Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% (51%) {51%} [49%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {43%} [44%] (46%) 
• Barack Obama 48% (46%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {43%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (42%) 

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? 

• Very favorable 44% (38%) {40%} [38%] (33%) {30%} [23%] (21%)
• Somewhat favorable 9% (16%) {13%} [14%] (18%) {19%} [29%] (29%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 11% (14%) {12%} [10%] (15%) {19%} [19%] (25%)
• Very unfavorable 33% (31%) {33%} [36%] (32%) {29%} [25%] (22%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? 

• Very favorable 38%
• Somewhat favorable 9%
• Somewhat unfavorable 8%
• Very unfavorable 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 53% (54%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [52%] (50%) / 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [44%] (47%) {+9%}
• Barack Obama 47% / 51% {-4%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 

• Strongly approve 37% (31%) {32%} [33%] (35%) {30%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
• Somewhat approve 11% (18%) {16%} [18%] (16%) {19%} [21%] (12%) {21%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 5% (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (12%) {6%}
• Strongly disapprove 44% (41%) {45%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (39%) {45%} 

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 48% (49%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} 
• Disapprove 49% (49%) {52%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {51%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-five percent (95%) of Florida voters say they are certain to vote on Election Day. Among these voters, it's Romney 52%, Obama 47%.

Florida has early voting, and 23% of voters in the state have already cast a ballot. Obama is ahead 54% to 44% among those voters who've already voted. Last week, Romney led Obama among this group of voters.

Among those who have yet to vote, 92% say they have already made up their minds which candidate they will vote for. Romney leads 51% to 48% among these voters.

Florida voters trust Romney more than Obama to handle the economy by a 51% to 45% margin but are evenly divided when it comes to which candidate they trust more to handle national security and energy policy.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters in the state expect the U.S. economy to get better if Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress. That compares to 39% who feel that way if Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress. Forty-four percent (44%) expect the economy to get worse if Obama wins, compared to 38% who believe that's true if Romney's the winner.

Younger voters in the state back the president, but middle age voters and senior citizens prefer Romney. Romney is ahead among male voters but trails the president among female voters.

Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, Obama leads Romney 56% to 38%.