Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 48% (47%) {45%} [45%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% (46%) {48%} [46%] (47%)
• Other candidate 3% (2%) {3%} [4%] (3%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {4%} [6%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% (44%) {41%} [40%] (39%) 
• Barack Obama 33% (41%) {41%} [37%] (41%)
• Other candidate 7% (6%) {8%} [11%] (9%)
• Undecided 8% (9%) {10%} [13%] (12%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% (49%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 40% (44%) {43%} [40%] (43%)
• Other candidate 4% (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {7%} [9%] (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% (48%) {53%} [50%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {39%} [38%] (40%)
• Other candidate 2% (1%) {3%} [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 4% (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%)

Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama? 

• Mitt Romney 50% (49%) {45%} [45%]
• Barack Obama 44% (45%) {48%} [45%]

Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 48% (45%) {42%} [43%]
• Barack Obama 45% (46%) {50%} [46%]

Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 51% (48%) {47%} [46%]
• Barack Obama 42% (44%) {47%} [44%]

Who do you trust more to handle foreign policy – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

• Barack Obama 47% (47%) {51%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {42%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 45% {38%} [35%] / 34% {33%} [30%] {+11%} 
• Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {41%} [40%] (38%) / 39% (39%) {40%} [39%] (37%) {+10%}
• Barack Obama 45% (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) / 45% (45%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {0%}
• Joe Biden 37% {34%} [32%] / 46% {39%} [39%] {-9%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 53% (42%) {33%} [34%] (30%) / 31% (39%) {34%} [32%] (35%) {+22%}
  
• Paul Ryan 49% {34%} [28%] / 27% {27%} [23%] {+22%}
• Barack Obama 35% (43%) {36%} [33%] (39%) / 50% (45%) {40%} [42%] (39%) {-15%}
• Joe Biden 27% {24%} [22%] / 52% {35%} [35%] {-25%}

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 49% {36%} [35%] / 31% {28%} [25%] {+18%} 
• Mitt Romney 52% (46%) {39%} [39%] (38%) / 37% (38%) {34%} [32%] (34%) {+15%}
• Barack Obama 40% (45%) {42%} [38%] (41%) / 48% (47%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {-8%} 
• Joe Biden 34% {29%} [27%] / 50% {40%} [39%] {-16%} 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% (48%) {50%} [47%] (45%) / 43% (43%) {37%} [36%] (37%) {+6%}
• Mitt Romney 47% (45%) {36%} [32%] (31%) / 41% (40%) {43%} [43%] (34%) {+6%}
• Paul Ryan 42% {30%} [27%] / 36% {33%} [29%] {+6%}
• Joe Biden 39% {35%} [32%] / 42% {31%} [32%] {-3%}

Did you read or hear anything about Tuesday’s presidential debate, or not? Were you able to watch the full 90 minute debate, did you see clips or part of the debate on TV or the internet, or did you only read or hear about the debate?

• Watched full debate 56% 
• Saw clips or part 24% 
• Only read/heard about 9% 
• Did not follow debate 10%

Did the debate change your opinion about who you would vote for, or not?

• Yes 7%
• No 81%

National survey of 1,402 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2012 by Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (35%) {35%} Democrat; 31% (32%) {31%} Republican; 34% (33%) {34%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.