Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% {51%} [49%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {45%} [47%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% {50%} [48%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 46% {44%} [43%] (48%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% {49%} [51%] (53%)
• Barack Obama 46% {47%} [46%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% {55%} [52%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [43%] (36%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 69% {74%}
• Like but with reservations 23% {21%}
• Dislike Mitt Romney 7% {4%}

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 63% {56%}
• Like but with reservations 25% {25%}
• Dislike Barack Obama 12% {17%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 46% {43%} [44%] / 35% {38%} [35%] {+11%} 
• Barack Obama 50% {52%} [51%] (53%) / 45% {44%} [45%] (44%) {+5%} 
• Mitt Romney 47% {45%} [44%] (41%) / 45% {44%} [43%] (43%) {+2%}
• Joe Biden 36% {36%} [35%] / 39% {42%} [42%] {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 47% {51%} [46%] (51%)
• Disapprove 49% {46%} [49%] (46%)

Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say? 

• Qualified 41% [41%]
• Not qualified 32% [33%]
• Don't know enough 27% [24%]

Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say?

• Qualified 47% [44%]
• Not qualified 28% [29%]
• Don't know enough 25% [26%]

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 61% {60%} [58%] (57%)
• No 36% {37%} [40%] (40%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 46% {43%} [44%] (41%)
• No 50% {51%} [48%] (51%)

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 37% {36%}
• Somewhat confident 23% {24%}
• Not too confident 16% {13%}
• Not at all confident 24% {27%}
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 28% {23%}
• Somewhat confident 29% {29%}
• Not too confident 17% {20%}
• Not at all confident 24% {25%}

Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 59%
• No 39%

Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not?

• Yes 65%
• No 31%

Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 40%

Would you say that Mitt Romney is honest and trustworthy or not?

• Yes 47%
• No 47%

Do you think Barack Obama has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them? 

• Yes, explained 45%
• No, has not 53%

Do you think Mitt Romney has clearly explained his specific plans for the next four years, or hasn't he clearly explained them?

• Yes, explained 33%
• No, has not 63%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 49% {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [43%] (47%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% {51%} [50%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {45%} [44%] (43%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 49% {45%} [47%] 
• Barack Obama 47% {50%} [46%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% {50%} [51%]
  
• Mitt Romney 44% {43%} [42%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on energy issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 53%
• Barack Obama 41%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 52% {53%}
• Mitt Romney 42% {41%}

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on helping the middle class, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Did the presidential debate make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama, less likely, or did it have no effect on your vote choice? 

• More likely 8%
• Less likely 17%
• Had no effect 71%

Did the presidential debate make you more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, less likely, or did it have no effect on your vote choice?

• More likely 23%
• Less likely 10%
• Had no effect 64%

Who do you think will win the vice presidential debate, Joe Biden or Paul Ryan?  

• Paul Ryan 49%
• Joe Biden 32%

Survey of 1,327 likely voters was conducted October 4-9, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {35%} [32%] (34%) Democrat; 27% {27%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 37% {32%} [33%] (33%) Independent; 6% {4%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 6, 2012 are in parentheses.