Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 49% (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 47% (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% (44%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {42%} [39%] (40%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 42% (41%) {46%} [44%] (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (38%) {45%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%){43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% (58%) {65%} [59%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (58%) {59%} [65%] (56%) {63%} [60%] (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {28%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% (50%) {48%} [53%] (46%) {45%} [47%] (51%) {50%} [51%] (46%) {52%} [54%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%){51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 42% (43%) {47%} [41%] (47%) {50%} [48%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [41%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (55%) {53%} [57%] (53%) {51%} [50%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {53%} [55%] (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (40%) {43%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 51% (45%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 44% (50%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {52%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {+7%}
• Barack Obama 47% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 50% (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {-3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51% (44%) {43%} [40%] (47%) {37%} [39%] (33%) {41%} [38%] (41%) {36%} [41%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 41% (49%) {46%} [48%] (43%) {53%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {+10%}
• Barack Obama 41% (45%) {45%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (43%) {40%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 51% (51%) {49%} [47%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-10%} 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 58% (60%) {64%} [58%] (59%) {62%} [61%] (58%) {58%} [65%] (55%) {64%} [58%] (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 36% (35%) {33%} [38%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [30%] (39%) {30%} [36%] (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+22%}
• Mitt Romney 40% (32%) {32%} [34%] (36%) {27%} [31%] (29%) {30%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 53% (62%) {63%} [60%] (56%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {58%} [65%] (59%) {61%} [57%] (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-13%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 55% (48%) {48%} [50%] (45%) {42%} [45%] (49%) {45%} [44%] (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 41% (47%) {47%} [45%] (48%) {52%} [50%] (41%) {47%} [46%] (51%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {+14%}
• Barack Obama 41% (44%) {47%} [42%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 56% (52%) {50%} [55%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [54%] (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-15%}    

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% (53%) {52%} [57%] (53%) {51%} [48%] (51%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {52%} [51%] (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 44% (44%) {45%} [40%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 47% (42%) {44%} [37%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (36%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {35%} [35%] (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 47% (52%) {49%} [57%] (53%) {53%} [50%] (56%) {50%} [53%] (46%) {48%} [54%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {0%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?

• Favorable 48% [41%]
  
• Unfavorable 43% [43%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?

• Favorable 42%
• Unfavorable 50%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (47%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%) {44%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 53% (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (53%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)

Among Independents

• Approve 34% (42%) {39%} [43%] (37%) {40%} [45%] (38%)
• Disapprove 55% (52%) {53%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (53%)

Survey of 1,300 likely voters was conducted October 4-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% (39%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [35%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 37% (36%) {33%} [38%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [34%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 23% (25%) {26%} [19%] (23%) {22%} [30%] (25%) {29%} [27%] (29%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 41% (41%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (41%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 39% (41%) {39%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (42%) {47%} [41%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 20% (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {22%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {13%} [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.