Poll Watch: American Research Group Michigan 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 37% (33%) 
• Mitt Romney 32% (27%)
• Ron Paul 15% (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% (21%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 5% (6%)

Among Definite Voters (80%)

• Rick Santorum 38% 
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Ron Paul 15%
  
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Other 0%
• Undecided 6%

Among Republicans (63%)

• Rick Santorum 35% (42%) 
• Mitt Romney 35% (18%)
• Ron Paul 15% (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (24%) 
• Other 0% (0%)
• Undecided 2% (5%)

Among Independents (37%)

• Rick Santorum 40% (11%)
• Mitt Romney 27% (48%)
• Ron Paul 15% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% (13%) 
• Other 2% (3%)
• Undecided 11% (10%)

Among Tea Party Supporters (36%)

• Rick Santorum 46% (37%)
• Newt Gingrich 21% (29%) 
  
• Mitt Romney 21% (17%)
• Ron Paul 8% (11%)
• Other 0% (0%)
• Undecided 4% (6%)

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters (64%)

• Mitt Romney 38% (35%)
• Rick Santorum 32% (30%) 
• Ron Paul 19% (13%)
  
• Newt Gingrich 4% (14%)   
• Other 1% (2%)
• Undecided 6% (6%)

Among Men (53%)

• Rick Santorum 39% (33%) 
• Mitt Romney 23% (17%)
• Ron Paul 20% (16%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (28%) 
  
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 4% (5%)

Among Women (47%)

• Mitt Romney 42% (39%)
• Rick Santorum 34% (33%)   
  
• Ron Paul 9% (7%)
  
• Newt Gingrich 7% (12%) 
• Other 0% (1%)
• Undecided 8% (8%)

Survey of 600 likely Michigan GOP primary voters (380 Republicans, 179 independents, and 41 Democrats) was conducted February 15-16, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-12, 2012 are in parentheses.