Friday, February 28, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mike Rounds (R) 51%
  • Rick Weiland (D) 31%
  • Some other candidate 6%
  • Undecided 11%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted February 25-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Thursday, February 27, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (50%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (36%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 42% (37%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%)
          • Chris Christie (R) 39% (36%)
          Among Independents
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 48%  
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
          • Chris Christie (R) 39% (34%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (29%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (32%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (47%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 45% (32%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (42%)
          Among Moderates
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% 
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (52%)
          • Chris Christie (R) 28% (25%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (65%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 28% (18%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (61%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 27% (20%)
          Among Men
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%  
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
          • Chris Christie (R) 44% (43%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 48% (42%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (47%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 49% (42%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%)
                Among Women
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% 
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (47%)
                • Chris Christie (R) 33% (31%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (53%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (31%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (51%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 34% (33%)
                      Survey of 869 Iowa voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (38%) Democrat; 31% (37%) Republican; 32% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (32%) Moderate; 24% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (18%) Very conservative; 10% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                      PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

                      Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                      • Hillary Clinton 67% {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
                      • Joe Biden 12% {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
                      • Elizabeth Warren 5% {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
                      • Mark Warner 3% {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
                      • Andrew Cuomo 2% {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
                      • Cory Booker 1% {1%} (3%)
                      • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {2%} [0%] 
                      • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
                      • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
                      • Someone else/Not sure 10% {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
                      Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                      • Joe Biden 40% {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
                      • Elizabeth Warren 13% {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
                      • Andrew Cuomo 8% {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
                      • Martin O'Malley 5% {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
                      • Cory Booker 2% {6%}
                      • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% {2%} [6%]
                      • Mark Warner 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
                      • Brian Schweitzer 1% {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
                      • Someone else/Not sure 28% {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]
                      If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
                      • Elizabeth Warren 21% {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
                      • Andrew Cuomo 11% {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
                      • Cory Booker 8% {12%}
                      • Martin O'Malley 6% {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
                      • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {7%} [5%]
                      • Brian Schweitzer 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
                      • Mark Warner 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
                      • Someone else/Not sure 47% {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Hillary Clinton 82% {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 9% {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+73%}
                      • Joe Biden 66% {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 13% {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+53%}
                      • Elizabeth Warren 43% {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+35%}
                      • Cory Booker 30% {27%} / 11% {9%} {+19%}
                      • Andrew Cuomo 28% {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 14% {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+14%}
                      • Kirsten Gillibrand 20% {22%} [14%] / 10% {11%} [6%] {+10%} 
                      • Mark Warner 19% {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
                      • Martin O'Malley 13% {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 10% {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
                      • Brian Schweitzer 12% {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {0%}
                      Survey of 335 Democratic voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 28% {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 20% {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 9% {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                      PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                      • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%
                      • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
                      • Jeb Bush 13% [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
                      • Chris Christie 10% [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
                      • Ted Cruz 10% [10%] 
                      • Paul Ryan 9% [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
                      • Scott Walker 7% 
                      • Bobby Jindal 7% [2%] (3%)
                      • Marco Rubio 3% [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
                      • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
                      Among Men
                      • Mike Huckabee 19% (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
                      • Rand Paul 14% [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%) 
                      • Scott Walker 11%
                      • Ted Cruz 10% [13%]
                      • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
                      • Bobby Jindal 9% [4%] (2%)
                      • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
                      • Chris Christie 7% [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)  
                      • Marco Rubio 3% [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
                      • Someone else/Not sure 9% [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)
                      Among Women
                      • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
                      • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
                      • Mike Huckabee 15% (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
                      • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
                      • Paul Ryan 9% [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
                      • Ted Cruz 9% [7%]
                      • Bobby Jindal 4% [0%] (5%)
                      • Marco Rubio 3% [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
                      • Scott Walker 1% 
                      • Someone else/Not sure 13% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)
                      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                      • Paul Ryan 63% [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 13% [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+50%}
                      • Mike Huckabee 63% (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 19% (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+44%}
                      • Rand Paul 59% [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+44%}
                      • Sarah Palin 61% {60%} [60%] (70%) / 21% {26%} [26%] (17%) {+40%} 
                      • Jeb Bush 50% [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+33%}  
                      • Rick Perry 45% (43%) / 17% (28%) {+28%}
                      • Marco Rubio 42% [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+28%} 
                      • Scott Walker 39% / 12% {+27%}
                      • Ted Cruz 40% [27%] / 14% [12%] {+26%}
                      • Bobby Jindal 36% [42%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) {+26%}  
                      • Rick Santorum 44% [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+23%}
                      • Chris Christie 38% [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 35% [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}  
                      • John Kasich 11% / 13% {-2%}
                      • Donald Trump 23% / 44% {-21%}
                      Survey of 283 Republican voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 21% [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

                      Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%} (47%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 41% {43%} (42%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {52%} [52%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 38% {40%} [37%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {51%} [53%]
                      • Rick Santorum (R) 37% {38%} [36%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {52%}
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {36%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {54%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {36%}
                      Among Independents
                      • Chris Christie (R) 46% {47%} (45%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {31%} (37%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {45%} [46%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 42% {43%} [39%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {46%} [51%]
                      • Rick Santorum (R) 34% {33%} [28%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%}
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 34% {33%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {34%}
                      Among Men
                      • Chris Christie (R) 46% {51%} (48%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} (39%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%} [43%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 44% {48%} [46%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%} [46%]
                      • Rick Santorum (R) 43% {43%} [41%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%}
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {42%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {46%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {42%}
                      Among Women
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {51%} (55%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 36% {36%} (37%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {60%} [60%]
                      • Rand Paul (R) 32% {34%} [28%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {57%} [59%]
                      • Rick Santorum (R) 32% {33%} [30%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {60%}
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 31% {30%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {60%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 30% {29%}
                      Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 59% {57%}
                      • No 37% {39%}
                      Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 43% {55%}
                      • No 42% {29%} 
                      Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 35% {32%}
                      • No 45% {53%}
                      Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 34% {34%}
                      • No 46% {48%}
                      Do you think Rick Santorum would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 35% {33%}
                      • No 52% {54%}
                      Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 23% {26%}
                      • No 45% {47%}
                      Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                      • Yes 32% {29%}
                      • No 59% {61%}
                      Survey of 1,405 registered voters was conducted February 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% {36%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 32% {30%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 26% {27%} [21%] (24%) Independent; 7% {7%} [7%] (5%) Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Monday, February 24, 2014

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

                      PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 50%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 46%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                      • Rand Paul (R) 48%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                      Among Men
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 57%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 50%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 55%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
                      • Rand Paul (R) 54%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
                      Among Women 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
                      • Chris Christie (R) 42%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
                      • Rand Paul (R) 42%
                      Survey of 693 Kansas voters was conducted February 18-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Republican; 28% Democrat; 25% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                      PPP (D) Kansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                      • Mike Huckabee 20%
                      • Chris Christie 13%
                      • Jeb Bush 13%
                      • Ted Cruz 12%
                      • Rand Paul 11%
                      • Paul Ryan 7%
                      • Marco Rubio 5% 
                      • Scott Walker 4%
                      • Bobby Jindal 2%
                      • Someone else/Not sure 13%
                      Among Men
                      • Mike Huckabee 21%
                      • Chris Christie 15%
                      • Jeb Bush 13%
                      • Ted Cruz 13%
                      • Rand Paul 12%
                      • Paul Ryan 5%
                      • Scott Walker 5%
                      • Marco Rubio 4%
                      • Bobby Jindal 2%
                      • Someone else/Not sure 10%
                      Among Women
                      • Mike Huckabee 19%
                      • Jeb Bush 13%
                      • Chris Christie 12%
                      • Paul Ryan 10%
                      • Ted Cruz 10% 
                      • Rand Paul 9%
                      • Marco Rubio 7% 
                      • Scott Walker 2%
                      • Bobby Jindal 2%
                      • Someone else/Not sure 17%
                      Survey of 375 Republican primary voters was conducted February 18-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Political ideology: 32% Very conservative; 32% Somewhat conservative; 29% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

                      Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                      Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

                      Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

                      • Approve 49% {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
                      • Disapprove 46% {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
                      Among Democrats
                      • Approve 31% {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
                      • Disapprove 64% {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
                      Among Republicans
                      • Approve 77% {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
                      • Disapprove 20% {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
                      Among Independents
                      • Approve 54% {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
                      • Disapprove 38% {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%{41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
                      Among Men 
                      • Approve 55% {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
                      • Disapprove 41% {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
                      Among Women
                      • Approve 46% {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
                      • Disapprove 47% {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
                      Survey of 690 registered voters was conducted February 19-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 22% {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 40% {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

                      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                      Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
                      • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 49%
                      • Natalie Tennant (D) 35%
                      • Some other candidate 4%
                      • Undecided 12%
                      Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted February 19-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                      Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                      • Ted Cruz 28% [32%] (25%)
                      • Rick Perry 10% [10%] (10%) 
                      • Rand Paul 10% [6%] (13%)
                      • Paul Ryan 8% [7%] (8%) 
                      • Jeb Bush 8% [9%]
                      • Bobby Jindal 6% [3%] (2%)
                      • Scott Walker 6% [1%] 
                      • Marco Rubio 6% [6%] (11%) 
                      • Chris Christie 4% [4%] (8%)
                      • Rick Santorum 4% [3%] (2%)
                      Survey of 543 GOP primary voters was conducted February 7-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.21 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Saturday, February 22, 2014

                      Poll Watch: Washington Post Maryland 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                      Washington Post Maryland 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton 72% (56%)
                      • Joe Biden 9% (18%)
                      • Martin O'Malley 6% (8%)
                      • Elizabeth Warren 3%
                      • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
                      • No opinion 7% (9%)
                      Survey of 538 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted February 13-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

                      Thursday, February 20, 2014

                      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

                      Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%]
                      • Paul Ryan (R) 40% [41%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [49%]
                      • John Kasich (R) 39% [38%]
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [42%] (42%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 36% [41%] (42%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%] (47%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 38% [40%] (44%)
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [48%]
                        • Marco Rubio (R) 36% [39%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%]
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 36% [37%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%]
                            • Ted Cruz (R) 34% [35%]
                            Among Independents
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [49%] 
                            • Paul Ryan (R) 41% [40%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
                            • John Kasich (R) 39% [34%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [38%] (38%) 
                            • Chris Christie (R) 34% [42%] (41%)    
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [47%] (46%)
                            • Rand Paul (R) 40% [39%] (44%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%]
                              • Marco Rubio (R) 35% [38%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [49%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 33% [34%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [49%]
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 32% [31%]
                                  Among Men
                                  • Paul Ryan (R) 47% [43%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [45%]
                                  • John Kasich (R) 45% [41%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [46%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [38%] (37%)
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 40% [46%] (48%
                                      • Rand Paul (R) 45% [44%] (52%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [46%] (40%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%]
                                      • Marco Rubio (R) 41% [44%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%]
                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [39%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
                                        • Ted Cruz (R) 38% [37%]
                                        Among Women
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [53%]
                                        • Paul Ryan (R) 35% [38%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [52%]
                                        • John Kasich (R) 33% [36%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [47%] (47%)
                                        • Chris Christie (R) 31% [37%] (36%)  
                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [54%] (53%) 
                                            • Rand Paul (R) 32% [36%] (36%)
                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [53%]
                                            • Marco Rubio (R) 31% [34%] 
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [54%]
                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 34% [35%]
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [53%]
                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 30% [33%]
                                              Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 55% [54%]
                                              • No  39% [40%]
                                              Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 36% [37%]
                                              • No 44% [42%]
                                              Do you think John Kasich would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 34% [32%]
                                              • No 47% [49%]
                                              Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 33% [33%]
                                              • No 48% [48%]
                                              Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 32% [33%]
                                              • No 47% [44%]
                                              Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 27% [27%]
                                              • No 43% [41%]
                                              Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 31% [44%]
                                              • No  48% [32%]
                                              Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 20% [23%]
                                              • No 45% [46%]
                                              Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                                              • Yes 27% [28%]
                                              • No 64% [62%] 
                                              Survey of 1,370 registered voters was conducted February 12-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [31%] (29%) Democrat; 28% [26%] (28%) Republican; 33% [36%] (35%) Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-23, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                              Tuesday, February 18, 2014

                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

                                              PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 
                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 50% [44%]
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]
                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                                                • Rand Paul (R) 47% [45%]
                                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]
                                                  • Bobby Jindal (R) 47% [40%] (45%)
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [47%] (48%)
                                                  • Chris Christie (R) 44% [41%]
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%]
                                                  Among Men
                                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 52% [49%] 
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [37%]
                                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54% 
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
                                                    • Rand Paul (R) 51% [51%]
                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [37%]
                                                        • Bobby Jindal (R) 50% [44%] (54%)
                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (40%)
                                                        • Chris Christie (R) 51% [44%]
                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [35%]
                                                        Among Women 
                                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 48% [39%]
                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [52%]
                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 45%
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [51%]
                                                          • Rand Paul (R) 44% [39%]
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [53%] (56%)
                                                              • Bobby Jindal (R) 44% [36%] (36%)
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [49%]
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 39% [37%]
                                                              Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                                              • He should run 25% [17%] (24%)
                                                              • He should not 63% [72%] (66%)
                                                              Survey of 635 Louisiana voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [45%] (43%) Democrat; 38% [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% [27%] (28%) Moderate; 25% [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 13% [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                              • Mike Huckabee 20% (18%) 
                                                              • Bobby Jindal 13% [10%] (14%)
                                                              • Ted Cruz 12% [8%] 
                                                              • Rand Paul 10% [18%] (8%)
                                                              • Jeb Bush 9% [17%] (9%)
                                                              • Chris Christie 8% [10%] (11%)
                                                              • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (7%)
                                                              • Marco Rubio 7% [8%] (21%)
                                                              • Scott Walker 2%
                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 12% [13%] (8%)
                                                              Among Men
                                                              • Mike Huckabee 20% (18%) 
                                                              • Ted Cruz 16% [10%] 
                                                              • Chris Christie 11% [10%] (13%)
                                                              • Bobby Jindal 10% [9%] (8%) 
                                                              • Rand Paul 10% [22%] (9%)
                                                              • Paul Ryan 9% [14%] (7%)
                                                              • Jeb Bush 8% [15%] (9%)
                                                              • Marco Rubio 8% [8%] (24%)
                                                              • Scott Walker 2%
                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 7% [8%] (8%)
                                                              Among Women
                                                              • Mike Huckabee 20% (18%) 
                                                              • Bobby Jindal 17% [12%] (21%
                                                              • Jeb Bush 10% [18%] (9%)
                                                              • Rand Paul 10% [14%] (7%)
                                                              • Ted Cruz 8% [6%]
                                                              • Paul Ryan 6% [9%] (7%)
                                                              • Marco Rubio 6% [7%] (18%)
                                                              • Chris Christie 4% [11%] (9%) 
                                                              • Scott Walker 2%
                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 18% [19%] (8%)
                                                              Survey of 309 Republican primary voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [44%] Very conservative; 35% [38%] Somewhat conservative; 22% [11%] Moderate; 3% [5%] Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                              Monday, February 17, 2014

                                                              Poll Watch: Baltimore Sun Maryland 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                              Baltimore Sun Maryland 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                                              • Ben Carson 24%
                                                              • Jeb Bush 15%
                                                              • Chris Christie 14%
                                                              • Rand Paul 14%
                                                              • Marco Rubio 12%
                                                              Survey of 499 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 8-12, 2014 by OpinionWorks. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

                                                              Sunday, February 16, 2014

                                                              Poll Watch: Baltimore Sun Maryland 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                                                              Baltimore Sun Maryland 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                                                              • Hillary Clinton 59%
                                                              • Joe Biden 14%
                                                              • Martin O'Malley 6%
                                                              • Andrew Cuomo 4%
                                                              Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 8-12, 2014 by OpinionWorks. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

                                                              Thursday, February 13, 2014

                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                              PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                                                              • Thom Tillis (R) 42% (43%) [42%] {42%} 
                                                              • Kay Hagan (D) 40% (42%) [44%] {44%}
                                                              • Not sure 17% (15%) [14%] {14%}
                                                              Among Men
                                                              • Thom Tillis (R) 47% (48%) [45%] {48%} 
                                                              • Kay Hagan (D) 42% (43%) [43%] {42%}
                                                              • Not sure 11% (9%) [12%] {10%}
                                                              Among Women
                                                              • Kay Hagan (D) 39% (41%) [46%] {46%}
                                                              • Thom Tillis (R) 38% (39%) [40%] {37%} 
                                                              • Not sure 23% (20%) [15%] {17%}
                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                              • Thom Tillis 15% (15%) [12%] {16%} / 29% (28%) [30%] {28%} {-14%}
                                                              Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
                                                              • Approve 41% (39%) [43%] {44%}
                                                              • Disapprove 50% (49%) [49%] {49%}
                                                              Survey of 708 registered voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% [34%] {33%} Republican; 27% [23%] {21%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

                                                              Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 39%
                                                              Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted February 5-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 20% Independent. Ideology: 37% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

                                                              Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                              EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                                              • Terri Lynn Land (R) 41% (37%)
                                                              • Gary Peters (D) 38% (38%)
                                                              Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted February 5-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 20% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                              Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll
                                                              • Andrew Cuomo (D) 50% (46%)
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 34% (38%)
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (59%)
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 31% (32%)
                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                              • Hillary Clinton 65% (71%) / 30% (24%) {+35%}
                                                              • Andrew Cuomo 59% (52%) / 28% (27%) {+31%}
                                                              • Chris Christie 41% (55%) / 38% (17%) {+3%}
                                                              Survey of 1,488 New York State voters was conducted February 6-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (44%) Democrat; 21% (19%) Republican; 32% (32%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 11-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                              Wednesday, February 12, 2014

                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                              PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%) {42%} [43%]
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 42% (43%) {45%} [46%]
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 44% (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%) {46%} [47%]
                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (44%) {45%} [43%]
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 43%
                                                                  Among Independents
                                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (33%) {31%} [31%]
                                                                  • Chris Christie (R) 33% (39%) {50%} [46%]
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
                                                                    • Rand Paul (R) 39% (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (36%) {37%} [40%]
                                                                    • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (41%) {44%} [41%]
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                                                                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
                                                                    Among Moderates
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (50%) {51%} [54%]
                                                                    • Chris Christie (R) 31% (32%) {32%} [36%]
                                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
                                                                      • Rand Paul (R) 29% (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)
                                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (58%) {59%} [61%]
                                                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 25% (25%) {30%} [26%]
                                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
                                                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 25%
                                                                      Among Men
                                                                      • Chris Christie (R) 46% (49%) {51%} [51%]
                                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (37%) {35%} [37%]
                                                                        • Rand Paul (R) 47% (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
                                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
                                                                        • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (49%) {51%} [46%] 
                                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (41%) {38%} [42%]
                                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
                                                                        Among Women
                                                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) {49%} [47%]
                                                                        • Chris Christie (R) 38% (38%) {40%} [42%]
                                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
                                                                          • Rand Paul (R) 41% (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
                                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%) {53%} [52%]
                                                                          • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (38%) {39%} [40%]
                                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                                                                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
                                                                          Among Whites
                                                                          • Chris Christie (R) 50% (53%) {57%} [56%]
                                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (32%) {30%} [33%]
                                                                            • Rand Paul (R) 54% (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
                                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
                                                                            • Jeb Bush (R) 54% (55%) {58%} [53%]
                                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (34%) {35%} [37%]
                                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                                                                            • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
                                                                            Among Blacks
                                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 78% (79%) {81%} [77%]
                                                                            • Chris Christie (R) 11% (11%) {9%} [17%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 10% (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (86%) {81%} [81%]
                                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 7% (7%) {9%} [13%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 82%
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 9%
                                                                              Survey of 708 North Carolina voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 34% (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 27% (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (32%) {29%} [34%] (29%) Moderate; 22% (25%) {24%} [24%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (16%) {16%} [11%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 17% (17%) {19%} [19%] (17%) Very conservative; 9% (10%) {12%} [13%] (12%) Very liberal. Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 75% (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 5% (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                                              PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 20% (15%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 15% (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                                                                              • Rand Paul 14% (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie 11% (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 8% (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%) 
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 8% (11%) {12%} [12%]
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 7% (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
                                                                              • Scott Walker 4% (3%) {5%} [1%] 
                                                                              • Bobby Jindal 3% (5%) {3%} [6%]
                                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 9% (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
                                                                              Among Men
                                                                              • Rand Paul 19% (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 18% (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 15% (14%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie 14% (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 7% (14%) {15%} [16%]
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 7% (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
                                                                              • Scott Walker 6% (4%) {6%} [1%]
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 5% (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%) 
                                                                              • Bobby Jindal 3% (6%) {3%} [5%]
                                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 6% (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
                                                                              Among Women
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 25% (16%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 13% (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 12% (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%) 
                                                                              • Rand Paul 9% (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 9% (9%) {10%} [9%]
                                                                              • Chris Christie 7% (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%) 
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 7% (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
                                                                              • Bobby Jindal 3% (4%) {3%} [7%] 
                                                                              • Scott Walker 2% (1%) {4%} [0%]
                                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 13% (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
                                                                              Survey of 305 Republican primary voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 35% (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 33% (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 7% (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Tuesday, February 11, 2014

                                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Mary Landrieu (D) 45% {48%} [50%] (50%)
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy (R) 44% {41%} [40%] (40%)
                                                                              • Undecided 10% {11%} [10%] (10%)
                                                                              Among Men
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy (R) 48% {51%} [43%] (50%)
                                                                              • Mary Landrieu (D) 47% {41%} [46%] (42%)
                                                                              • Undecided  6% {9%} [12%] (8%)
                                                                              Among Women
                                                                              • Mary Landrieu (D) 44% {54%} [55%] (57%)
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy (R) 42% {33%} [36%] (31%)
                                                                              • Undecided 15% {14%} [9%] (12%)
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy 24% [24%] (19%) / 26% [27%] (24%) {-2%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mary Landrieu's job performance?
                                                                              • Approve 37% [46%] (47%)
                                                                              • Disapprove 52% [43%] (45%)
                                                                              Survey of 635 Louisiana voters was conducted February 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 38% {36%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% [27%] (28%) Moderate; 25% [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 13% [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                                                              McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                                                              • Chris Christie 13% {16%} [18%] (15%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 13%
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 12% {7%} [7%] (12%)
                                                                              • Rand Paul 9% {9%} [12%] (9%)
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [11%] (13%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [10%] (10%)
                                                                              • Sarah Palin 8%
                                                                              • Scott Walker 7% {4%} [4%] (2%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [10%] (7%)
                                                                              • Rick Perry 2% {6%} [3%] (4%) 
                                                                              • Rick Santorum 2% {5%} [4%] (2%)
                                                                              • John Kasich 1%
                                                                              • Undecided 12% {25%} [13%] (25%)
                                                                              Among Men
                                                                              • Chris Christie 13% {19%} [20%] (17%)
                                                                              • Rand Paul 11% {12%} [15%] (9%)
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 11% {9%} [6%] (16%)
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 10% {11%} [9%] (12%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 10%
                                                                              • Scott Walker 10% {5%} [4%] (2%)
                                                                              • Sarah Palin 7%
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 6% {7%} [10%] (14%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 6% {6%} [12%] (7%)
                                                                              • Rick Perry 3% {6%} [4%] (6%)
                                                                              • Rick Santorum 2% {6%} [1%] (1%)
                                                                              • John Kasich 1%
                                                                              • Undecided 10% {16%} [11%] (15%)
                                                                              Among Women
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 16%
                                                                              • Chris Christie 14% {13%} [16%] (13%)
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 13% {5%} [8%] (8%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [10%] (6%)
                                                                              • Sarah Palin 10%
                                                                              • Rand Paul 7% {7%} [9%] (8%)
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 7% {13%} [13%] (14%
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 3% {5%} [9%] (6%) 
                                                                              • Scott Walker 3% {2%} [4%] (2%)
                                                                              • Rick Perry 1% {6%} [1%] (2%)
                                                                              • Rick Santorum 1% {5%} [6%] (4%)
                                                                              • John Kasich 1% 
                                                                              • Undecided 14% {33%} [15%] (34%)
                                                                              Survey of 403 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted February 4-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 64% [62%] (65%) Republican; 36% [38%] (35%) Independent.  Ideology: 53% [46%] (45%) Conservative; 26% [29%] (33%) Moderate; 16% [22%] (17%) Very conservative; 4% [4%] (4%) Liberal; 2% [0%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.
                                                                              Inside the numbers: 
                                                                              Without Christie or Palin in the race, Huckabee and Rubio tie at the top with 15 percent.

                                                                              Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {56%} [53%]
                                                                              • Paul Ryan (R) 44% {40%} [37%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {57%}
                                                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {35%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {53%} [48%] (54%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 38% {41%} [40%] (38%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {55%} [50%] (52%)
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 38% {40%} [38%] (41%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 37% (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {52%} [50%] (52%)
                                                                              • Marco Rubio (R) 37% {42%} [38%] (40%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% {59%}
                                                                              • Sarah Palin (R) 35% {36%}
                                                                              Among Independents
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (40%) {52%} [46%] (43%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 39% (40%) {40%} [42%] (40%)
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton 52% (51%) / 43% (39%) {+9%}
                                                                              • Chris Christie 33% (29%) / 46% (32%) {-13%}
                                                                              National survey of 970 registered voters was conducted February 4-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (34%) {31%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% (25%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 37% (39%) {41%} [37%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Friday, February 07, 2014

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 40% 
                                                                              • Scott Brown (R) 35%
                                                                              • Not sure 25%
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Jeanne Shaheen 45% / 32% {+13%}
                                                                              • Scott Brown 33% / 26% {+7%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeanne Shaheen is handling her job as Senator?  
                                                                              • Approve 46%
                                                                              • Disapprove 31%
                                                                              Survey of 513 likely voters was conducted January 22-23, 2014 for American Crossroads.  The margin of error is +/- 4.33 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Republican; 29% Democrat; 40% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 44% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 16% Liberal.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                               Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Thom Tillis (R) 44% 
                                                                              • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
                                                                              • Not sure 12%
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Kay Hagan 37% / 49% {-12%}
                                                                              • Thom Tillis 15% / 33% {-18%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kay Hagan is handling her job as Senator?
                                                                              • Approve 36%
                                                                              • Disapprove 49%
                                                                              Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted January 20-21, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 3.51 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 32% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. Ideology: 43% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Steve Daines (R) 43%
                                                                              • John Walsh (D) 29%
                                                                              • Not sure 28%
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Steve Daines 40% / 26% {+14%}
                                                                              • John Walsh 25% / 13% {+12%}
                                                                              Survey of 519 likely voters was conducted January 20-22, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 32% Democrat; 31% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Conservative; 37% Moderate; 14% Liberal.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Terri Lynn Land (R) 42%
                                                                              • Gary Peters (D) 37%
                                                                              • Not sure 21%
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Terri Lynn Land 32% / 22% {+10%}
                                                                              • Gary Peters 18% / 23% {-5%}
                                                                              Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted January 19-20, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 3.58 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 30% Republican; 36% Independent/Other. Ideology: 39% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 17% Liberal.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy (R) 45% (47%)
                                                                              • Mary Landrieu (D) 44% (45%)
                                                                              • Not sure 11% (8%)
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Bill Cassidy 25% (29%) / 30% (12%) {-5%}
                                                                              • Mary Landrieu 41% (45%) / 50% (41%) {-9%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?
                                                                              • Approve 40% (44%)
                                                                              • Disapprove 51% (37%)
                                                                              Survey of 992 likely voters was conducted January 19-20, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 3.11 percentage points. Party ID: 46% (43%) Democrat; 35% (39%) Republican; 20% (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 47% (48%) Conservative; 35% (34%) Moderate; 11% (10%) Liberal.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Tom Cotton (R) 42% (43%)
                                                                              • Mark Pryor (D) 36% (41%)
                                                                              • Not sure 22% (16%)
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Tom Cotton 38% (34%) / 23% (26%) {+15%}
                                                                              • Mark Pryor 39% (38%) / 35% (40%) {+4%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?
                                                                              • Approve 37% (32%)
                                                                              • Disapprove 40% (42%)
                                                                              Survey of 533 likely voters was conducted January 26-27, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.24 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (37%) Democrat; 32% (30%) Republican; 32% (33%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 50% (48%) Conservative; 35% (32%) Moderate; 10% (15%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              • Mead Treadwell (R) 47% (34%)
                                                                              • Mark Begich (D) 41% (44%)
                                                                              • Dan Sullivan (R) 47%
                                                                              • Mark Begich (D) 41%
                                                                              • Mark Begich (D) 51% (52%)
                                                                              • Joe Miller (R) 32% (29%)
                                                                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                                                              • Mead Treadwell 42% (32%) / 34% (27%) {+8%}
                                                                              • Dan Sullivan 36% / 37% {-1%}
                                                                              • Mark Begich 43% (48%) / 48% (39%) {-5%}
                                                                              • Joe Miller 17% (21%) / 67% (56%) {-50%}
                                                                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Begich is handling his job as Senator?
                                                                              • Approve 41%
                                                                              • Disapprove 47% 
                                                                              Survey of 677 likely voters was conducted January 20-22, 2014 for American Crossroads.  The margin of error is +/- 3.76 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (31%) Republican; 20% (15%) Democrat; 51% (54%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 47% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 13% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Thursday, February 06, 2014

                                                                              Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                                              Gravis Marketing (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 16%
                                                                              • Chris Christie 15%
                                                                              • Rand Paul 12%
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 12%
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 11%  
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 8%
                                                                              • Scott Walker 7%
                                                                              • Rick Santorum 3%
                                                                              • Undecided 16%
                                                                              Survey of 498 registered Republican primary voters was conducted January 29-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 61% Republican; 35% Independent/Other; 4% Democrat.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                                                              Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
                                                                              • Tom Cotton (R) 45%
                                                                              • Mark Pryor (D) 40%
                                                                              • Some other candidate 5%
                                                                              • Undecided 10%
                                                                              Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted February 4-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Nebraska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                                              Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Nebraska 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                                                              • Rand Paul 13.41%
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 12.85%
                                                                              • Chris Christie 12.66%
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 12.66%
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 8.38%
                                                                              • Scott Walker 8.38%
                                                                              • Bobby Jindal 5.03%
                                                                              • Rick Santorum 4.66%
                                                                              • Not sure 21.97%
                                                                              Survey of 565 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 3-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 44.82% Very conservative; 39.36% Somewhat conservative; 13.56% Moderate; 1.13% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

                                                                              Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                                              • Paul Ryan (R) 48% {45%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%}
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 47% {47%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {38%} [42%] (41%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 42% {46%} [43%] (44%) 
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [45%
                                                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 43% {44%} [42%]
                                                                              Among Independents
                                                                              • Paul Ryan (R) 53% {46%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%}
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 52% {49%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {38%}
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 43% {47%} [43%] (41%) 
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {31%} [34%] (38%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 46% {44%} [41%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {39%} [41%]
                                                                              Among Men
                                                                              • Paul Ryan (R) 56% {52%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {36%}
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 56% {56%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {34%}
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 50% {51%} [50%] (51%) 
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {31%} [33%] (32%)
                                                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 52% {50%} [51%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {38%} [38%]
                                                                              Among Women
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {50%}
                                                                              • Paul Ryan (R) 39% {39%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {53%}
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 38% {38%}
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {45%} [50%] (49%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 33% {41%} [36%] (38%)   
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {51%} [53%]
                                                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {37%} [33%] 
                                                                              Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 44% {41%}
                                                                              • No 38% {43%}
                                                                              Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 40% {38%}
                                                                              • No 41% {41%}
                                                                              Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 46% {46%}
                                                                              • No 48% {49%}
                                                                              Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 36% {48%}
                                                                              • No 42%  {29%} 
                                                                              Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 30% {30%}
                                                                              • No 40% {42%}
                                                                              Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                                                                              • Yes 26% {24%}
                                                                              • No 65% {66%}
                                                                              Survey of 1,139 registered voters was conducted January 29 - February 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 29% {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 24% {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 38% {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 8% {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Wednesday, February 05, 2014

                                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 47% [49%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [42%]
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 47% [49%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [43%]
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 43% [46%] (43%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%] (42%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 45%
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [49%] (53%)
                                                                              • Sarah Palin (R) 43% [40%] (37%)
                                                                              Among Men
                                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 54% [59%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% [31%]
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 55% [58%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [34%]
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 49% [51%] (50%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [31%] (35%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 51%
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
                                                                              • Sarah Palin (R) 49% [48%] (43%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [39%] (46%)
                                                                              Among Women 
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [52%]
                                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [40%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [50%]
                                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 41% [42%]
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] (47%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 38% [43%] (38%)
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
                                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [58%] (60%)
                                                                              • Sarah Palin (R) 38% [34%] (31%)
                                                                              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
                                                                              • Favorable 39% [39%] (34%)
                                                                              • Unfavorable 55% [58%] (59%)
                                                                              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
                                                                              • She should run 23% [18%] (16%)
                                                                              • She should not 69% [77%] (78%)
                                                                              Survey of 850 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 32% [30%] (33%) Moderate; 23% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                                              Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
                                                                              • Rand Paul 15% [18%] (12%) 
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 13% [8%]
                                                                              • Sarah Palin 13% [14%] (9%)
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 12% [11%] (9%)
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 11% (14%)
                                                                              • Chris Christie 10% [13%] (11%)
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 6% [9%] (18%
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 4% [9%] (10%)
                                                                              • Scott Walker 4%
                                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 12% [12%] (10%)
                                                                              If Sarah Palin was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?
                                                                              • Ted Cruz 16% [9%]
                                                                              • Rand Paul 14% [20%]
                                                                              • Jeb Bush 14% [15%]
                                                                              • Mike Huckabee 13% 
                                                                              • Chris Christie 9% [14%]
                                                                              • Marco Rubio 8% [10%]
                                                                              • Paul Ryan 7% [14%]
                                                                              • Scott Walker 5%
                                                                              • Someone else/Not sure 15% [12%]
                                                                              Survey of 442 Republican primary voters was conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [ 33%] Very conservative; 33% [37%] Somewhat conservative; 23% [24%] Moderate; 5% [4%] Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                              Poll Watch: University of Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                                                              UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                                                              • Charlie Crist (D) 47%
                                                                              • Rick Scott (R) 40%
                                                                              Survey of 1,006 registered voters was conducted January 27 - February 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
                                                                              Inside the numbers: 
                                                                              Sixty-three percent of respondents approved of Crist’s tenure as governor, and 27 percent expressed disapproval.
                                                                              When asked about Scott’s performance, 45 percent expressed approval, and 46 percent expressed disapproval.
                                                                              The poll also asked respondents about their opinions on the candidates’ qualifications. Notable results include:
                                                                              55 percent believe Crist is honest and ethical; 51 percent believe the same for Scott.
                                                                              53 percent believe Crist understands the problems of people like them; 39 percent believe that Scott does.
                                                                              53 percent believe Crist knows how to improve Florida’s economy; 52 percent believe Scott does.

                                                                              Tuesday, February 04, 2014

                                                                              Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                                                              Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                                                              • Charlie Crist (D) 47%
                                                                              • Rick Scott (R) 44%
                                                                              • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3%
                                                                              • Undecided 6%
                                                                              Survey of 808 registered voters was conducted January 30-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 36% Democrat; 27% Independent/Other.