Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [49%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46% [44%]

Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [49%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 46% [45%]

Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [53%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% [41%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [50%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (45%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% [42%] (44%) {41%} [41%] (43%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 47% [47%]
• Barack Obama 45% [46%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 45% [47%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (44%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49% [51%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [41%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [53%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [38%] (40%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling Medicare?
   
Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [51%] / 45% [46%] {+5%}
• Paul Ryan 43% [43%] / 39% [41%] {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 46% [47%] / 43% [45%] {+3%}
• Joe Biden 45% [46%] / 45% [45%] {0%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama [52%] (52%) / [44%] (43%) {+8%}
• Joe Biden 45% / 43% {+2%} 
• Paul Ryan 40% / 42% {-2%} 
• Mitt Romney [43%] (45%) / [47%] (43%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Registered Voters

• Approve 48% [50%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (41%)
• Disapprove 45% [44%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (49%)

Survey of 1,191 registered voters, including 890 likely voters, was conducted September 30 - October 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.3 percentage points among likely voters. Party registration (among registered voters): 40% [42%] (43%) Democrat; 36% [36%] (35%) Republican; 22% [22%] (21%) Independent.  Party registration (among likely voters): 40% [41%] Democrat; 38% [38%] Republican; 21% [20%] Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 37% [34%] (34%) Moderate; 28% [30%] (29%) Conservative; 18% [18%] (19%) Liberal; 13% [12%] (12%) Very conservative; 4% [6%] (6%) Very liberal.  Ideology (among likely voters): 37% [33%] Moderate; 29% [31%] Conservative; 18% [18%] Liberal; 13% [13%] Very conservative; 4% [5%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2011 are in parentheses.