Wednesday, October 03, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 51% (49%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (47%)
  • Todd Akin (R) 45% (43%) {38%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (45%) 
  • Some other candidate 1% (4%) {9%} [4%] (2%) {2%} [4%]
  • Undecided 3% (4%) {5%} [5%] (7%) {7%} [4%]
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Todd Akin
  • Very favorable 30% (16%) {11%}
  • Somewhat favorable 17% (23%) {24%}
  • Somewhat unfavorable 17% (14%) {16%}
  • Very unfavorable 34% (42%) {47%}
Claire McCaskill
  • Very favorable 14% (24%) {19%}
  • Somewhat favorable 27% (25%) {29%}
  • Somewhat unfavorable 11% (15%) {12%}
  • Very unfavorable 44% (33%) {36%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Todd Akin 47% (39%) {35%} / 51% (56%) {63%} {-4%}
  • Claire McCaskill 41% (49%) {48%} / 55% (48%) {48%} {-14%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The candidates are tied among male voters in the state, but McCaskill leads Akin by 12 points among female voters.
McCaskill is supported by 95% of voters in her own political party, while Akin is backed by 84% of Republicans. Voters not affiliated with either party are evenly divided.
Overall, (92%) of Missouri voters are certain they will vote this election. Among those who are certain to vote, 50% prefer McCaskill, while 46% will support Akin.

No comments: