Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Rick Santorum 29% [17%] 
• Mitt Romney 27% [18%] (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% [36%] (5%) 
• Ron Paul 19% [13%] (9%)
• Someone else/Not sure 3% [15%] (7%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 63% [37%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 37% [63%]

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 25% [21%] 
  
• Newt Gingrich 20% [16%]
• Mitt Romney 19% [16%]
• Ron Paul 9% [10%]
• Someone else/Not sure 27% [37%]

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 39%
• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Rick Santorum 13%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Someone else/Not sure 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 72% [56%] / 18% [24%] {+54%}
• Mitt Romney 50% [50%] (45%) / 39% [36%] (37%) {+11%}
• Newt Gingrich 47% [59%] (35%) / 39% [25%] (41%) {+8%}
• Ron Paul 48% [36%] / 41% [45%] {+7%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 30% [32%]
• No 56% [49%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 48%
• Are not 52%

Survey of 410 likely Republican caucus voters was conducted February 4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% [43%] (37%) Very conservative; 36% [37%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 16% [14%] (15%) Moderate; 4% [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.