Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 52% [49%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (44%)
• Scott Brown (R) 47% [47%] (48%) {45%} [45%] (49%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Elizabeth Warren

• Very favorable 33% [35%] (32%)
• Somewhat favorable 22% [19%] (19%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 21% [24%] (14%)
• Very unfavorable 21% [20%] (33%)

Scott Brown 

• Very favorable 34% [33%] (32%)
• Somewhat favorable 18% [22%] (24%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 12% [8%] (25%)
• Very unfavorable 33% [35%] (18%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Elizabeth Warren 55% [54%] (51%) / 42% [44%] (47%) {+13%}
• Scott Brown 52% [55%] (56%) / 45% [43%] (43%) {+7%}
  

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 29, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-four percent (94%) of likely voters in the state say they are certain to vote in this election. Warren leads 52% to 48% among these voters.

Brown has a three-point lead among male voters but trails by 13 among female voters. He earns the support of 91% of Republicans and 15% of Democrats, while Warren has the backing of 85% of the voters in her party. The Republican leads by 17 points among voters not affiliated with either major party.