Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 30% (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Mitt Romney 30% (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Santorum 20% (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%}
• Ron Paul 11% (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 9% (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 45% (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 55% (58%) {63%} [66%]

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 23% (17%) {15%} [19%]
• Mitt Romney 19% (16%) {18%} [12%] 
  
• Rick Santorum 18% (17%) {2%} [2%]
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) {3%} [4%]
• Someone else/Not sure 31% (28%) {46%} [26%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Newt Gingrich 45% (43%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (42%)
• Not sure 13% (15%)

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45% (33%)
• Rick Santorum 44% (51%)
• Not sure 11% (16%)

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 67% (67%)
• Ron Paul 23% (21%)
• Not sure 10% (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 62% (62%) / 25% (22%) {+37%}
• Mitt Romney 53% (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 34% (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+19%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 35% (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+15%}
• Ron Paul 32% (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 55% (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-23%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 31% (32%) {29%} [31%]
• No 53% (52%) {53%} [54%]

Survey of 819 usual North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted February 3-5, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 37% (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 14% (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 6% (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.