Thursday, October 25, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 48%   
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46%  
  • Mitt Romney 45% 
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 62% 
  • Mitt Romney 33% 
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% 
  • Barack Obama 42% 
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% 
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 61% 
  • Barack Obama 35%
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 88% 
  • Mitt Romney 11%
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 30%
  • No 70%
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 57% 
  • Mitt Romney 42% 
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 50% 
  • Barack Obama 45%
Who do you think won the final Presidential debate: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 47% 
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% / 47%  {+2%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% / 49% {-4%
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 34% / 60% {-26%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 41% {+13%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 45% / 52%  {-7%}
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 62% / 36% {+26%}
Among Blacks
  • Mitt Romney 14% / 81% {-67%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 50% 
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 68%
  • Somewhat excited 21%
  • Not at all excited 10%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 77%
  • Somewhat excited 16%
  • Not at all excited 7%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 65%
  • Somewhat excited 27%
  • Not at all excited 8%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 55%
  • Somewhat excited 23%
  • Not at all excited 23%
Survey of 880 likely North Carolina voters was conducted October 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 35% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal. Race: 71% White; 22% Black; 7% Other. 
  • Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 48% [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%[45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [53%] (57%) {56%} [52%] (56%) {51%} [53%] (51%) {49%} [54%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%) 
  • Barack Obama 42% [43%] (40%) {42%} [44%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% [50%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (57%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) 
  • Mitt Romney 43% [46%] (42%) {42%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 49% [47%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [48%] (49%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 52% (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (47%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (46%) {48%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (37%) {29%} [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 47% [46%] ( 49%) {49%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (53%) {58%} [56%] (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {+2%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 54% [54%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 41% [43%] (42%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {56%} [55%] (52%) {48%} [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {+13%} 
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (34%) {42%} [37%] (34%) {24%} [28%] (27%) {30%} [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 52% [49%] ( 53%) {54%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [48%] (56%) {60%} [57%] (60%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-7%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% [48%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 50% [50%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited [68%] (63%)
  • Somewhat excited [21%] (23%)
  • Not at all excited [12%] (14%)
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 77% [72%] (69%)
  • Somewhat excited 16% [18%] (20%)
  • Not at all excited 7% [11%] (11%)
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 65% [72%] (58%)
  • Somewhat excited 27% [19%] (26%)
  • Not at all excited 8% [9%] (16%)
Among Independents
  • Very excited 55% [53%] (56%)
  • Somewhat excited 23% [29%] (24%)
  • Not at all excited 23% [19%] (20%)
Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Party ID: 44% [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 35% [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 21% [21%] (19%) {20%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% [28%] (30%) {27%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (29%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% [25%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [17%] (19%) {20%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [16%] (14%) {15%} [15%] (17%) {17%} [13%] (17%) {19%} [15%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [14%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal. 

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