Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Newt Gingrich 31% [13%] {4%} (4%) [5%] 
• Mitt Romney 17% [17%] {18%} (21%) [21%]
• Rick Santorum 9% [13%] {12%} (14%) [16%]
• Ron Paul 7% [5%] {5%} (5%) [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 3% [2%] {6%} (11%) [5%]
• Jon Huntsman 3% [2%] {2%} (1%) [1%]
• Rick Perry 3% [5%] {16%} (8%) 
• Someone else (vol.) 2% [2%] {2%} (3%) [2%]
• Wouldn't vote (vol.) 4% [2%] {2%} (2%) [3%]
• Don't know 18% [21%] {19%} (14%) [17%]

Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, for whom would you vote?

• Newt Gingrich 50%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president?

• Newt Gingrich 49%
• Mitt Romney 18%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Rick Perry 2%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as being a strong leader?

• Newt Gingrich 41%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Rick Santorum 7%
• Ron Paul 4%
  
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Jon Huntsman 1%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the economy?

• Newt Gingrich 30%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Rick Santorum 7%
• Ron Paul 7%
  
• Michele Bachmann 4%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy?

• Newt Gingrich 47%
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Rick Santorum 7%
  
• Ron Paul 6%
  
• Jon Huntsman 5% 
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Rick Perry 1%

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling immigration issues?

• Newt Gingrich 29%
• Mitt Romney 10%
• Rick Perry 9%
• Rick Santorum 8%
  
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 6%
  
• Jon Huntsman 2% 
  

Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as being able to defeat Barack Obama in the general election?

• Newt Gingrich 34%
• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Santorum 4% 
• Rick Perry 3%
  
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Ron Paul 2%
  
• Jon Huntsman 1% 

When the Republican Party nominates its Presidential candidate, which quality do you think should be more important, the candidate's ability to defeat Barack Obama or the candidate's views on the issues?

• Defeat Obama 23%
• Views 75%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 46% [44%] {45%} (42%) [47%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [43%] {43%} (44%) [40%]

• Barack Obama 48% [48%]
• Newt Gingrich 40% [38%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 34% [36%] {32%} / 30% [30%] {28%} {+4%}
• Barack Obama 46% [47%] {45%} / 47% [49%] {49%} {-1%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% [28%] / 44% [42%] {-14%}

 Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48% [45%]
• Barack Obama 42% [41%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich?

• Barack Obama 46% [47%]
  
• Newt Gingrich 45% [41%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 43% [44%] {43%} (43%) [48%] {42%} (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 52% [52%] {54%} (54%) [48%] {53%} (44%) [43%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 47% [46%] {44%} (42%) [48%] {42%} (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 49% [50%] {51%} (52%) [46%] {52%} (45%) [45%]

Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not?

• Yes 13% [10%] {13%}
• No 82% [86%] {83%}

Survey of 1,453 registered voters, including a subsample of 578 Republicans, was conducted November 28 - December 5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among Republicans. Party ID breakdown: 37% [37%] {37%} Democrat; 31% [30%] {30%} Republican; 25% [27%] {27%} Independent; 7% [5%] {4%} Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.