Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Survey

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 53% [50%] (48%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {46%} [32%]
• Scott Brown (R) 44% [44%] (46%) {49%} [46%] (41%) {44%} [47%]

Among Men

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 50% [41%] (39%) {36%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [32%]
• Scott Brown (R) 48% [52%] (55%) {57%} [49%] (44%) {48%} [51%] 

Among Women

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 55% [58%] (56%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [31%]
  
• Scott Brown (R) 40% [38%] (36%) {41%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [43%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Scott Brown’s job performance?

• Approve 46% [49%] (55%) {53%} [51%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (53%)
• Disapprove 45% [42%] (34%) {36%} [38%] (42%) {45%} [36%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Elizabeth Warren 52% [49%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [21%] / 43% [45%] (43%) {43%} [38%] (33%) {22%} [17%] {+9%}

Survey of 709 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted October 15-16, 2012, on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29-December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Warren has the advantage with voters in every age group. She’s cut Brown’s lead with independents almost in half over the last two months, from 26 points in August to now just 15 points. And she has the Democratic base pretty unified around her with 81% planning to vote for her compared to only 14% who are siding with Brown.