Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {44%} [44%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [46%] (47%)
• Some other candidate 1% {3%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% {5%} [6%] (4%)
  

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 29% {26%} [20%] (12%)
• Somewhat favorable 20% {22%} [30%] (34%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% {11%} [18%] (25%)
• Very unfavorable 35% {38%} [31%] (26%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [50%] (46%) / 50% {49%} [49%] (51%) {-1%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 32% {30%} [30%] (29%)
• Somewhat approve 17% {20%} [18%] (19%)
• Somewhat disapprove 12% {7%} [9%] (13%)
• Strongly disapprove 37% {43%} [42%] (37%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 49% {50%} [48%] (48%)
  
• Disapprove 49% {50%} [51%] (50%)
  

Survey of 500 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 7, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Just 82% of all likely voters in the state are certain of whom they will vote for. Eighteen percent (18%) say they still could change their minds. The president leads 52% to 48% among voters who’ve made up their minds already. Romney’s ahead 42% to 38% among those who might yet change their minds.

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Likely Iowa Voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy versus 45% who trust the president more.

Forty-eight percent (48%) think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take over the Congress, compared to 42% who feel that way if Obama is reelected and Democrats are in full charge of Congress. Slightly more (45%) believe the economy will get worse if Obama wins, while 40% expect a worse economy if Romney comes out on top.

Voters in Iowa are evenly divided when asked which candidate they trust more to handle national security issues.

Romney has the support of 86% of Iowa Republicans, while 91% of the state’s Democrats prefer the president. Obama leads 47% to 44% among voters not affiliated with either major party.