Friday, November 30, 2012

Poll Watch: CBS News Poll on Marijuana Legalization

CBS News Poll on Pot Legalization

Do you think that the use of marijuana should be made legal, or not?

  • Yes, should be legal 47%
  • No, should not be legal 47%
Among Democrats
  • Yes, should be legal 51%
  • No, should not be legal 41%
Among Republicans
  • Yes, should be legal 27%
  • No, should not be legal 66%
Among Independents
  • Yes, should be legal 55%
  • No, should not be legal 41%
Age 18-29
  • Yes, should be legal 54%
  • No, should not be legal 41%
Age 30-44
  • Yes, should be legal 53%
  • No, should not be legal 42%
Age 45-64
  • Yes, should be legal 46%
  • No, should not be legal 48%
Age 65+ 
  • Yes, should be legal 30%
  • No, should not be legal 61%
Do you think doctors should be allowed to prescribe small amounts of marijuana for patients suffering from serious illnesses, or not?  
  • Should be allowed 83%
  • Should not be allowed 13%
Do you think laws regarding whether the use of marijuana is legal or not should be determined by the federal government, or left to each individual state government to decide? 
  • State governments 59%
  • Federal government 34%
Survey of 1,100 adults was conducted November 16-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 25% Republican; 40% Independent.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Not sure 8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Joe Biden (D) 41%
  • Not sure 12%
  • Chris Christie (R) 50%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 35%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Not sure 11%
  • Chris Christie (R) 56%
  • Joe Biden (D) 31%
  • Not sure 13%
  • Chris Christie (R) 58%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 29%
  • Not sure 13%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Chris Christie (R) 35%
  • Not sure 6%
  • Joe Biden (D) 49%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Not sure 11%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 39%
  • Not sure 18%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 67% / 27% {+40%} 
  • Andrew Cuomo 46% / 23% {+23%}
  • Joe Biden 52% / 39% {+13%}
Would you like for Chris Christie to run for President in 2016, or not?
  • Would like him to 38%
  • Would not 44%
  • Not sure 17%
Survey of 600 New Jersey voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 25% Republican; 27% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 20% Somewhat conservative; 10% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP New Jersey 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

PPP New Jersey 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 58%
  • Andrew Cuomo 12%
  • Joe Biden 12%
  • Elizabeth Warren 6%
  • Deval Patrick 2%
  • Mark Warner 2%
  • Martin O'Malley 2%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 7%
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Andrew Cuomo 37%
  • Elizabeth Warren 14%
  • Deval Patrick 4%
  • Martin O'Malley 3%
  • Mark Warner 2%
  • Brian Schweitzer 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 84% / 11% {+73%}
  • Joe Biden 75% / 16% {+59%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 57% / 14% {+43%}
Survey of 300 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.66 percentage points.  Ideology: 36% Somewhat liberal; 34% Moderate; 21% Very liberal; 7% Somewhat conservative; 2% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP New Jersey 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP New Jersey 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Condoleezza Rice, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Rick Santorum, who would you most like to
see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

  • Chris Christie 48%
  • Marco Rubio 14%
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Condoleezza Rice 6%
  • Rand Paul 5%
  • Mike Huckabee 3%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Sarah Palin 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 5%
Survey of 268 Republican primary voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% Somewhat conservative; 28% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 8% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Cory Booker, who would you vote for?
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% [43%]
  • Cory Booker (D) 36% [47%]
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 53% [42%]
  • Cory Booker (D) 31% [43%]
Among Moderates
  • Chris Christie (R) 53% [35%]
  • Cory Booker (D) 30% [51%]
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 58% [49%]
  • Cory Booker (D) 27% [43%]
Among Women
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [38%]
  • Cory Booker (D) 43% [51%]
If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Richard Codey, who would you vote for?
  • Chris Christie 53%
  • Richard Codey 31%
If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Bruce Springsteen, who would you vote for?
    • Chris Christie (R) 61% [42%]
    • Bruce Springsteen (D) 25% [42%]
    If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Steve Sweeney, who would you vote for?
    • Chris Christie (R) 57% [42%]
    • Steve Sweeney (D) 20% [40%]
    If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Barbara Buono, who would you vote for?
    • Chris Christie 60%
    • Barbara Buono 20%
    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Chris Christie’s job performance?
    • Approve 67% [43%] (48%)
    • Disapprove 25% [53%] (45%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 65% [40%] (55%)
    • Disapprove 28% [54%] (39%)
    Among Moderates 
    • Approve 75% [34%] (44%)
    • Disapprove 20% [62%] (51%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 91% [82%] (79%)
    • Disapprove 8% [17%] (16%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 56% [16%] (23%)
    • Disapprove 32% [79%] (68%)
    Among Men
    • Approve 74% [45%] (51%)
    • Disapprove 20% [50%] (43%)
    Among Women
    • Approve 62% [41%] (46%)
    • Disapprove 29% [56%] (47%)
    Do you approve or disapprove of how Chris Christie handled Hurricane Sandy?
    • Approve 89%
    • Disapprove 9%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Bruce Springsteen 54% [50%] / 23% [22%] {+31%}
    • Cory Booker 48% [43%] / 20% [16%] {+28%}
    • Richard Codey 34% / 23% {+11%}
    • Barbara Buono 9% / 19% {-10%
    • Steve Sweeney 14% [13%] / 27% [37%] {-13%}
    Among Independents
    • Cory Booker 45% [35%] / 21% [13%] {+24%}
    Among Moderates
    • Cory Booker 46% [41%] / 22% [18%] {+24%}
    Among Men
    • Cory Booker 52% [41%] / 24% [23%] {+28%}
    Among Women
    • Cory Booker 45% [44%] / 17% [11%] {+28%}
    Survey of 600 New Jersey voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 48% [46%] (43%) Democrat; 25% [32%] (29%) Republican; 27% [22%] (27%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% [36%] Moderate; 26% [18%] Somewhat liberal; 20% [22%] Somewhat conservative; 10% [12%] Very conservative; 9% [12%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 6-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, November 29, 2012

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Senatorial Survey

    If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Frank Lautenberg and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?
    • Frank Lautenberg 48%
    • Kim Guadagno 33%
    • Not sure 19% 
    If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?
    • Cory Booker 52%
    • Kim Guadagno 29%
    • Not sure 19%
    If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Rob Andrews and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?
    • Rob Andrews 35%
    • Kim Guadagno 34%
    • Not sure 31%
    If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Frank Pallone and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?
    • Kim Guadagno 32%
    • Frank Pallone 32%
    • Not sure 36%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Cory Booker 48% / 20% {+28%}
    • Frank Pallone 15% / 14% {+1%}
    • Kim Guadagno 13% / 14% {-1%}
    • Rob Andrews 14% / 17% {-3%}
    Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?
    • Approve 43%
    • Disapprove 36%
    Survey of 600 New Jersey voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 48% Democrat; 25% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 35% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 20% Somewhat conservative; 10% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senatorial Primary Survey

    PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senate Primary Poll
      Would you prefer the Democratic candidate for Senate in 2014 be Cory Booker or Frank Lautenberg?
      • Cory Booker 59%
      • Frank Lautenberg 22%
      • Not sure 18%
      Given the choices of Rob Andrews, Cory Booker, and Frank Pallone, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for Senate in 2014?
      • Cory Booker 48%
      • Rob Andrews 17%
      • Frank Pallone 13%
      • Someone else 11%
      • Not sure 11%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Cory Booker 62% / 15% {+47%}
      • Frank Pallone 18% / 11% {+7%}
      • Rob Andrews 16% / 16% {0%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?
      • Approve 63%
      • Disapprove 18%
      Would you like for Frank Lautenberg to run for re-election in 2014, or would you prefer that he retire?
      • He should run for re-election 36%
      • He should retire 45%
      • Not sure 20%
      Survey of 300 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 36% Somewhat liberal; 34% Moderate; 21% Very liberal; 7% Somewhat conservative; 2% Very conservative.

      Wednesday, November 28, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Egypt

      Rasmussen (R) Poll on Egypt

      Is Egypt an ally or an enemy of the United States, or somewhere in between?
      • Ally 14% [23%] (34%) {42%} [39%]
      • Enemy 15% [21%] (14%) {8%} [9%]
      • In between 55% [48%] (43%) {39%} [42%
      • Not sure 16%
      Has the change in the government of Egypt brought about by last year’s Arab Spring protests been good for the United States, bad for the United States or has it had no impact on the United States?
      • Good for the U.S. 12%
      • Bad for the U.S. 37%
      • No impact on U.S. 21%
      • Not sure 30%
      Over the next few years, how likely is that Egypt will become a free, democratic, and peaceful nation?
      • Very likely 9%
      • Somewhat likely 26%
      • Not very likely 34%
      • Not at all likely 13%
      • Not sure 18%
      Should the United States get more directly involved in the Egypt situation or leave the situation alone? 
      • Get more directly involved 18%
      • Leave the situation alone 57%
      • Undecided 25%
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the polls conducted October 16-17, 2012 and October 18-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted October 17-18, 2011 and October 19-20, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the polls conducted August 20-21, 2010 and August 22-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted August 5-8, 2009 are in square brackets.
      Inside the numbers: 
      Republicans and voters not affiliated with either major political party are twice as supportive of U.S. involvement in Egypt as Democrats are.
      But then only 21% of voters in President Obama’s party see the change in the Egyptian government as bad for the United States, compared to 60% of Republicans and 34% of unaffiliateds. Democrats are also much more optimistic that Egypt will become free, democratic and peaceful in the new few years.
      Seventy-seven percent (77%) of all voters say they have been following recent news reports about the political unrest in Egypt, including 39% who have been following very closely.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53%
      • John E. Sununu (R) 42%
      • Undecided 5%
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
      • Approve 51%
      • Disapprove 36%
      Survey of 1,018 registered New Hampshire voters was conducted November 14-15, 2012 on behalf of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

      Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

      If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Cory Booker the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
      • Chris Christie 53% (46%) {47%}
      • Cory Booker 35% (42%) {40%}
      Among Democrats
      • Cory Booker 67% (74%) {72%}
      • Chris Christie 20% (12%) {13%}
      Among Republicans
      • Chris Christie 91% (88%) {85%}
      • Cory Booker 6% (7%) {7%}
      Among Independents
      • Chris Christie 60% (51%) {51%}
      • Cory Booker 24% (34%) {35%}
      Among Men
      • Chris Christie 53% (52%) {55%}
      • Cory Booker 35% (39%) {36%}
      Among Women
      • Chris Christie 53% (40%) {40%}
      • Cory Booker 34% (46%) {44%}
      If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Codey the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
      • Chris Christie 57% (47%)
      • Richard Codey 30% (41%)
      If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Barbara Buono the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
      • Chris Christie 61% (49%)
      • Barbara Buono 23% (33%)
      If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Wisniewski the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
      • Chris Christie 62%
      • John Wisniewski 21%
      If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Lou Greenwald the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
      • Chris Christie 62% (50%)
      • Lou Greenwald 20% (31%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Chris Christie 67% {52%} / 22% {42%} {+45%}
      • Cory Booker 52% {49%} / 13% {11%} {+39%}
      • Richard Codey 35% / 13% {+22%}
      • Barbara Buono 8% / 7% {+1%}
      • Lou Greenwald 6% / 7% {-1%}
      • John Wisniewski 5% / 7% {-2%}
      Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
      • Yes/Deserves 67% (52%)
      • No/Does not 25% (40%)
      Survey of 1,664 registered voters was conducted November 19-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% (25%) {24%} Republican; 35% (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

      Tuesday, November 27, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

      Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Chris Christie (R) 53%
      • Cory Booker (D) 34%
      • Chris Christie (R) 56%
      • Richard Codey (D) 31%
      • Chris Christie (R) 58%
      • Tom Byrne (D) 22%
      • Chris Christie (R) 60%
      • Barbara Buono (D) 22%
      • Chris Christie (R) 60%
      • Lou Greenwald (D) 21%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Chris Christie 67% / 25% {+42%}
      • Cory Booker 52% / 11% {+41%}
      • Richard Codey 34% / 14% {+20%}
      • Tom Byrne 15% / 11% {+4%}
      • Barbara Buono 11% / 7% {+4%}
      • Lou Greenwald 9% / 7% {+2%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
      • Approve 67%
      • Disapprove 26%
      Survey of 1,108 registered voters was conducted November 14-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 22% Republican; 35% Independent.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

      Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
      • Approve 72% (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
      • Disapprove 21% (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 52% (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
      • Disapprove 39% (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 95% (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
      • Disapprove 4% (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 77% (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
      • Disapprove 16% (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
      Among Men
      • Approve 75% (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
      • Disapprove 19% (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
      Among Women
      • Approve 70% (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
      • Disapprove 23% (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
      How would you rate Governor Christie's overall response to Hurricane Sandy; excellent, good, not so good or poor? 
      • Excellent 59%
      • Good 36%
      • Not so good 3%
      • Poor 1%
      Who do you think did the best job handling the recovery from Hurricane Sandy: Governor Cuomo, Governor Christie, Mayor Bloomberg, or President Obama?  
      • Governor Christie 68%
      • President Obama 15%
      • Mayor Bloomberg 5%
      • Governor Cuomo 3%
      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Christie praising President Obama's response to Hurricane Sandy? 
      • Approve 84%
      • Disapprove 12%
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 94%
      • Disapprove 3%
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 69%
      • Disapprove 28%
      Among Independents
      • Approve 86%
      • Disapprove 10%
      Survey of 1,664 registered voters was conducted November 19-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% (25%) {24%} Republican; 35% (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

      Monday, November 26, 2012

      Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

      FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

      Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

      • Approve 77% (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
      • Disapprove 17% (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 67% (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
      • Disapprove 26% (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 87% (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
      • Disapprove 9% (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}
      Among Independents
      • Approve 92% (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
      • Disapprove 5% (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}
      Among Men
      • Approve 76% (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
      • Disapprove 19% (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}
      Among Women
      • Approve 77% (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
      • Disapprove 15% (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}
      Panel survey of 241 registered voters was conducted November 13 – November 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 49% [48%] {47%} Democrat; 34% [33%] {33%} Republican; 17% [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.
      The most recent panel survey by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind was conducted by telephone from October 26 – October 29, 2012 and then again from November 13 – November 18, 2012 using a randomly selected sample of registered voters statewide. Respondents were initially contacted in the days before the presidential election and Hurricane Sandy, yielding an original sample size of 394. The desired sample size was larger, however the effects of Hurricane Sandy brought the data collection to an early conclusion in the first wave. 

      The same 394 respondents were re-contacted after the election and Hurricane Sandy. Due to the inevitable attrition that comes with any panel design, the final number of respondents who completed both pre- and post-election interviews was 241, or 61% of the original sample. This release compares the 241 respondents pre and post-election responses.

      Thursday, November 22, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

      Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

      Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
      • Favorable 67% {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
      • Unfavorable 25% {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
      Among Democrats
      • Favorable 49% {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
      • Unfavorable 38% {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
      Among Republicans
      • Favorable 89% {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
      • Unfavorable {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
      Among Independents
      • Favorable 70% {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
      • Unfavorable {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
      How well do you think Governor Chris Christie has been handling the crisis of Superstorm Sandy, its aftermath, and recovery efforts?
      • Very well 69%
      • Somewhat well 23%
      • Somewhat poorly 3%
      • Very poorly 2% 
      Among Democrats
      • Very well 66%
      • Somewhat well 26%
      • Somewhat poorly 3%
      • Very poorly 2%
      Among Republicans
      • Very well 78%
      • Somewhat well 15%
      • Somewhat poorly 1%
      • Very poorly 1%
      Among Independents
      • Very well 67%
      • Somewhat well 22%
      • Somewhat poorly 3%
      • Very poorly 3%
      Did Governor Christie’s response to Superstorm Sandy make you more supportive of him, less supportive of him, or did it have no effect on how supportive you are of the governor?  
      • More supportive 61%
      • Less supportive 3%
      • No effect 35%
      Among Democrats
      • More supportive 60%
      • Less supportive 3%
      • No effect 36%
      Among Republicans
      • More supportive 68%
      • Less supportive 0%
      • No effect 32%
      Among Independents
      • More supportive 58%
      • Less supportive 5%
      • No effect 36%
      Governor Christie praised and embraced President Obama, during his visit after the storm, stating that this was not a time for partisan politics. Some say this showed needed cooperation and bipartisanship in a time of crisis. Others say the governor went too far in his praise of the president and hurt Mitt Romney’s campaign. What is your opinion? 
      • Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 81% 
      • Christie went too far in his praise 12% 
      Among Democrats
      • Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 88% 
      • Christie went too far in his praise 6%
      Among Republicans
      • Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 69% 
      • Christie went too far in his praise 25%
      Among Independents
      • Showed needed cooperation/bipartisanship 80% 
      • Christie went too far in his praise 13%
      Survey of 1,108 registered voters was conducted November 14-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 22% {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 35% {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

      Inside the numbers: 
      Christie receives high praise even from his customary detractors. Almost three-quarters of women (72 percent) think Christie handled the crisis very well, and 64 percent say they are now more supportive of him. Fifty-three percent of black residents and 61 percent of Hispanics say the governor did very well. Forty-three percent of blacks and 55 percent of Hispanics also say they are now more supportive of Christie.
      The governor’s strongest support comes from those regions most heavily affected by Superstorm Sandy. Eighty-three percent of shore county residents say Christie handled the crisis very well, as do 76 percent of northwestern New Jersey (exurban) residents. More than 60 percent in each region are now more supportive of Christie because of his actions.

      Wednesday, November 21, 2012

      Poll Watch: National Research (R) New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

      National Research (R) New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Chris Christie's job performance?
      • Approve 77%
      • Disapprove 21%
      Among Independents
      • Approve 83%
      • Disapprove 15%
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 89%
      • Disapprove 10%
      Survey of 600 registered New Jersey voters was conducted November 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% Democrat; 32% Republican; 26% Independent.

      Inside the numbers: 
      Ninety-four percent (94%) approve of the Governor’s handling of Hurricane Sandy and recovery and restoration efforts.
      Ninety-one percent (91%) approve of the way the Governor and President Obama worked together in the aftermath of the storm.
      President Obama’s image stands at 57% favorable and 40% unfavorable.
      It is important to note that this is unchanged from our previous survey and mirrors the election results.
      The Legislative generic ballot is virtually tied, with 41% preferring GOP control of the Legislature, and 40% preferring Democratic control.

      Tuesday, November 20, 2012

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York City Survey on the Response to Hurricane Sandy

      Quinnipiac NYC Poll on the Response to Hurricane Sandy

      Who do you think did the best job handling the recovery from Hurricane Sandy: Governor Cuomo, Governor Christie, Mayor Bloomberg, or President Obama? 
      • Governor Christie 36%
      • President Obama 22%
      • Governor Cuomo 15%
      • Mayor Bloomberg 12% 
      Among Whites
      • Governor Christie 43%
      • Governor Cuomo 17%
      • President Obama 13%
      • Mayor Bloomberg 11% 
      Among Blacks
      • Governor Christie 34%
      • President Obama 31%
      • Governor Cuomo 11%
      • Mayor Bloomberg 9% 
      Among Hispanics 
      • Governor Christie 31%
      • President Obama 29%
      • Governor Cuomo 16%
      • Mayor Bloomberg 14% 
      How would you rate Governor Christie's overall response to Hurricane Sandy?
      • Excellent 54%
      • Good 35%
      • Not so good 3%
      • Poor 1% 
      How would you rate President Obama's overall response to Hurricane Sandy?
      • Excellent 48%
      • Good 36%
      • Not so good 7%
      • Poor 5%
      How would you rate Governor Cuomo's overall response to Hurricane Sandy? 
      • Excellent 38%
      • Good 47%
      • Not so good 9%
      • Poor 3%
      How would you rate Mayor Bloomberg's overall response to Hurricane Sandy?
      • Excellent 29%
      • Good 46%
      • Not so good 15%
      • Poor 8%
      Survey of 1,165 New York City voters was conducted November 14-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 58% Democrat; 10% Republican; 24% Independent; 8% Other. Race: 41% White; 23% Black; 22% Hispanic; 14% Other.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

      Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

      Who is more to blame for the escalating military conflict between the Israelis and the Palestinians – Israel or the Palestinians? 
      • Palestinians 50%
      • Israel 12%
      • Not sure 38%
      Should the United States help defend Israel, help defend the Palestinians, or stay out of the Middle East conflict entirely? 
      • Help defend Israel 43%
      • Help defend the Palestinians 2%
      • Stay out of Middle East conflict entirely 47%
      Has the recent change of government in Egypt made Israel more safe or less safe, or has it had no impact? 
      • More safe 5%
      • Less safe 45%
      • No impact 23%
      • Not sure 26%
      Generally speaking, is the United States too supportive or not supportive enough of Israel? Or is America's support for Israel just about right?
      • Too supportive 16%
      • Not supportive enough 31%
      • Support just about right 37%
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. 

      Inside the numbers:
      Republicans (75%) are far more likely than Democrats (38%) and voters not affiliated with either of the major parties (40%) to blame the Palestinians for the increasingly violent situation in Gaza.
      While 57% of Republicans feel America is not supportive enough of Israel, 51% of Democrats view the current level of support as about right. Unaffiliated voters are more narrowly divided. 
      Male voters and those over 40 are more supportive of Israel than female voters and those 18 to 39.
      Seventy percent (70%) of GOP voters believe the United States should help defend Israel. Sixty-two percent (62%) of Democrats and 52% of unaffiliated voters think the United States should stay out of the Middle East conflict.
      Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters say they have followed recent news stories about Israel, including 38% who have been following very closely.

      Monday, November 19, 2012

      Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on the Situation in the Middle East

      CNN/ORC Poll on the Situation in the Middle East

      In the Middle East situation, are your sympathies more with the Israelis or more with the Palestinians?

      Registered Voters
      • Israelis 60%
      • Palestinians 14%
      Among Democrats 
      • Israelis 51%
      • Palestinians 16%
      Among Republicans 
      • Israelis 80%
      • Palestinians 5%
      Among Independents 
      • Israelis 54%
      • Palestinians 15%
      Among Liberals
      • Israelis 37%
      • Palestinians 27%
      Among Moderates
      • Israelis 56%
      • Palestinians 12%
      Among Conservatives
      • Israelis 77%
      • Palestinians 6%
      Do you think Israel was justified or unjustified in taking military action against Hamas and the Palestinians in the area known as Gaza?

      Registered Voters
      • Yes, justified 59%
      • No, not justified 23%
      Among Democrats
      • Yes, justified 41%
      • No, not justified 36%
      Among Republicans
      • Yes, justified 74%
      • No, not justified 12%
      Among Independents
      • Yes, justified 59%
      • No, not justified 23%
      Among Liberals
      • Yes, justified 39%
      • No, not justified 33%
      Among Moderates
      • Yes, justified 53%
      • No, not justified 29%
      Among Conservatives
      • Yes, justified 72%
      • No, not justified 15%
      Among Men
      • Yes, justified 64%
      • No, not justified 21%
      Among Women
      • Yes, justified 51%
      • No, not justified 28%
      Survey of 1,023 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted November 16-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID (among all adults); 32% Democrat; 24% Republican; 44% Independent. 

      Fox News Sunday: Panel Plus

      Saxby Chambliss and Joe Lieberman on Fox News Sunday

      Bobby Jindal and Scott Walker on Fox News Sunday

      Sunday, November 18, 2012

      Carl Levin and Pete King on This Week



      Face the Nation Roundtable

      Olympia Snowe on Face the Nation

      John McCain on Face the Nation

      Meet the Press Roundtable







      Lindsey Graham on Meet the Press



      Mike Rogers and Dianne Feinstein on Meet the Press



      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 31% (30%) {30%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 22% (23%) {23%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% (9%) {9%} [8%] (9%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 37% (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 53% (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {55%} [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 46% (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 15-17, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 14-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

      Saturday, November 17, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 30% {30%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 23% {23%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% {9%} [8%] (9%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 53% {53%} [54%] (54%) {55%} [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 46% {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 14-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

      Friday, November 16, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 30% [32%] (32%) {33%} [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 23% [22%] (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% [8%] (9%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 37% [37%] (36%) {35%} [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 53% [54%] (54%) {55%} [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 46% [45%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 13-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses.

      Thursday, November 15, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 32% (32%) {33%} [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 22% (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 8% (9%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 37% (36%) {35%} [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 54% (54%) {55%} [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 45% (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 12-14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses. 

      Inside the numbers:
      Ninety-three percent (93%) of Democrats approve, while 82% of Republicans disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either party, 45% approve and 54% disapprove.

      Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Illegal Immigration

      Washington Post-ABC News Poll on Illegal Immigration

      Do you support or oppose a path to citizenship for illegal immigrants?

      Among Registered Voters
      • Support 55%
      • Oppose 42%
      Among All Adults
      • Support 57%
      • Oppose 39%
      Among Democrats
      • Support 71%
      • Oppose 25%
      Among Republicans
      • Support 37%
      • Oppose 60%
      Among Independents
      • Support 59%
      • Oppose 38%
      Among Liberals
      • Support 71%
      • Oppose 27%
      Among Moderates
      • Support 58%
      • Oppose 38%
      Among Conservatives
      • Support 47%
      • Oppose 49%
      Among Men
      • Support 59%
      • Oppose 39%
      Among Women
      • Support 55%
      • Oppose 39%
      Age 18-39
      • Support 65%
      • Oppose 31%
      Age 40-64
      • Support 53%
      • Oppose 43%
      Age 65+ 
      • Support 47%
      • Oppose 50%
      Among Whites
      • Support 51%
      • Oppose 45%
      Among Blacks
      • Support 62%
      • Oppose 33%
      Among Hispanics
      • Support 82%
      • Oppose 17%
      Survey of 1,023 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted November 7-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points among all adults.

      Poll Watch: Washington Post-ABC News Survey on Marijuana Legalization

      Washington Post-ABC News Poll on Pot Legalization

      Do you support or oppose legalizing the possession of small amounts of marijuana for personal use?

      Among Registered Voters
      • Support 49%
      • Oppose 50%
      Among Democrats
      • Support 57%
      • Oppose 41%
      Among Republicans
      • Support 31%
      • Oppose 69%
      Among Independents
      • Support 52%
      • Oppose 46%
      Among Liberals
      • Support 69%
      • Oppose 29%
      Among Moderates
      • Support 50%
      • Oppose 49%
      Among Conservatives
      • Support 33%
      • Oppose 67%
      Among Men
      • Support 52%
      • Oppose 47%
      Among Women
      • Support 45%
      • Oppose 53%
      Age 18-39
      • Support 56%
      • Oppose 42%
      Age 40-64
      • Support 49%
      • Oppose 50%
      Age 65+ 
      • Support 30%
      • Oppose 67%
      Northeast
      • Support 52%
      • Oppose 47%
      Midwest
      • Support 54%
      • Oppose 45%
      South
      • Support 36%
      • Oppose 62%
      West
      • Support 60%
      • Oppose 37%
      Survey of 1,023 adults, including a subsample of registered voters, was conducted November 7-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points among all adults.

      Wednesday, November 14, 2012

      President Obama Holds a Press Conference

      Click here to read press conference transcript.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

      Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

      Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
      • Pro-Choice 54% [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
      • Pro-Life 38% [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
      National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Inside the numbers:
      More voters than ever now identify themselves as pro-choice when it comes to abortion, and most rate the issue as important to how they vote.
      The number of pro-choice voters is up only slightly from 52% in August but is now at the highest level ever measured by Rasmussen Reports in surveys dating back to 2007. This also marks the first time that the percentage of pro-life voters has fallen below 40% in several years.
      Republican candidates favored to win U.S. Senate races in Indiana and Missouri lost last week in large part because of controversial abortion-related remarks they made.
      Fifty-six percent (56%) of women are now pro-choice, as are 51% of men.

      Voters younger than 40 are more likely than their elders to be pro-choice.
      Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters now consider abortion important to how they will vote, including 37% who view it as Very Important. Among female voters, 45% feel the issue of abortion is Very Important to their vote.
      Forty-five percent (45%) of pro-life voters say abortion is Very Important as a voting issue, compared to 34% who are Pro-Choice.
      Among all voters, only 35% say the issue is not important in terms of how they vote, with 13% who feel it is Not At All Important.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 32% {33%} [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 22% {22%} [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% {9%} [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 36% {35%} [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 54% {55%} [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 45% {44%} [45%] (45%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 11-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 10-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses. 

      Inside the numbers:
      Ninety-eight percent (98%) of black voters approve, while 56% of whites disapprove. Among voters of other races, 83% approve and 15% disapprove.

      Tuesday, November 13, 2012

      Poll Watch: Pew Research/Washington Post Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

      Pew Research/Washington Post Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

      Do you think President Obama and Republicans in Congress will reach an agreement to prevent automatic spending cuts and tax increases from going into effect before January 1st, or not?
      • Yes, will 38%
      • No, will not 51%
      Democrats
      • Yes, will 47%
      • No, will not 40%
      Republicans
      • Yes, will 25%
      • No, will not 66%
      Independents 
      • Yes, will 37%
      • No, will not 51%
      If an agreement is not reached, who do you think would be more to blame: Republicans in Congress or President Obama?
      • Republicans in Congress 53%
      • President Obama 29%
      Democrats
      • Republicans in Congress 85%
      • President Obama 7%
      Republicans
      • Republicans in Congress 12%
      • President Obama 68%
      Independents 
      • Republicans in Congress 53%
      • President Obama 23%
      Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted November 8-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 33% [33%] (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 22% [21%] (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% [9%] (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 35% [36%] (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 55% [54%] (53%) 
      • Disapprove 44% [45%] (45%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 46% [47%] (45%) 
      • Disapprove 51% [49%] (50%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 10-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses. 

      Inside the numbers:
      Ninety-four percent (94%) of Democrats approve, while 82% of Republicans disapprove.

      Monday, November 12, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marijuana and Alcohol

      Rasmussen (R) Poll on Marijuana and Alcohol

      Which is more dangerous – alcohol or marijuana? 
      • Alcohol 51%
      • Marijuana 24%
      • Not sure 24%
      Should marijuana be legalized?
      • Yes 45%
      • No 45%
      • Not sure 10%
      Who should decide whether marijuana is legal in a state – the state government or the federal government?
      • State government 60%
      • Federal government 27%
      • Not sure 13%
      Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted November 9-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

      Inside the numbers:
      Thirty-seven percent (37%) of adults say they drink alcohol at least once a week, with eight percent (8%) who drink every day or nearly every day. Almost as many (34%) say they never drink alcohol.
      On the other hand, only 10% say they have smoked pot within the last year.
      Men are more likely than women to have smoked marijuana in the last year, and adults under 40 are more likely than older adults to have done so. Men are also more likely to support legalization of the drug.
      Not surprisingly, 94% of those who have smoked pot in the last year think it should be legalized, compared to just 38% of those who haven’t.
      Also unsurprisingly, an overwhelming majority of adults who have smoked in the last year say alcohol is more dangerous than marijuana, and a plurality of those who haven’t smoked pot in the past year agree. Most adults who are regular drinkers agree as well.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

      Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

      If Congress and the President take no action, a variety of tax cuts will expire on December 31. These include the Bush tax cuts and temporary cuts in payroll taxes that fund Social Security and Medicare. Should Congress and the President extend the tax cuts for another year or should they let the tax cuts expire?
      • Extend tax cuts another year 60%
      • Let tax cuts expire 28%
      • Undecided 12%
      If Congress and the President take no action, automatic spending cuts including cuts in defense spending and Medicare are scheduled to go into effect on January 1. Should Congress and the President allow these automatic spending cuts to go into effect?
      • Yes, they should 32%
      • No, they should not 48%
      • Not sure 19%
      If the tax cuts expire, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
      • Good 18%
      • Bad 56%
      • Have no impact 10%
      • Undecided 16%
      If the automatic spending cuts in government programs go into effect, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
      • Good 24%
      • Bad 41%
      • Have no impact 12%
      • Undecided 23%
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

      Inside the numbers: 

      Most Republicans (80%) and voters not affiliated with either major political party (60%) want to see the tax cuts extended. Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats also want to see the tax cuts extended, but 41% do not.
      However, 54% of Republicans and 50% of Democrats agree that the government should not allow the automatic spending cuts to take place, while 46% of unaffiliated voters think those cuts should be allowed to go into effect.
      Regardless of what voters believe, 76% of them are following news of the “fiscal cliff” closely, including 44% who are following very closely.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Push Poll on Auto Industry Bailouts

      Rasmussen (R) Push Poll on Auto Industry Bailouts 

      Looking back, were the bailouts of the auto industry good for the United States or bad for the United States?
      • Good 51%
      • Bad 38%
      • Not sure 12%
      Official estimates indicate that the government will lose tens of billions of dollars on the auto bailouts. Knowing that the government lost money on the auto bailouts, would you say that the bailouts were a success or a failure? 
      • Success 42%
      • Failure 45%
      • Undecided 14%
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

      Inside the numbers:
      Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats think the auto bailouts were good for the country, compared to 22% of Republicans. A plurality (46%) of voters not affiliated with either political party agrees more with Democrats.
      After learning that the government will lose money on the bailouts, 66% of Democrats still support them while 74% of GOP voters and 50% of unaffiliateds deem them a failure.
      Younger voters are more supportive of the auto bailouts compared to their elders.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 33% (34%)
      • Somewhat approve 21% (19%)
      • Somewhat disapprove 9% (9%)
      • Strongly disapprove 36% (36%)
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 54% (53%) 
      • Disapprove 45% (45%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 47% (45%) 
      • Disapprove 49% (50%)
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other. Results from the poll conducted November 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses. 

      Inside the numbers:
      That is the president’s highest job approval rating since July 2009 (see trends).
      Ninety-two percent (92%) of Democrats approve while 86% of Republicans disapprove.

      Sunday, November 11, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) President Obama Job Approval Survey

      How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
      • Strongly approve 34%
      • Somewhat approve 19%
      • Somewhat disapprove 9%
      • Strongly disapprove 36%
      President Obama Job Approval
      • Approve 53% 
      • Disapprove 45%
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 8-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 30% Independent/Other. Race: 72% White; 13% Black; 10% Hispanic; 3% Other.

      Inside the numbers: 
      That is the president’s highest job approval rating since July 2009 (see trends).
      Ninety-three percent (93%) of Democrats approve while 88% of Republicans disapprove. Among those not affiliated with either major party, 45% approve and 50% disapprove.