Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%   
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 40%   

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 51% 
• Mitt Romney 44% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% 
  
• Barack Obama 43% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% 
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 63% 
  
• Barack Obama 33%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 86% 
• Mitt Romney 11%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48% 
  
• Barack Obama 47%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 49% / 46%  {+3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 56% / 39% {+17%} 
  

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 42% / 51% {-9%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% / 43% {+11%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 45% / 49%  {-4%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 63% / 34% {+29%}
  

Among Blacks

• Mitt Romney 13% / 80% {-67%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 45%

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 53% / 41% {+12%}

Among Moderates 

• Paul Ryan 43% / 48% {-5%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 52% / 43% {+9%}

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 45% / 47% {-2%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

• Favorable 47%
• Unfavorable 47%

Who do you think won the Vice Presidential debate: Joe Biden or Paul Ryan?

• Joe Biden 46%
• Paul Ryan 42%
• Not sure 12%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 50% 
  

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 68%
• Somewhat excited 21%
• Not at all excited 12%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 72%
• Somewhat excited 18%
• Not at all excited 11%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 72%
• Somewhat excited 19%
• Not at all excited 9%

Among Independents

• Very excited 53%
• Somewhat excited 29%
• Not at all excited 19%

Survey of 1,084 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 12-14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 45% Democrat; 35% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 17% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very liberal. Race: 70% White; 22% Black; 7% Other.

• Mitt Romney 49% (48%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 47% (48%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%) 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% (57%) {56%} [52%] (56%) {51%} [53%] (51%) {49%} [54%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%) 
• Barack Obama 43% (40%) {42%} [44%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% (54%) {55%} [51%] (57%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) 
• Mitt Romney 46% (42%) {42%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48% (49%)
• Barack Obama 47% (47%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (37%) {29%} [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 46% ( 49%) {49%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (53%) {58%} [56%] (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {+3%}
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% (53%) {55%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 43% (42%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {56%} [55%] (52%) {48%} [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {+11%} 

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 45% (40%) {42%} [45%] (34%) {42%} [37%] (34%) {24%} [28%] (27%) {30%} [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 49% ( 53%) {54%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [48%] (56%) {60%} [57%] (60%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-4%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?

• Favorable 48% [46%]
• Unfavorable 45% [42%]

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 53% [52%] / 41% [41%] {+12%}

Among Moderates 

• Paul Ryan 43% [33%] / 48% [52%] {-5%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 52% [50%] / 43% [41%] {+9%}

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 45% [43%] / 47% [43%] {-2%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

• Favorable 47% {47%}
• Unfavorable 47% {44%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% (48%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 68% (63%)
• Somewhat excited 21% (23%)
• Not at all excited 12% (14%)

Among Democrats

• Very excited 72% (69%)
• Somewhat excited 18% (20%)
• Not at all excited 11% (11%)

Among Republicans

• Very excited 72% (58%)
• Somewhat excited 19% (26%)
• Not at all excited 9% (16%)

Among Independents

• Very excited 53% (56%)
• Somewhat excited 29% (24%)
• Not at all excited 19% (20%)

Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Party ID: 45% (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 21% (19%) {20%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% (30%) {27%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (29%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% (24%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (19%) {20%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% (14%) {15%} [15%] (17%) {17%} [13%] (17%) {19%} [15%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.