Thursday, July 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
  • Unsure 11%
  • Rand Paul (R) 44%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
  • Unsure 21%
Survey of 1,380 likely voters was conducted July 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 41%
  • Unsure 15%
Survey of 1,380 likely voters was conducted July 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
  • Steve Daines (R) 45% (45%)
  • John Walsh (D) 38% (41%)
  • Roger Roots (L) 9% (6%)
  • Unsure 8% (7%)
Survey of 781 likely voters was conducted July 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (36%) Republican; 29% (29%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) California 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) California 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Rand Paul (R) 40%
  • Unsure 11%
  • Rand Paul (R) 44%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
  • Unsure 23%
Survey of 580 registered voters was conducted July 22-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 31% Republican; 26% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {51%} [50%] (47%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% (41%) {38%} [40%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%) {51%} [49%]
  • John Kasich (R) 40% (42%) {39%} [38%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [42%] (42%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 37% (38%) {36%} [41%] (42%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%) {51%} [50%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 37% (39%) {36%} [37%]
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • John Kasich 46% (47%) {42%} [41%] (47%) / 30% (29%) {30%} [30%] (28%) {+16%}
            • Hillary Clinton 52% (53%) (52%) / 43% (43%) (44%) {+9%}
            • Rand Paul 35% (38%) (43%) / 30% (29%) (26%) {+5%}
            • Chris Christie 34% (36%) (48%) / 36% (36%) (16%) {-2%}
            • Jeb Bush 29% (32%) / 35% (38%) {-6%}
            Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted July 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (29%) {32%} [31%] (29%) Democrat; 28% (29%) {28%} [26%] (28%) Republican; 35% (35%) {33%} [36%] (35%) Independent; 6% (8%) {7%} [7%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Wednesday, July 30, 2014

            Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

            Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
            • Gary Peters (D) 45% (35%)
            • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (37%)
            • Some other candidate 6% (8%)
            • Undecided 10% (20%)
            Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

            Tuesday, July 29, 2014

            Poll Watch: Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

            Talk Business/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
            • Tom Cotton (R) 44% [42.5%] (41%)
            • Mark Pryor (D) 42% [45.5%] (42%)
            • Mark Swaney (G) 4% [2%]
            • Nathan LaFrance (L) 3% [2%]
            • Undecided 7% [8%] (17%)
            Survey of 1,780 likely voters was conducted July 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 32.5% Democrat; 30.0% Republican; 30.5% Independent; 7.0% Other. Results from the poll conducted April 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

            PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
            • Rand Paul (R) 45% {44%} [47%] (45%) 
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [45%] (48%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {49%} [48%]
              • Ted Cruz (R) 43% {40%} [45%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {48%} [47%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {39%} [43%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {48%}
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {41%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [39%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 39% {38%} [46%]
              Among Independents
              • Rand Paul (R) 41% {45%} [46%] (45%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [41%] (45%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {43%} [45%]
              • Ted Cruz (R) 38% {39%} [39%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 35% {36%} [40%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {43%} [42%]
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {40%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {42%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {36%} [30%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 33% {38%} [45%]
                Among Moderates
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [54%] (58%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 32% {30%} [35%] (32%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [59%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 30% {26%} [31%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} [54%]
                • Jeb Bush (R) 29% {27%} [30%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {56%}
                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 30% {29%}
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%} [42%] 
                  • Chris Christie (R) 30% {31%} [39%]
                  Among Men
                  • Rand Paul (R) 51% {48%} [56%] (50%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {45%} [37%] (41%)
                  • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {42%} [53%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {49%} [40%]
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {46%} [51%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {45%} [39%]
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {44%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {46%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 44% {46%} [51%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {43%} [31%]
                    Among Women
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [53%] (53%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 40% {40%} [39%] (41%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%} [56%]
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {38%} [38%]
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {50%} [54%]
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {33%} [34%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%}
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% {39%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%} [47%] 
                      • Chris Christie (R) 35% {31%} [41%]
                      Survey of 653 Colorado voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [35%] (34%) Republican; 31% {33%} [31%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% {27%} [29%] (26%) Moderate; 23% {23%} [27%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {20%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% {16%} [14%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% {15%} [14%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Monday, July 28, 2014

                      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (49%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (38%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 41% [42%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%] (51%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (38%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                      • John Kasich (R) 35%
                        Among Independents
                        • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (31%)
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%] (40%)
                        • Rand Paul (R) 48% [41%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (42%)
                        • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [40%] (31%)
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                        • John Kasich (R) 34%
                          Among Men
                          • Chris Christie (R) 45% [46%] (41%)
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%] (43%)
                          • Rand Paul (R) 47% [47%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (44%)
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [44%] (41%)
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                          • John Kasich (R) 40%
                            Among Women
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [55%] (55%)
                            • Chris Christie (R) 36% [38%] (35%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%]
                            • Rand Paul (R) 36% [38%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [56%] (57%)
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [40%] (36%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
                            • John Kasich (R) 30%
                              National survey of 1,057 registered voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [39%] (40%) Democrat; 35% [38%] (34%) Republican; 18% [20%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                              Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                              • Hillary Clinton 64% [69%] (68%)
                              • Joe Biden 12% [14%] (12%)
                              • Elizabeth Warren 9% [6%] (7%)
                              • Andrew Cuomo 5% [2%] (4%)
                              • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (1%)
                              National survey of 438 registered Democrats was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                              Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                              • Jeb Bush 12% [14%] (12%)
                              • Rick Perry 12% [5%] (3%)
                              • Rand Paul 11% [14%] (11%) 
                              • Chris Christie 10% [15%] (16%
                              • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (12%)
                              • Marco Rubio 9% [8%] (8%)
                              • Ted Cruz 9% [7%] (12%)
                              • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (6%)
                              • Bobby Jindal 4% [2%] 
                              • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] (3%)
                              • John Kasich 2%
                              National survey of 358 registered Republicans was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

                              Among Likely Voters
                              • Mitch McConnell (R) 47% [42%] (42%)
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% [43%] (46%)
                              • Undecided 8% [7%] (12%)
                              Among Men
                              • Mitch McConnell (R) 49% [42%] (46%)
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% [41%] (43%)
                              • Undecided 8% [6%] (11%)
                              Among Women
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 47% [45%] (49%)
                              • Mitch McConnell (R) 46% [41%] (37%)
                              • Undecided 8% [9%] (14%)
                              What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?
                              • Mitch McConnell (R) 41%  [42%]
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 39%  [43%]
                              • David Patterson (L) 7% [4%]
                              • Undecided 13% [7%]
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

                              Among Registered Voters
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes 36% [35%] (26%) / 33% [27%] (27%) {+3%}
                              • Mitch McConnell 36% [29%] (27%) / 43% [49%] (50%) {-7%}
                              Survey of 714 registered voters, including 604 likely voters, was conducted July 18-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 42% [44%] (51%) Democrat; 41% [43%] (37%) Republican; 18% [11%] (9%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Sunday, July 27, 2014

                              Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                              Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                              • Jason Carter (D) 45% (48%)
                              • Nathan Deal (R) 44% (41%) 
                              • Some other candidate 3% (3%)
                              • Undecided 8% (7%)
                              Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 23-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                              CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                              • Hillary Clinton 67% {64%} [63%] (65%)
                              • Elizabeth Warren 10% [7%] (7%)
                              • Joe Biden 8% {13%} [12%] (10%)
                              • Andrew Cuomo 4% {4%} [5%] (6%)
                              • Martin O'Malley 2% {4%} [2%] (2%)
                              Survey of 449 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted July 18-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 67% Democrat; 33% Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                              CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                              • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
                              • Rand Paul 12% {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 12% {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
                              • Rick Perry 11% {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
                              • Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
                              • Jeb Bush 8% {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
                              • Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
                              • Marco Rubio 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
                              • Scott Walker 5% {5%} [7%]
                              • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
                              • Someone else (vol.) 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
                              • None/No one (vol.) 2% {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
                              • No opinion 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)
                              Among Republicans
                              • Paul Ryan 14% {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
                              • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 12% {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
                              • Rand Paul 12% {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
                              • Rick Perry 10% {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
                              • Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
                              • Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
                              • Ted Cruz 6% {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
                              • Scott Walker 4% {4%} [7%] 
                              • Rick Santorum 4% {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
                              • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
                              • None/No one (vol.) 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
                              • No opinion 3% {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
                              Among GOP-Leaning Independents
                              • Rand Paul 13% {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 13% {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
                              • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
                              • Rick Perry 12% {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
                              • Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
                              • Paul Ryan 7% {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
                              • Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
                              • Scott Walker 5% {6%} [6%]
                              • Jeb Bush 5% {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
                              • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
                              • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
                              • None/No one (vol.) 3% {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
                              • No opinion 4% {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
                              Among Men
                              • Rand Paul 14% {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
                              • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
                              • Paul Ryan 12% {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
                              • Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
                              • Rick Perry 9% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
                              • Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
                              • Scott Walker 6% {7%} [8%]
                              • Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%) 
                              • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
                              • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
                              • None/No one (vol.) 2% {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
                              • No opinion 1% {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
                              Among Women
                              • Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
                              • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
                              • Rick Perry 13% {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
                              • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
                              • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
                              • Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
                              • Marco Rubio 7% {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
                              • Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
                              • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [6%]
                              • Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
                              • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
                              • None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
                              • No opinion 5% {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)
                              Survey of 470 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 18-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 59% {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 41% {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Saturday, July 26, 2014

                              Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

                              Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll
                              • Rand Paul (R) 50%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                              • Uncertain 6%
                              • Rand Paul (R) 52%
                              • Elizabeth Warren (D) 34%
                              • Uncertain 14%
                              Survey of 1,054 likely voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Democrat; 39% Republican; 11% Independent/Other.

                              Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% (36%)
                              • Mitch McConnell (R) 45% (43%)
                              • Undecided 10% (12%)
                              Survey of 1,054 likely voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (35%) Democrat; 39% (47%) Republican; 11% (18%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Friday, July 25, 2014

                              Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
                              • Michelle Nunn (D) 46.6% [48%] (33.0%)
                              • David Perdue (R) 43.0% [42%] (37.5%)  
                              • Amanda Swafford (L) 3.8%
                              Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 25, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                              Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
                              • David Perdue (R) 46% (42%)
                              • Michelle Nunn (D) 40% (45%)
                              • Some other candidate 4% (7%)
                              • Undecided 10% (6%)
                              Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 23-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Thursday, July 24, 2014

                              Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                              Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                              • Gary King (D) 43%
                              • Susana Martinez (R) 43%
                              • Some other candidate 7%
                              • Undecided 7%
                              Survey of 860 likely New Mexico voters was conducted July 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                              Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                              • Hillary Clinton 67% {64%} [64%] (70%)
                              • Joe Biden 8% {11%} [9%] (9%)
                              • Elizabeth Warren 8% {6%} [5%] (4%)
                              • Andrew Cuomo 1% {1%} [1%] (2%)
                              • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
                              • Brian Schweitzer 0% {1%}
                              Survey of 457 Democratic voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

                              Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 42% [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [56%] (52%) {50%}
                              • Paul Ryan (R) 38% [36%] (39%) {42%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
                              • Marco Rubio (R) 39% [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%] (53%) {51%}
                              • Rand Paul (R) 37% [37%] (38%) {41%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [52%] (51%) {45%}
                              • Chris Christie (R) 33% [34%] (35%) {41%}
                                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                • Hillary Clinton 58% [58%] [57%] (62%) / 38% [37%] [38%] (33%) {+20%}
                                • Jeb Bush 48% [53%] [54%] (50%) / 37% [35%] [33%] (35%) {+11%}
                                • Marco Rubio 43% [43%] [44%] (41%) / 35% [36%] [33%] (34%) {+8%}
                                • Rand Paul 32% [34%] / 28% [31%] {+4%}
                                • Paul Ryan 33% [33%] / 30% [36%] {+3%}
                                • Chris Christie 35% [37%] / 36% [35%] {-1%}
                                Survey of 1,251 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 32% [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                • Jeb Bush 21% {27%} [25%] (22%)
                                • Marco Rubio 18% {11%} [16%] (18%)
                                • Ted Cruz 10% {6%} [9%] (12%) 
                                • Rand Paul 8% {14%} [11%] (9%) 
                                • Mike Huckabee 7% {6%}
                                • Chris Christie 6% {7%} [9%] (14%)
                                • Rick Perry 5%
                                • Paul Ryan 2% {6%} [5%] (6%)
                                • Scott Walker 2% {4%} [5%] (2%)
                                • Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [3%] (3%)
                                • John Kasich 1%
                                • Rick Santorum 1%
                                Among Men
                                • Jeb Bush 23% {29%} [23%] (21%)
                                • Marco Rubio 14% {9%} [16%] (17%)
                                • Rand Paul 13% {19%} [14%] (13%)
                                • Ted Cruz 11% {5%} [10%] (14%) 
                                • Chris Christie 5% {6%} [9%] (11%) 
                                • Mike Huckabee 5% {5%}
                                • Rick Perry 4%
                                • Scott Walker 3% {5%} [8%] (4%)
                                • Paul Ryan 2% {7%} [5%] (6%)
                                • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (4%)
                                • Rick Santorum 2%
                                • John Kasich 1%
                                Among Women
                                • Marco Rubio 22% {14%} [16%] (20%)
                                • Jeb Bush 19% {26%} [26%] (23%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 10% {7%}
                                • Ted Cruz 9% {6%} [7%] (9%)
                                • Chris Christie 6% {9%} [9%] (17%)
                                • Rick Perry 5%
                                • Rand Paul 3% {7%} [8%] (5%)
                                • Scott Walker 2% {3%} [3%] (1%)
                                • Paul Ryan 1% {4%} [6%] (6%)
                                • John Kasich 1%
                                • Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [3%] (2%) 
                                • Rick Santorum 0%
                                Survey of 451 Republican voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Survey

                                Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Poll
                                • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
                                • Unsure 13%
                                Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

                                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                                • Steve Daines (R) 45%
                                • John Walsh (D) 41%
                                • Roger Roots (L) 6%
                                • Unsure 7%
                                Survey of 741 likely voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Republican; 29% Democrat; 35% Independent/Other.

                                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                • Bruce Braley (D) 44%
                                • Joni Ernst (R) 43%
                                • Unsure 13%
                                Survey of 1,179 likely voters was conducted July 17-18, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 32% Republican; 34% Independent.

                                Wednesday, July 23, 2014

                                Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 45% [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
                                • Rick Scott (R) 40% [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
                                Among Democrats
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 78% [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
                                • Rick Scott (R) 10% [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)
                                Among Republicans
                                • Rick Scott (R) 79% [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 12% [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)
                                Among Independents
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 45% [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
                                • Rick Scott (R) 38% [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
                                Among Men
                                • Rick Scott (R) 48% [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 39% [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%
                                Among Women
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 49% [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
                                • Rick Scott (R) 34% [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)
                                If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 39%
                                • Rick Scott (R) 37%
                                • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%
                                Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor?
                                • Approve 43% [42%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (36%)
                                • Disapprove 48% [50%] (49%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
                                Do you feel that Rick Scott deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?  
                                • Yes/Deserves 40% [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%)
                                • No/Does not 51% [53%] (54%) {53%} [50%] (55%)
                                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                • Charlie Crist 40% [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 42% [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-2%}
                                • Rick Scott 40% [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 45% [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-5%}
                                Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                • Yes 39% [45%]
                                • No 48% [43%]
                                Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?
                                • Yes 40% [38%]
                                • No 51% [51%]
                                Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                • Yes 44% [48%]
                                • No 47% [42%]
                                Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
                                • Yes 41% [38%]
                                • No 52% [55%]
                                Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                • Yes 49% [55%]
                                • No 43% [37%]
                                Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?
                                • Yes 54% [49%]
                                • No 38% [44%]
                                Regardless of who you may support, who do you think is more compassionate, Crist or Scott?
                                • Charlie Crist 48% [50%]
                                • Rick Scott 36% [35%]
                                In recent years, Charlie Crist has changed his party affiliation from Republican to Independent to Democrat. Some people say this is a positive thing because it shows he is a pragmatist who can change with the times and issues. Other people say it is a negative thing because it shows he has no core beliefs. Which comes closest to your view of Charlie Crist?
                                • Positive thing 47% [52%] {46%} [47%] (50%)
                                • Negative thing 45% [40%] {46%} [44%] (40%)
                                Survey of 1,251 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 32% [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

                                Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%)
                                • Paul Ryan (R) 38% (40%)
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%)
                                • Chris Christie (R) 34% (40%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (52%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
                                  Survey of 566 registered voters was conducted July 14-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% (29%) Democrat; 27% (24%) Republican; 28% (47%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                  Tuesday, July 22, 2014

                                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

                                  SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 38%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
                                  • Joe Biden (D) 39%
                                  Among Men
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
                                  • Joe Biden (D) 37%
                                  Among Women
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
                                  • Joe Biden (D) 41%
                                  Survey of 836 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 19% Liberal. Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male . 

                                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                  SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%) 
                                  Among Democrats
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 82% (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 9% (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
                                  Among Republicans
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 73% (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 16% (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 39% (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
                                  Among Moderates
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 54% (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 32% (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
                                  Among Men
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 42% (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
                                  Among Women
                                  • Charlie Crist (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
                                  • Rick Scott (R) 38% (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
                                  Survey of 564 likely voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 37% (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 24% (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 44% (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 17% (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 52% (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 48% (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll released June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll released June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  • Mark Udall (D) 44% {47%} [47%] (42%)
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 43% {43%} [45%] (40%)
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 45% {45%} [43%] (38%)
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 38% {43%} [43%] (30%)
                                  Among Men
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 53% {48%} [50%] (45%)
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 38% {43%} [44%] (42%)
                                  Among Women
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 49% {51%} [49%] (43%)
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 35% {39%} [40%] (36%) 
                                  Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  
                                  • Approve 36% {42%} (41%)
                                  • Disapprove 47% {45%} (40%)
                                  Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  
                                  • Favorable 34% {35%} (23%)
                                  • Unfavorable 39% {42%} (25%)
                                  Survey of 653 Colorado voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 34% {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 31% {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Kay Hagan (D) 41% [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
                                  • Thom Tillis (R) 34% [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
                                  • Sean Haugh (L) 8% [11%] {11%}
                                  Among Men
                                  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
                                  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
                                  • Sean Haugh (L) 9% [10%] {12%}
                                  Among Women
                                  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
                                  • Thom Tillis (R) 27% [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
                                  • Sean Haugh (L) 8% [12%] {10%} 
                                  Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they lean Hagan or Tillis
                                  • Kay Hagan (D) 42% [42%] {41%
                                  • Thom Tillis (R) 39% [38%] {41%}
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Sean Haugh 7% / 20% {-13%}
                                  • Thom Tillis 24% [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 47% [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-23%}
                                  Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
                                  • Approve 40% [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
                                  • Disapprove 50% [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}
                                  Survey of 1,062 registered voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 22% [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

                                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)
                                  Among Men
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)
                                  Among Women
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)
                                  Among Whites
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)
                                  Among Blacks
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 10%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)
                                  Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                  PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                  • Mike Huckabee 25%
                                  • Jeb Bush 16% (16%)
                                  • Ted Cruz 11% (19%)
                                  • Chris Christie 8% (17%)
                                  • Paul Ryan 6% (4%)
                                  • Rand Paul 6% (12%)
                                  • Marco Rubio 5% (8%)
                                  • Rick Santorum 3% (5%)
                                  • Scott Walker 2% (1%)
                                  • Someone else/Not sure 16% (10%)
                                  Among Men
                                  • Mike Huckabee 22%
                                  • Jeb Bush 15% (15%)
                                  • Ted Cruz 13% (22%)
                                  • Chris Christie 10% (12%) 
                                  • Paul Ryan 8% (3%)
                                  • Marco Rubio 8% (7%)
                                  • Rand Paul 5% (14%)
                                  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%)
                                  • Scott Walker 3% (2%)
                                  • Someone else/Not sure 14% (10%)
                                  Among Women
                                  • Mike Huckabee 28%
                                  • Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
                                  • Ted Cruz 9% (17%)
                                  • Chris Christie 7% (23%
                                  • Rand Paul 7% (10%)  
                                  • Paul Ryan 4% (5%)
                                  • Marco Rubio 3% (9%)
                                  • Rick Santorum 2% (6%)
                                  • Scott Walker 1% (0%)
                                  • Someone else/Not sure 19% (10%)
                                  Survey of 434 usual Republican primary voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% (46%) Very conservative; 35% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) Moderate; 3% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Monday, July 21, 2014

                                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  PPP (D) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Steve Daines (R) 46% (52%)
                                  • John Walsh (D) 39% (35%)
                                  • Undecided 15% (13%)
                                  Survey of 574 registered voters was conducted July 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Gary Peters (D) 45% {44%} [38%] (38%)
                                  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36% {38%} [41%] (37%)
                                  Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 12-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Runoff Survey

                                  • Jack Kingston 48%
                                  • David Perdue 41%
                                  Survey of 1,720 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 48% (33.0%)
                                  • David Perdue (R) 42% (37.5%) 
                                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 49% (37.0%)
                                  • Jack Kingston (R) 41% (37.7%)
                                  Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 15, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

                                  • Jack Kingston 46% [41.9%] (46.1%)
                                  • David Perdue 41% [41.1%] (35.1%)
                                  • Undecided 13% [17.0%] (18.9%)
                                  Survey of 696 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 15-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 42%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                  • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                  • Scott Walker (R) 39%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 38%
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Hillary Clinton 52% / 44% {+8%}
                                  • Marco Rubio 34% / 29% {+5%}
                                  • Scott Walker 26% / 24% {+2%}
                                  • Rand Paul 41% / 40% {+1%}
                                  • Chris Christie 39% / 43% {-4%}
                                  • Jeb Bush 38% / 43% {-5%}
                                  • Joe Biden 41% / 49% {-8%
                                  • Ted Cruz 27% / 35% {-8%}
                                  Survey of 1,342 registered voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                                  • Hillary Clinton 74%
                                  • Joe Biden 18%
                                  • Undecided 8%
                                  Survey of 479 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                                  Sunday, July 20, 2014

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                  • Rand Paul 14%
                                  • Chris Christie 13%
                                  • Jeb Bush 10%
                                  • Ted Cruz 9%
                                  • Paul Ryan 7%
                                  • Marco Rubio 7%
                                  • Scott Walker 6%
                                  • Rick Perry 5%
                                  • Bobby Jindal 4%
                                  • Rick Santorum 3%
                                  • Undecided 22%
                                  Survey of 544 registered Republican primary voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                                  • Hillary Clinton 70%
                                  • Joe Biden 20%
                                  • Undecided 10%
                                  Survey of 539 registered Democratic voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                                  • Jeb Bush 12%
                                  • Rand Paul 12%
                                  • Paul Ryan 11%
                                  • Rick Santorum 9%
                                  • Chris Christie 8%
                                  • Rick Perry 7%
                                  • Ted Cruz 7%
                                  • Marco Rubio 7%
                                  • Scott Walker 5%
                                  • Bobby Jindal 1%
                                  • Undecided 20%
                                  Survey of 558 registered Republican voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 45%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                                  • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                                  • Ted Cruz 37%
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                                  • Scott Walker (R) 37%
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Hillary Clinton 52% / 42% {+10%}
                                  • Rand Paul 40% / 37% {+3%} 
                                  • Marco Rubio 32% / 29% {+3%}
                                  • Scott Walker 24% / 26% {-2%}
                                  • Chris Christie 35% / 42% {-7%}
                                  • Ted Cruz 26% / 34% {-8%}
                                  • Joe Biden 40% / 49% {-9%}
                                  • Jeb Bush 33% / 44% {-11%}
                                  Survey of 1,599 registered voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. 

                                  Thursday, July 17, 2014

                                  Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

                                  • Rand Paul (R) 46% [48%] (47%) {47%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [43%] (43%) {44%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [42%] (43%) {38%} [42%] (41%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (44%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] 
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% [44%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [40%]
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 42% [48%] (52%) {49%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [37%] (32%) {38%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [38%] (34%) {31%} [34%] (38%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [41%] (43%) {47%} [43%] (41%) 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%]
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [42%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [41%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [35%]
                                  Among Men
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 53% [55%] (56%) {56%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [35%] (34%) {34%}
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [49%] (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%) 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (32%)
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [49%] 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%]
                                  Among Women
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (51%) {53%}
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 39% [40%] (38%) {38%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [51%] (53%) {45%} [50%] (49%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 38% [36%] (33%) {41%} [36%] (38%)   
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [52%]
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [38%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [35%]
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Rand Paul 39% [41%] / 28% [30%] {+11%}
                                  • Mike Huckabee 36% [37%] / 29% [30%] {+7%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton 48% [48%] [51%] (53%) / 48% [47%] [44%] (44%) {0%}
                                  • Chris Christie 34% [35%] [50%] (49%) / 37% [38%] [22%] (17%) {-3%}
                                  • Jeb Bush 31% [29%] / 36% [40%] {-5%}
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Rand Paul 36% [43%] / 29% [28%] {+7%} 
                                  • Mike Huckabee 33% [38%] / 28% [28%] {+5%} 
                                  • Hillary Clinton 46% [44%] [49%] (54%) / 48% [48%] [45%] (42%) {-2%}
                                  • Chris Christie 32% [37%] [50%] (50%) / 40% [35%] [17%] (15%) {-8%}
                                  • Jeb Bush 28% [24%] / 38% [42%] {-10%}
                                  Among Men
                                  • Rand Paul 48% [52%] / 26% [29%] {+22%} 
                                  • Mike Huckabee 38% [44%] / 30% [31%] {+8%} 
                                  • Jeb Bush 37% [33%] / 36% [41%] {+1%}
                                  • Chris Christie 34% [38%] [49%] (55%) / 37% [41%] [28%] (18%) {-3%}
                                  • Hillary Clinton 40% [39%] [43%] (42%) / 57% [56%] [52%] (53%) {-17%}
                                  Among Women
                                  • Hillary Clinton 55% [57%] [59%] (63%) / 40% [38%] [37%] (34%) {+15%}
                                  • Mike Huckabee 33% [30%] / 29% [29%] {+4%} 
                                  • Rand Paul 31% [30%] / 30% [31%] {+1%
                                  • Chris Christie 34% [33%] [51%] (43%) / 36% [35%] [16%] (17%) {-2%
                                  • Jeb Bush 25% [25%] / 37% [39%] {-12%}
                                  Survey of 1,147 registered voters was conducted July 10-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 29% [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 27% [28%] (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 6% [10%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 44% {44%}
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 42% {45%} 
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 43% {41%} 
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 40% {43%}
                                  Among Men
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% {53%}
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 36% {38%}
                                  Among Women
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 49% {52%} 
                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 40% {35%}
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Cory Gardner 34% {30%} / 31% {18%} {+3%}
                                  • Mark Udall 40% {43%} [42%] (44%) / 43% {38%} [35%] (38%) {-3%}
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Mark Udall 39% {43%} [37%] (39%) / 44% {36%} [40%] (41%) {-5%
                                  • Cory Gardner 28% {29%} / 33% {17%} {-5%}
                                  Among Men
                                  • Cory Gardner 39% {40%} / 26% {16%} {+13%}
                                  • Mark Udall 32% {37%} [36%] (38%) / 48% {47%} [46%] (45%) {-16%}
                                  Among Women
                                  • Mark Udall 46% {49%} [49%] (50%) / 38% {31%} [24%] (30%) {+8%}
                                  • Cory Gardner 30% {21%} / 35% {21%} {-5%}
                                  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                  • Approve 42% {42%} [45%] (44%)
                                  • Disapprove 46% {42%} [41%] (44%)
                                  Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                                  • Yes/Deserves 40% {40%} [42%] (41%)
                                  • No/Does not 49% {46%} [42%] (47%)
                                  Survey of 1,147 registered voters was conducted July 10-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 29% {26%} Republican; 27% {28%} Democrat; 37% {37%} Independent; 6% {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                  Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
                                  • Mark Udall (D) 43%
                                  • Gaylon Kent (L) 6%
                                  • Unsure 4%
                                  Survey of 1,016 registered voters was conducted July 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% Democrat; 29% Republican; 39% Independent/Other.

                                  Wednesday, July 16, 2014

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
                                  • Scott Brown (R) 42%
                                  • Other 1%
                                  • Undecided 6%
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Jeanne Shaheen 52% / 39% {+13%}
                                  • Scott Brown 40% / 39% {+1%}
                                  Survey of 1,342 registered voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  • Joni Ernst (R) 43%
                                  • Bruce Braley (D) 43%
                                  • Other 1%
                                  • Undecided 14%
                                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                  • Joni Ernst 38% / 33% {+5%}
                                  • Bruce Braley 36% / 32% {+4%}
                                  Survey of 1,599 registered voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

                                  Poll Watch: Vanguard Public Affairs/Denno Research (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                  Vanguard/Denno Research (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                  • Gary Peters (D) 39.5% {39.7%} (37%) [39%]
                                  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37.3% {36.7%} (36%) [39%]
                                  Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 35.0% {38.8%} Democrat; 30.5% {31.5%} Republican; 30.3% {24.2%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 8-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-14, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets.