Runoff Survey

Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Runoff Poll

• Jack Kingston 48%
• David Perdue 41%

Survey of 1,720 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.