Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50% (45%) {46%} [43%] (41%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% (50%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
• Other 1% (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 3% (4%) {4%} [6%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 92% (92%) {90%} [82%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 6% (4%) {7%} [12%]
• Undecided 2% (4%) {3%} [6%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 94% (95%) {93%} [81%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 3% (2%) {4%} [14%]
• Undecided 3% (3%) {3%} [5%]

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (42%) {43%} [31%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% (51%) {47%} [62%]
• Other 3% (2%) {4%}
• Undecided 4% (5%) {6%} [7%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53% (52%) {51%} [52%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% (45%) {43%} [44%]
• Other 1% (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 4% (3%) {4%} [4%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (55%) {52%} [58%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (38%) {42%} [34%]
• Other 1% (1%) {1%}
• Undecided 2% (6%) {5%} [8%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all registered voters. Party ID: 35% (30%) {30%} [34%] Republican; 29% (30%) {28%} [30%] Democrat; 36% (40%) {42%} [36%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2012 are in parentheses.