Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Rick Santorum 38% {4%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] 
• Mitt Romney 23% {22%} [18%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Newt Gingrich 17% {35%} [28%] (15%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]  
• Ron Paul 13% {11%} [5%] (5%) {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]

Very Conservative (36%)

• Rick Santorum 53% {6%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% {38%}  
• Mitt Romney 15% {17%}
• Ron Paul 8% {10%}

Somewhat Conservative (39%)

• Rick Santorum 37% {3%}
• Mitt Romney 26% {24%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% {36%}  
• Ron Paul 10% {11%}

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 40% {3%}
  
• Mitt Romney 19% {21%}
• Newt Gingrich 18% {36%}  
• Ron Paul 15% {13%}

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 37% {5%}
  
• Mitt Romney 27% {22%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% {34%}  
• Ron Paul 12% {9%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 48% {38%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 52% {62%}

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 20% {17%}
• Rick Santorum 18% {5%}
• Mitt Romney 17% {17%}
• Ron Paul 9% {7%}
• Someone else/Not sure 37% {29%}

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 50%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Not sure 8%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 56%
• Mitt Romney 32%
• Not sure 12%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Newt Gingrich 42%
• Not sure 14%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 61%
• Ron Paul 26%
• Not sure 13%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 64% / 22% {+42%}
• Mitt Romney 44% {55%} [48%] (55%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 43% {31%} [39%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+1%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {60%} [68%] (57%) {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 44% {28%} [23%] (30%) {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {-2%} 
• Ron Paul 35% {34%} [31%] (29%) [44%] / 51% {52%} [52%] (54%) [30%] {-16%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 29% {28%} [32%] (32%) {38%}
• No 55% {57%} [54%] (52%) {46%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Newt Gingrich 24%  
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Ron Paul 8%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Voters

• Rick Santorum 34%
• Mitt Romney 28% 
• Ron Paul 16%
• Newt Gingrich 14%  

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 49%
• Are not 51%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 45%
• Newt Gingrich 21%  
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Ron Paul 8%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Rick Santorum 32%
• Mitt Romney 28% 
• Ron Paul 19%
• Newt Gingrich 14%  

Survey of 656 usual Republican primary voters was conducted February 9-10, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 83% Republican; 17% Independent.  Political ideology: 39% {38%} [39%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 36% {42%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 17% {16%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 6% {3%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.