Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {47%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (43%) {42%} [44%] (44%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {41%} [41%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (43%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [38%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% (41%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [45%] (35%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [45%] (51%)
• Barack Obama 42% (40%) {43%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [38%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (40%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 56% (51%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [47%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (39%) {39%} [41%] (39%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {39%} [38%] (39%)

College Degree

• Barack Obama 54% (51%) {51%} [49%] {50%} [45%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (41%) {41%} [45%] {43%} [46%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (42%)

No College Degree

• Mitt Romney 48% (44%) {42%} [43%] {41%} [45%] (46%) {42%} [42%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 46% (43%) {45%} [45%] {46%} [41%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Obama 74%
• Like Obama, but with reservations 21%
• Dislike Romney 5%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Romney 60%
• Like Romney, but with reservations 21%
• Dislike Obama 17%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% (45%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [42%] (47%) / 47% (48%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [53%] (47%) {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 45% (37%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [39%] (36%) / 48% (41%) {38%} [43%] (31%) {35%} [28%] (27%) {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?  

• Approve 48% (45%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [41%]
• Disapprove 49% (49%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [55%]

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy?

• Barack Obama 48% (45%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [39%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {43%} [49%] (46%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50% 
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis?

• Barack Obama 52%
  
• Mitt Romney 43%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care?

• Barack Obama 50% (45%) {44%}
  
• Mitt Romney 45% (44%) {43%}

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit?

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Barack Obama 42%

If you or a family member were at risk of violence in a foreign country, who would you want in the White House, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50%
  
• Mitt Romney 45%

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 60% (56%) {57%} [58%] [54%] (54%)
• No 38% (41%) {39%} [40%] [43%] (42%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 46% (42%) {44%} [40%] [43%]
• No 51% (50%) {43%} [50%] [35%]

If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 28%
• Hurt 41%
• No difference 30%

If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 35%
• Hurt 33%
  
• No difference 29%

If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 9%
• Favor the middle class 27%
  
• Favor the poor 31%
• Treat all groups the same 26%

If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 55%
• Favor the middle class 9%
  
• Favor the poor 1%
• Treat all groups the same 33%

Who do you blame more for the current condition of the U.S. economy, former President George W. Bush or President Barack Obama?

• George W. Bush 50%
• Barack Obama 42%
  

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% 
• Mitt Romney 28%

Survey of 1,912 likely voters was conducted September 25-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (31%) {31%} [30%] (32%) Democrat; 24% (27%) {25%} [28%] (25%) Republican; 38% (36%) {38%} [33%] (35%) Independent; 8% (6%) {6%} [8%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 1-8, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27 - October 3, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-15, 2010 are in parentheses.