Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49% (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 48% (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 86% (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
• Mitt Romney 13% (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 85% (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 14% (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 61% (64%) {62%} [66%] (70%) {59%} [57%] (62%) [56%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 32% (31%) {25%} [23%] (24%) {27%} [28%] (24%) [26%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 47% (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 48% (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 31%
• No 69%

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 66%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 56%
• Barack Obama 39%

Who do you think won the Presidential debate on Tuesday night?

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 36%
• Not sure 19%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 49% (47%) 
• Barack Obama 45% (49%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 44%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on women's issues?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 48% (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 47% (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {+1%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 15% (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 83% (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-68%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 83% (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 14% (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+69%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 41% (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 48% (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-7%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 33% (26%) {27%} [20%] (22%) {33%} [31%] (34%) [30%] (32%) / 60% (69%) {63%} [70%] (70%) {50%} [49%] (44%) [47%] (46%) {-27%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 46% (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {+2%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 49% (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 47% (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {+2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
• Disapprove 50% (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 85% (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
• Disapprove 13% (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 13% (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
• Disapprove 86% (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)

Among Independents

• Approve 44% (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
• Disapprove 46% (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 60% (63%) {58%} [63%] (65%) {55%} [58%] (65%) [62%] (64%)
• Disapprove 34% (35%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {37%} [32%] (26%) [30%] (27%)

Among Men

• Approve 44% (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
• Disapprove 51% (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 48% (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
• Disapprove 49% (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 58% (52%)
• Somewhat excited 29% (27%)
• Not at all excited 13% (20%)

Among Democrats

• Very excited 67% (62%)
• Somewhat excited 28% (27%)
• Not at all excited 5% (11%)

Among Republicans

• Very excited 61% (55%)
• Somewhat excited 26% (24%)
• Not at all excited 13% (21%)

Among Independents

• Very excited 41% (38%)
• Somewhat excited 35% (31%)
• Not at all excited 24% (30%)

Survey of 869 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 17-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 34% (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 27% (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (35%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {29%} [32%] (34%) [30%] Moderate; 25% (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [23%] (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (15%) {17%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [17%] (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 15% (14%) {19%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (9%) {11%} [7%] (10%) {12%} [9%] (9%) [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.