Monday, March 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Thad Cochran (R) 48%
  • Travis Childers (D) 31%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 12%
  • Chris McDaniel (R) 47%
  • Travis Childers (D) 35%
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 26-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Saturday, March 29, 2014

Poll Watch: WPA Opinion Research (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

WPA Research (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Jeb Bush 11%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Paul Ryan 6%
  • Marco Rubio 6%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Rick Perry 1%
Survey of 801 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted March 18-20, 2014.

Inside the numbers:
The survey also showed that the Republican and Republican-leaning respondents surveyed believed that Mr. Paul, Mr. Christie and Mr. Bush had the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical general election showdown.

“Christie is clearly not the first choice among GOP voters overall, but when you look at which candidate Republicans believe can beat Hillary Clinton there is evidence that the theory a moderate Republican can beat a liberal Democrat still holds some sway,” the pollster noted.

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Warner (D) 46%
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 31%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mark Warner 49% / 30% {+19%}
  • Ed Gillespie 20% / 14% {+6%}
  • Robert Sarvis 8% / 11% {-3%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator?
  • Approve 55%
  • Disapprove 33%
Do you feel that Mark Warner deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 49%
  • No/Does not 36%
If President Obama campaigns for Mark Warner in his Senate race, would that make you more likely to vote for Warner, less likely to vote for Warner, or wouldn't it make a difference?
  • More likely 15%
  • Less likely 33%
  • No difference 50%
Survey of 1,288 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 35% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
  • David Perdue 21%
  • Jack Kingston 15%
  • Paul Broun 15%
  • Phil Gingrey 13%
  • Karen Handel 10%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 24%
Survey of 600 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 23-24, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Mark Jacobs (R) 38%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 37%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40%
  • Matt Whitaker (R) 36%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44%
  • Sam Clovis (R) 31%
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 24-25, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Poll 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Susana Martinez (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) 35%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
    Do you think Susana Martinez should run for President in 2016, or not?
    • Think she should 17%
    • Think she should not 69%
    Survey of 674 registered voters was conducted March 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Democrat; 28% Republican; 22% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 20% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 16% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {42%} [46%] (45%)
    • Chris Christie (R) 41% {41%} [37%] (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} (51%)
      • Rand Paul (R) 42% {40%} (37%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
        Among Independents
        • Chris Christie (R) 48% {43%} [41%] (42%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {36%} [36%] (39%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 45% {38%} (37%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {46%} (49%)
          • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
            Among Men
            • Chris Christie (R) 43% {46%} [42%] (47%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {36%} [40%] (37%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 47% {47%} (48%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} (42%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
              • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                Among Women
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {49%} [53%] (53%)
                • Chris Christie (R) 40% {36%} [33%] (34%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {55%} (59%)
                  • Rand Paul (R) 37% {33%} (28%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39%
                    Among Whites
                    • Chris Christie (R) 51% {51%} [46%] (49%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [38%] (36%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 53% {49%} (45%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {41%} (44%)
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 52%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
                    Among Blacks
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 84% {76%} [77%] (84%)
                    • Chris Christie (R) 11% {11%} [11%] (6%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 89% {85%} (87%)
                    • Rand Paul (R) 3% {8%} (5%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 91%
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 2%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 88%
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 7%
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                    • Hillary Clinton 52% {53%} [57%] (58%) / 44% {42%} [38%] (37%) {+8%} 
                    • Mike Huckabee 39% / 35% {+4%}
                    • Rand Paul 36% {38%} (36%) / 35% {33%} (32%) {+1%}
                    • Chris Christie 38% {55%} [56%] (55%) / 38% {19%} [18%] (17%) {0%} 
                    • Jeb Bush 35% / 36% {-1%}
                    Among Independents
                    • Rand Paul 41% {39%} (40%) / 30% {34%} (30%) {+11%}
                    • Chris Christie 42% {58%} [59%] (61%) / 34% {17%} [18%] (15%) {+8%}
                    • Jeb Bush 36% / 28% {+8%} 
                    • Mike Huckabee 41% / 34% {+7%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 47% {49%} [50%] (58%) / 49% {44%} [45%] (36%) {-2%
                    Among Men
                    • Rand Paul 44% {46%} (45%) / 32% {32%} (28%) {+12%} 
                    • Jeb Bush 39% / 33% {+6%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 42% / 37% {+5%} 
                    • Chris Christie 39% {54%} [60%] (56%) / 40% {22%} [20%] (20%) {-1%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 46% {44%} [52%] (48%) / 50% {52%} [44%] (48%) {-4%}
                    Among Women
                    • Hillary Clinton 57% {61%} [62%] (66%) / 39% {32%} [32%] (28%) {+18%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 37% / 34% {+3%}
                    • Chris Christie 37% {56%} [52%] (55%) / 36% {16%} [17%] (14%) {+1%} 
                    • Jeb Bush 32% / 38% {-6%}
                    • Rand Paul 29% {30%} (28%) / 37% {35%} (36%) {-8%}
                    Among Whites
                    • Mike Huckabee 48% / 33% {+15%}
                    • Rand Paul 44% {46%} (42%) / 30% {28%} (32%) {+14%}
                    • Jeb Bush 42% / 29% {+13%}
                    • Chris Christie 42% {61%} [59%] (60%) / 38% {17%} [18%] (17%) {+4%}
                    • Hillary Clinton 40% {46%} [49%] (51%) / 56% {51%} [47%] (44%) {-16%}
                    Among Blacks
                    • Hillary Clinton 93% {84%} [87%] (91%) / 7% {10%} [5%] (4%) {+86%}
                    • Chris Christie 26% {39%} [49%] (42%) / 37% {20%} [21%] (15%) {-11%}
                    • Mike Huckabee 13% / 39% {-26%}
                    • Rand Paul 8% {7%} (6%) / 46% {51%} (37%) {-38%}
                    • Jeb Bush 12% / 61% {-49%}
                    Survey of 1,288 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {31%} [32%] (31%) Democrat; 24% {26%} [22%] (26%) Republican; 35% {35%} [37%] (36%) Independent; 8% {9%} [10%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Gender: 54% {50%} [52%] (53%) Female; 46% {50%} [48%] (47%) Male.  Race: 72% {70%} [69%] (71%) White; 17% {16%} [17%] (17%) Black; 3% {4%} [4%] (4%) Hispanic; 8% {10%} [10%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Tuesday, March 25, 2014

                    Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                    SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                    • Thom Tillis 27% (28%)
                    • Greg Brannon 13% (15%)
                    • Mark Harris 9% (6%)
                    • Jim Snyder 5% (4%)
                    • Heather Grant 5% (11%)
                    • Alex Lee Bradshaw 2% (4%)
                    • Ted Alexander 1% (7%)
                    • Edward Kryn 0% (3%)
                    • Undecided 38% (23%)
                    Survey of 405 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 19-23, 2014 on behalf of the Civitas Institute. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Monday, March 24, 2014

                    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

                    • Mead Treadwell (R) 47%
                    • Mark Begich (D) 43%
                    • Dan Sullivan (R) 44%
                    • Mark Begich (D) 44%
                    • Mark Begich (D) 49%
                    • Joe Miller (R) 38%
                      Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 19-20, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                      Friday, March 21, 2014

                      Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                      Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                      • Scott Walker (R) 49%
                      • Mary Burke (D) 44%
                      • Unsure 7% 
                      Among Independents
                      • Scott Walker (R) 47.4%
                      • Mary Burke (D) 37.7%
                      Survey of 988 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted March 17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 33% Republican; 30% Independent/Other.
                      Inside the numbers:
                      The election for Governor appears to be following partisan lines with 82.5% of Democrats voters supporting Burke and 91.1% of Republican voters supporting Walker.

                      Thursday, March 20, 2014

                      Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                      SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                      • Thom Tillis 28%
                      • Greg Brannon 15%
                      • Heather Grant 11%
                      • Ted Alexander 7%
                      • Mark Harris 6% 
                      • Alex Lee Bradshaw 4%
                      • Jim Snyder 4%
                      • Edward Kryn 3%
                      • Undecided 23%
                      Survey of 405 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 17-19, 2014 for WRAL-TV Raleigh. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 90% Republican; 10% Independent.  Political ideology: 74% Conservative; 20% Moderate; 4% Liberal.

                      Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

                      SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
                      • David Perdue 29%
                      • Jack Kingston 19%
                      • Phil Gingrey 12%
                      • Paul Broun 11%
                      • Karen Handel 10%
                      • Derrick Grayson 4% 
                      • Art Gardner 1%
                      • Undecided 15%
                      Survey of 508 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 16-18, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 76% Republican; 21% Independent; 3% Democrat.  Political ideology: 72% Conservative; 24% Moderate; 3% Liberal.

                      Wednesday, March 19, 2014

                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

                      PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (48%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 44% [47%] (45%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [39%]
                      • Chris Christie (R) 38% [46%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [48%]
                        • Ted Cruz (R) 40% [45%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [47%]
                        • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [43%]
                        Among Independents
                        • Rand Paul (R) 45% [46%] (45%)
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (45%)
                        • Chris Christie (R) 38% [45%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [30%]
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%]
                          • Ted Cruz (R) 39% [39%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%]
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 36% [40%]
                          Among Moderates
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [54%] (58%)
                          • Rand Paul (R) 30% [35%] (32%)
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [42%] 
                          • Chris Christie (R) 31% [39%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 29%
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [59%]
                            • Ted Cruz (R) 26% [31%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%]
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 27% [30%]
                            Among Men
                            • Rand Paul (R) 48% [56%] (50%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [37%] (41%)
                            • Chris Christie (R) 46% [51%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [31%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                            • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [40%]
                              • Ted Cruz (R) 42% [53%]
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [51%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [39%]
                              Among Women
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [53%] (53%)
                              • Rand Paul (R) 40% [39%] (41%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [47%] 
                              • Chris Christie (R) 31% [41%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 39%
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [56%]
                                • Ted Cruz (R) 38% [38%]
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%]
                                • Jeb Bush (R) 33% [34%]
                                Survey of 568 registered voters was conducted March 13-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [35%] (34%) Republican; 33% [34%] (34%) Democrat; 33% [31%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% [29%] (26%) Moderate; 23% [27%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% [14%] (15%) Very conservative; 15% [14%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                PPP (D) Colorado 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                • Ted Cruz 17% (18%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 15%
                                • Chris Christie 14% (17%)
                                • Paul Ryan 10% (9%)
                                • Rand Paul 10% (16%)
                                • Jeb Bush 8% (8%)
                                • Marco Rubio 8% (10%) 
                                • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
                                • Bobby Jindal 2% (3%)
                                • Someone else/Not sure 11% (11%)
                                Among Men
                                • Mike Huckabee 19%
                                • Ted Cruz 17% (18%)
                                • Chris Christie 16% (18%)
                                • Rand Paul 9% (23%)
                                • Paul Ryan 7% (8%)
                                • Jeb Bush 7% (7%)
                                • Marco Rubio 7% (9%)
                                • Scott Walker 6% (6%) 
                                • Bobby Jindal 3% (2%)
                                • Someone else/Not sure 8% (8%)
                                Among Women
                                • Ted Cruz 16% (17%)
                                • Paul Ryan 13% (10%)
                                • Rand Paul 12% (9%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 11%
                                • Chris Christie 10% (16%)
                                • Jeb Bush 8% (10%)
                                • Marco Rubio 8% (10%)
                                • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
                                • Bobby Jindal 2% (5%)
                                • Someone else/Not sure 15% (14%)
                                Survey of 255 Republican primary voters was conducted March 13-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Ideology: 38% (35%) Very conservative; 36% (40%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) Moderate; 6% (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 3-4, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                                • Steve Daines (R) 51%
                                • John Walsh (D) 37%
                                • Some other candidate 4%
                                • Undecided 9%
                                Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                                Tuesday, March 18, 2014

                                Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                • Mark Udall (D) 42%
                                • Cory Gardner (R) 40%
                                Among Independents
                                • Cory Gardner (R) 38%
                                • Mark Udall (D) 30%
                                Among Moderates
                                • Mark Udall (D) 42%
                                • Cory Gardner (R) 29%
                                Among Men
                                • Cory Gardner (R) 45%
                                • Mark Udall (D) 42%
                                Among Women
                                • Mark Udall (D) 43%
                                • Cory Gardner (R) 36%
                                Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  
                                • Approve 41%
                                • Disapprove 40%
                                Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  
                                • Favorable 23%
                                • Unfavorable 25%
                                Survey of 568 registered voters was conducted March 13-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Republican; 33% Democrat; 33% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 20% Somewhat liberal; 16% Very conservative; 15% Very liberal.

                                Poll Watch: University of North Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

                                UNF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                • Charlie Crist (D) 34% (44%)
                                • Rick Scott (R) 33% (40%)
                                • Someone else 17% (2%)
                                • Don't know 17% (14%)
                                Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
                                • Approve 45% (49%)
                                • Disapprove 39% (42%)
                                Proposition 2 on the statewide ballot in the fall of 2014 is called “Use of Marijuana for Certain Medical Conditions.” This amendment allows the medical use of marijuana for individuals with debilitating diseases as determined by a licensed Florida physician. If the election were held today, would you vote Yes or No for this proposition?
                                • Yes 74%
                                • No 22%
                                Current Florida law states that a person “has no duty to retreat and has the right to stand his or her ground and meet force with force to prevent death or great bodily harm to themselves or someone else.” Do you support or oppose requiring people to take reasonable steps to retreat before using force to defend themselves?
                                • Support 62%
                                • Oppose 29%
                                Survey of 507 registered Florida voters was conducted March 6-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.35 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 35% Republican; 25% Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Monday, March 17, 2014

                                Poll Watch: ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
                                • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50% (48%) 
                                • Scott Brown (R) 38% (38%)
                                • Undecided 12% (14%)
                                Among Men
                                • Scott Brown (R) 49% (44%)
                                • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% (43%)  
                                • Undecided 7% (13%)
                                Among Women
                                • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 55% (52%) 
                                • Scott Brown (R) 28% (32%)
                                • Undecided 17% (16%)
                                Survey of 533 registered voters was conducted March 13-16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Republican; 30% Democrat; 38% Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: LEA/Denno Research (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                LEA/Denno Research (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
                                • Gary Peters (D) 39.7% (37%) [39%]
                                • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36.7% (36%) [39%]
                                • Someone else 2% [0%]
                                • Unsure 21.7% [22%]
                                Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 8-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 38.8% Democrat; 31.5% Republican; 24.2% Independent. Results from the poll conducted November 12-14, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

                                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

                                Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
                                • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50% 
                                • Scott Brown (R) 41%
                                • Some other candidate 4%
                                • Undecided 5%
                                Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 12-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                                Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                                CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                                • Hillary Clinton 64% [63%] (65%)
                                • Joe Biden 13% [12%] (10%)
                                • Andrew Cuomo 4% [5%] (6%)
                                • Martin O'Malley 4% [2%] (2%)
                                • Brian Schweitzer 3%
                                • Someone else (vol.) 6% [6%] (4%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 5% [3%] (5%)
                                • No opinion 1% [3%] (2%)
                                Among Men
                                • Hillary Clinton 58% [59%] (52%)
                                • Joe Biden 16% [13%] (15%)
                                • Brian Schweitzer 6%
                                • Andrew Cuomo 3% [5%] (8%)
                                • Martin O'Malley 2% [2%] (2%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 6% [11%] (4%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 7% [4%] (7%)
                                • No opinion 1% [1%] (1%)
                                Among Women
                                • Hillary Clinton 69% [66%] (76%)
                                • Joe Biden 11% [11%] (6%)
                                • Martin O'Malley 5% [2%] (1%)
                                • Andrew Cuomo 4% [5%] (4%)
                                • Brian Schweitzer 1%
                                • Someone else (vol.) 6% [2%] (4%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (3%)
                                • No opinion 1% [5%] (2%)
                                Survey of 372 Democrats, including 253 respondents who describe themselves as Democrats and 119 who describe themselves as Independents who lean Democratic, was conducted March 7-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                                • Rand Paul 16% {13%} [13%] (13%)
                                • Paul Ryan 15% {9%} [11%] (16%)
                                • Rick Perry 11% {8%} [7%] (6%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 10% {14%}
                                • Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [6%] (10%)
                                • Chris Christie 8% {10%} [24%] (17%)
                                • Ted Cruz 8% {8%} [10%] (7%)
                                • Marco Rubio 5% {9%} [9%] (9%)
                                • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [6%] (5%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 6% {8%} [6%] (6%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 4% {3%} [2%] (4%)
                                • No opinion 5% {4%} [6%] (6%)
                                Among Republicans
                                • Paul Ryan 19% {9%} [11%] (17%)
                                • Jeb Bush 11% {10%} [6%] (13%)
                                • Rick Perry 11% {8%} [8%] (7%)
                                • Ted Cruz 11% {5%} [9%] (7%)
                                • Rand Paul 10% {13%} [12%] (9%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 9% {17%}
                                • Chris Christie 6% {8%} [28%] (17%)
                                • Marco Rubio 5% {12%} [10%] (10%)
                                • Rick Santorum 4% {5%} [7%] (3%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 8% {5%} [6%] (7%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 3% {4%} [1%] (4%)
                                • No opinion 5% {3%} [3%] (5%)
                                Among GOP-Leaning Independents
                                • Rand Paul 22% {13%} [15%] (17%)
                                • Rick Perry 12% {7%} [7%] (6%)
                                • Chris Christie 11% {13%} [20%] (18%)
                                • Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%]  (15%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 11% {10%}
                                • Jeb Bush 7% {10%} [6%] (6%)
                                • Ted Cruz 6% {13%} [12%] (7%)
                                • Marco Rubio 5% {5%} [7%] (9%)
                                • Rick Santorum 2% {3%} [5%] (7%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 3% {12%} [6%] (4%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 6% {2%} [3%] (4%)
                                • No opinion 5% {4%} [8%] (7%)
                                Among Men
                                • Rand Paul 17% {17%} [15%] (13%)
                                • Paul Ryan 15% {12%} [10%] (14%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 11% {14%}
                                • Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [12%] (12%) 
                                • Rick Perry 10% {7%} [8%] (7%)
                                • Chris Christie 9% {6%} [23%] (16%)
                                • Jeb Bush 7% {9%} [2%] (9%)
                                • Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [11%] (11%)
                                • Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [6%] (6%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 7% {8%} [6%] (5%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 2% {4%} [2%] (3%)
                                • No opinion 3% {4%} [4%] (5%)
                                Among Women
                                • Rand Paul 14% {9%} [11%] (12%)
                                • Rick Perry 13% {9%} [6%] (6%)
                                • Paul Ryan 13% {6%} [13%] (19%)
                                • Jeb Bush 11% {10%} [10%] (11%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 9% {14%}
                                • Chris Christie 7% {15%} [24%] (19%)
                                • Ted Cruz 6% {7%} [8%] (3%)
                                • Marco Rubio 5% {11%} [7%] (7%)
                                • Rick Santorum 4% {7%} [6%] (4%)
                                • Someone else (vol.) 4% {8%} [6%] (6%)
                                • None/No one (vol.) 7% {3%} [2%] (6%)
                                • No opinion 6% {3%} [7%] (7%)
                                Survey of 367 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted March 7-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 50% {52%} Republican; 50% {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Friday, March 14, 2014

                                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                • Jeb Bush 22% (16.0%)
                                • Mike Huckabee 19% (15.8%)
                                • Chris Christie 12% (16.6%)
                                • Rand Paul 8% (9.7%)
                                • Ted Cruz 8% (11.1%)
                                • Marco Rubio 6% (7.2%)
                                • Scott Walker 5% (2.3%) 
                                • Rick Santorum 2% (2.8%)
                                • Undecided 19% (18.5%)
                                Survey of GOP primary voters was conducted March 6-7, 2014.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                                PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
                                • Jeb Bush (R) 44% {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {45%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                                • Chris Christie (R) 42% {43%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} {46%} (50%) {50%} [53%]
                                • Paul Ryan (R) 43% {44%} {44%} (43%) {44%} [39%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {46%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 42% {43%} [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {46%} [48%]
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {43%} [42%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
                                  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%} [49%] (50%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% {41%} [41%] (33%)

                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
                                  • Joe Biden (D) 41%
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
                                  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
                                  Among Independents
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 48% {37%} [42%] (33%) {37%} {43%} [35%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% {38%} [36%] (43%) {32%} {40%} [38%]
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 46% {41%} [49%] (39%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% {36%} [26%] (35%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [29%]
                                  • Paul Ryan (R) 47% {39%} {41%} (41%) {44%} [41%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {39%} {36%} (44%) {42%} [42%]
                                  • Rand Paul (R) 49% {42%} [47%] (34%) {34%} [43%] (42%)
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {39%} [37%] (48%) {37%} [45%] (43%) 
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% {37%} [43%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {39%} [39%]
                                  • Marco Rubio (R) 44% {40%} [39%] (42%) {42%} [39%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {31%} [46%] (42%) {40%} [38%] 
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%} [40%] (48%)
                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {37%} [43%] (29%)

                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 52%
                                  • Joe Biden (D) 27%
                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
                                  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 25%
                                  Among Moderates
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {51%} [55%] (59%) {53%} {63%} [62%]
                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 30% {28%} [35%] (28%) {28%} {27%} [24%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [45%] (51%) {52%} [60%] (54%) {54%} [49%]
                                  • Chris Christie (R) 31% {34%} [44%] (32%) {28%} [27%] (30%) {28%} [29%]
                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% {55%} {58%} (60%) {63%} [67%]
                                  • Paul Ryan (R) 27% {29%} {28%} (30%) {27%} [23%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {53%} [56%] (61%) {61%} [67%] (61%)
                                    • Rand Paul (R) 26% {29%} [32%] (24%) {22%} [23%] (26%)
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% {56%} [58%]
                                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 23% {28%} [30%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {55%} [67%] (59%) {59%} [63%]
                                    • Marco Rubio (R) 25% {28%} [21%] (29%) {25%} [22%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 67% {54%} [60%] (63%)
                                    • Ted Cruz (R) 21% {28%} [28%] (21%)

                                    • Joe Biden (D) 49%
                                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%
                                    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 37%
                                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 29%
                                    Among Men
                                    • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {51%} [50%] (45%) {46%} {46%} [39%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {37%} [39%] (43%) {38%} {44%} [47%]
                                    • Chris Christie (R) 49% {51%} [56%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {38%} [32%] (39%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {38%} [37%]
                                    • Paul Ryan (R) 49% {51%} {49%} (49%) {49%} [42%]
                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} {41%} (46%) {45%} [48%]
                                      • Rand Paul (R) 48% {52%} [52%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (48%)
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {38%} [40%] (44%) {41%} [47%] (45%)
                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% {51%} [51%]
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {39%} [40%]
                                      • Marco Rubio (R) 45% {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [41%] 
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {39%} [47%] (46%) {44%} [47%]
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {40%} [41%] (47%)
                                      • Ted Cruz (R) 46% {48%} [50%] (37%)

                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% 
                                      • Joe Biden (D) 40%
                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%
                                      • Elizabeth Warren (D) 30%
                                      Among Women
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {53%} [56%] (52%) {51%} {54%} [54%]
                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {36%} [37%] (33%) {36%} {39%} [36%]
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {51%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
                                      • Chris Christie (R) 36% {36%} [36%] (34%) {37%} [41%] (37%) {37%} [39%]
                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {52%} {52%} (53%) {55%} [58%]
                                      • Paul Ryan (R) 38% {38%} {38%} (38%) {39%} [36%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {53%} [55%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (54%)
                                        • Rand Paul (R) 37% {35%} [34%] (32%) {34%} [37%] (37%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {52%} [56%]
                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% {36%} [35%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {52%} [54%] (53%) {54%} [55%]
                                        • Marco Rubio (R) 36% {33%} [37%] (38%) {35%} [34%]
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {53%} [56%] (54%)
                                        • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {34%} [32%] (29%)

                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 43%
                                        • Joe Biden (D) 42%   
                                        • Mike Huckabee (R) 39%
                                        • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
                                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                        • Hillary Clinton 47% {45%} [47%] [51%] (50%) {49%} [54%] (57%) / 47% {47%} [45%] [43%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (36%) {0%}
                                        • Mike Huckabee 38% {37%} [38%] {42%} [34%] (38%) / 38% {38%} [35%] {38%} [46%] (39%) {0%}
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 26% {23%} [23%] [24%] (23%) {28%} [30%] (25%) / 26% {29%} [27%] [24%] (22%) {20%} [22%] (27%) {0%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 35% {34%} [31%] [33%] (30%) {35%} [33%] (38%) / 40% {41%} [41%] [41%] (37%) {33%} [40%] (38%) {-5%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 30% [32%] (35%) {35%} [33%] (35%) / 35% [33%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {-5%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 34% {33%} [35%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (41%) / 41% {39%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [45%] (42%) {-7%}
                                        • Rand Paul 34% {33%} [34%] [33%] (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) / 41% {42%} [39%] [39%] (37%) {39%} [44%] (38%) {-7%}
                                        • Joe Biden 40% {34%} [38%] [41%] (40%) {48%} [48%] (46%) / 48% {49%} [49%] [48%] (47%) {44%} [43%] (44%) {-8%}
                                        • Chris Christie 33% {31%} [43%] [42%] (39%) {44%} [51%] (48%) / 43% {46%} [31%] [28%] (28%) {22%} [23%] (26%) {-10%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 27% {28%} [26%] [15%] / 41% {38%} [40%] [27%] {-14%}
                                        Among Independents
                                        • Mike Huckabee 41% {30%} [39%] {40%} [37%] (41%) / 33% {40%} [30%] {38%} [42%] (36%) {+8%}
                                        • Rand Paul 42% {32%} [40%] [36%] (41%) {46%} [37%] (40%) / 36% {37%} [33%] [37%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (33%) {+6%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 30% / 32% {-2%}
                                        • Chris Christie 33% {29%} [46%] [45%] (37%) {41%} [52%] (46%) / 37% {44%} [28%] [25%] (31%) {26%} [18%] (29%) {-4%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 29% {27%} [26%] [31%] (26%) {31%} [29%] (42%) / 35% {36%} [38%] [36%] (36%) {27%} [32%] (28%) {-6%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 34% {24%} / 43% {42%} {-9%}
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 20% {17%} [19%] [26%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (20%) / 31% {28%} [32%] [27%] (21%) {24%} [27%] (35%) {-11%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 29% {23%} [29%] [17%] / 43% {37%} [38%] [27%] {-14%}
                                        • Joe Biden 30% {26%} [29%] [37%] (33%) {42%} [43%] (31%) / 52% {53%} [57%] [50%] (49%) {48%} [42%] (56%) {-22%}
                                        • Hillary Clinton 32% {36%} [34%] [49%] (42%) {39%} [48%] (52%) / 59% {52%} [55%] [42%] (47%) {47%} [41%] (42%) {-27%}  
                                        Among Moderates
                                        • Hillary Clinton 57% {53%} [58%] [68%] (61%) {56%} [69%] (76%) / 34% {35%} [33%] [24%] (28%) {27%} [22%] (20%) {+23%}
                                        • Joe Biden 48% {34%} [42%] [53%] (48%) {64%} [64%] (60%) / 32% {35%} [44%] [32%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (29%) {+16%}
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 25% {23%} [27%] [32%] (30%) {37%} [36%] (33%) / 26% {23%} [26%] [16%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (22%) {-1%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 32% {22%} [31%] [24%] (25%) {20%} [28%] (24%) / 37% {47%} [40%] [46%] (39%) {40%} [41%] (46%) {-5%}
                                        • Chris Christie 31% {28%} [50%] [50%] (43%) {43%} [57%] (48%) / 42% {44%} [25%] [24%] (24%) {22%} [18%] (23%) {-11%
                                        • Marco Rubio 22% / 37% {-15%}
                                        • Mike Huckabee 26% {21%} [27%] {26%} [22%] (27%) / 46% {47%} [43%] {49%} [53%] (47%) {-20%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 24% {16%} / 49% {48%} {-25%}
                                        • Rand Paul 22% {16%} [25%] [22%] (22%) {22%} [20%] (25%) / 51% {51%} [49%] [49%] (49%) {49%} [56%] (43%) {-29%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 14% {11%} [17%] [5%] / 52% {48%} [50%] [35%] {-38%}
                                        Among Men
                                        • Mike Huckabee 42% {40%} [44%] {48%} [35%] (43%) / 39% {39%} [34%] {37%} [46%] (39%) {+3%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 39% {36%} [34%] [36%] (32%) {39%} [34%] (43%) / 40% {36%} [39%] [40%] (38%) {29%} [38%] (35%) {-1%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 37% / 38% {-1%}
                                        • Rand Paul 41% {40%} [40%] [38%] (40%) {43%} [33%] (36%) / 43% {38%} [37%] [39%] (38%) {39%} [43%] (39%) {-2%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 40% {38%} / 42% {36%} {-2%}
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 27% {20%} [21%] [28%] (20%) {27%} [27%] (21%) / 33% {34%} [33%] [28%] (29%) {22%} [20%] (30%) {-6%}
                                        • Hillary Clinton 43% {37%} [38%] [47%] (45%) {43%} [48%] (50%) / 52% {55%} [55%] [48%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (43%) {-9%}
                                        • Chris Christie 36% {32%} [42%] [41%] (39%) {43%} [52%] (52%) / 47% {47%} [36%] [32%] (31%) {26%} [22%] (28%) {-11%
                                        • Ted Cruz 33% {33%} [33%] [19%] / 45% {39%} [43%] [36%] {-12%}
                                        • Joe Biden 39% {28%} [32%] [41%] (36%) {44%} [47%] (43%) / 55% {56%} [59%] [49%] (55%) {50%} [43%] (47%) {-16%}
                                        Among Women
                                        • Hillary Clinton 50% {53%} [55%] [55%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (64%) / 42% {40%} [36%] [39%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (29%) {+8%}
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 24% {26%} [26%] [21%] (26%) {28%} [32%] (30%) / 20% {24%} [23%] [21%] (13%) {18%} [23%] (23%) {+4%}
                                        • Joe Biden 41% {38%} [43%] [41%] (45%) {52%} [50%] (50%) / 41% {42%} [40%] [46%] (38%) {38%} [42%] (40%) {0%}
                                        • Mike Huckabee 34% {33%} [33%] {36%} [32%] (33%) / 37% {37%} [35%] {39%} [46%] (38%) {-3%
                                        • Marco Rubio 24% / 32% {-8%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 31% {31%} [27%] [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (33%) / 40% {45%} [44%] [43%] (37%) {36%} [43%] (41%) {-9%
                                        • Rand Paul 28% {27%} [28%] [28%] (32%) {27%} [31%] (28%) / 39% {45%} [41%] [39%] (37%) {40%} [45%] (36%) {-11%}
                                        • Chris Christie 29% {30%} [45%] [43%] (40%) {45%} [49%] (44%) / 41% {46%} [26%] [25%] (24%) {19%} [23%] (25%) {-12%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 28% {29%} / 40% {41%} {-12%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 21% {24%} [20%] [12%] / 37% {38%} [37%] [17%] {-16%}
                                        National survey of 1,152 registered voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 34% {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {26%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (32%) Moderate; 23% {25%} [24%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {25%} [24%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {18%} [20%] (16%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 18% {18%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (15%) Very conservative; 13% {13%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                                        Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                                        • Hillary Clinton 66% (67%) {66%} [67%] (52%) {63%} [64%] (58%) {57%} [61%] (57%)
                                        • Joe Biden 11% (7%) {10%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [12%] (14%)
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (6%)
                                        • Andrew Cuomo 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (5%) 
                                        • Cory Booker 3% (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
                                        • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
                                        • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%) [0%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}  
                                        • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
                                        • Mark Warner 0% (1%) [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 7% (10%) {7%} [12%] (17%) {10%} [6%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
                                        Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                                        • Joe Biden 37% (32%) {35%} [27%] (34%) {38%} [49%] (57%) (32%)
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 12% (16%) {13%} [19%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (13%) (8%)
                                        • Andrew Cuomo 10% (7%) {7%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (5%) (18%)
                                        • Cory Booker 5% (7%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
                                        • Kirsten Gillibrand 4% (3%) [4%] (3%) {2%} [7%] (4%) 
                                        • Martin O'Malley 3% (1%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [1%] (1%) (2%)
                                        • Mark Warner 1% (2%) [1%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%) (2%)
                                        • Brian Schweitzer 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%) (1%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 27% (31%) {16%} [33%] (29%) {26%} [15%] (14%) (32%)
                                        Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                                        • Andrew Cuomo 19% (13%) {14%} [13%] (11%) {25%} [22%] (25%) {19%} [21%] (27%)
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 19% (24%) {24%} [23%] (20%) {17%} [18%] (21%) {16%} [16%] (9%)
                                        • Cory Booker 12% (11%) {13%} [14%] (8%)
                                        • Kirsten Gillibrand 6% (4%) [3%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {5%} 
                                        • Martin O'Malley 4% (2%) {7%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
                                        • Mark Warner 3% (1%) [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
                                        • Brian Schweitzer 1% (3%) {2%} [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 37% (43%) {40%} [39%] (47%) {38%} [36%] (36%) {40%} [45%] (46%)
                                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                        • Hillary Clinton 84% (83%) {85%} {85%} [84%] (81%) {79%} [86%] (86%) / 12% (9%) {11%} {12%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [10%] (10%) {+72%} 
                                        • Joe Biden 74% (67%) {72%} {73%} [73%] (80%) {73%} [80%] (70%) / 16% (11%) {15%} {16%} [15%] (13%) {22%} [14%] (21%) {+58%} 
                                        • Elizabeth Warren 47% (45%) {46%} {42%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [45%] (28%) / 17% (17%) {15%} {13%} [13%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {+30%}
                                        Survey of 429 Democratic primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 32% (29%) {35%} [38%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 32% (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [30%] (32%) {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 25% (25%) {18%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 8% (8%) {10%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [9%] (9%) {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 3% (5%) {2%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                                        PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

                                        Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
                                        • Mike Huckabee 18% [16%] (13%) (11%) {15%} [11%] (17%)
                                        • Jeb Bush 15% [14%] (10%) (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
                                        • Chris Christie 14% [13%] (19%) (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
                                        • Rand Paul 14% [11%] (11%) (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 11% [8%] (14%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (7%) (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (10%) (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
                                        • Scott Walker 5% [6%] (4%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 4% [5%] (3%) (4%) {3%} (3%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (10%) (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
                                        Very Conservative
                                        • Ted Cruz 20% [11%] (23%)
                                        • Rand Paul 19% [15%] (15%)
                                        • Jeb Bush 18% [10%] (6%) 
                                        • Mike Huckabee 18% [20%] (14%)
                                        • Scott Walker 7% [11%] (5%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (8%)
                                        • Chris Christie 3% [4%] (12%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 3% [7%] (10%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 1% [5%] (2%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 3% [9%] (7%)
                                        Somewhat Conservative
                                        • Mike Huckabee 21% [15%] (16%)
                                        • Jeb Bush 15% [13%] (14%)
                                        • Rand Paul 13% [7%] (7%)
                                        • Chris Christie 12% [13%] (17%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 8% [11%] (8%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 6% [8%] (11%) 
                                        • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (2%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 4% [13%] (11%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 4% [5%] (4%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 11% [10%] (10%)
                                        Moderate
                                        • Chris Christie 28% [28%] (32%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 10% [9%] (9%)
                                        • Jeb Bush 9% [25%] (9%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 9% [1%] (10%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 8% [5%] (1%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 6% [4%] (3%)
                                        • Rand Paul 6% [12%] (12%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 4% [3%] (6%)
                                        • Scott Walker 2% [0%] (5%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 17% [13%] (13%)
                                        Among Men
                                        • Mike Huckabee 20% [16%] (11%)
                                        • Chris Christie 17% [13%] (21%)
                                        • Jeb Bush 14% [14%] (9%)
                                        • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (14%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 13% [8%] (17%)
                                        • Marco Rubio 6% [7%] (7%)
                                        • Scott Walker 5% [8%] (4%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 4% [6%] (2%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 3% [6%] (8%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 5% [8%] (7%)
                                        Among Women
                                        • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (11%)
                                        • Mike Huckabee 15% [16%] (15%)
                                        • Rand Paul 13% [7%] (7%)
                                        • Chris Christie 10% [13%] (16%)
                                        • Ted Cruz 9% [8%] (11%)
                                        • Paul Ryan 7% [11%] (12%) 
                                        • Marco Rubio 6% [9%] (8%)
                                        • Bobby Jindal 5% [5%] (4%)
                                        • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (3%)
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 14% [13%] (14%)
                                        If Mike Huckabee was not a candidate for President in 2016, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?
                                        • Jeb Bush 21% [18%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%]
                                        • Rand Paul 15% [13%] (12%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%]
                                        • Chris Christie 14% [17%] (23%) {16%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%]
                                        • Ted Cruz 13% [11%] (15%) {15%} [20%] (12%) {7%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%]
                                        • Marco Rubio 8% [8%] (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%]  
                                        • Scott Walker 5% [7%] (6%) [3%]
                                        • Bobby Jindal 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] 
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 10% [11%] (10%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%]
                                        Very Conservative
                                        • Jeb Bush 21% [15%] (7%) {15%} [7%] (12%) {14%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 21% [16%] (26%) {26%} [34%] (20%) {8%}
                                        • Rand Paul 18% [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%}
                                        • Scott Walker 11% [12%] (8%) [2%]
                                        • Marco Rubio 9% [10%] (9%) {6%} [9%] (8%) {17%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 8% [7%] (12%) {13%} [12%] (17%) {9%}
                                        • Chris Christie 5% [8%] (11%) {3%} [4%] (7%) {7%} 
                                        • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] (4%) {7%} [5%] (4%) {3%}
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 5% [10%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (9%) {13%}
                                        Somewhat Conservative
                                        • Jeb Bush 26% [16%] (17%) {11%} [14%] (13%) {16%}
                                        • Rand Paul 16% [8%] (9%) {17%} [20%] (16%) {13%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [11%] (14%) {18%}
                                        • Chris Christie 9% [20%] (24%) {16%} [12%] (13%) {14%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 9% [10%] (9%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {6%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 8% [14%] (13%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {11%} 
                                        • Bobby Jindal 4% [6%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {3%}
                                        • Scott Walker 2% [7%] (4%) [2%]
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 13% [11%] (12%) {9%} [11%] (15%) {15%}
                                        Moderate
                                        • Chris Christie 30% [28%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (24%) {25%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 14% [28%] (11%) {18%} [12%] (12%) {17%} 
                                        • Rand Paul 12% [13%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (12%) {9%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 11% [2%] (10%) {8%} [6%] (11%) {7%}
                                        • Bobby Jindal 11% [5%] (3%) {3%} [7%] (4%) {2%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 7% [4%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (8%) {5%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 3% [4%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (6%) {14%}
                                        • Scott Walker 0% [1%] (6%) [6%]
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 13% [14%] (14%) {10%} [9%] (16%) {17%}
                                        Among Men
                                        • Jeb Bush 18% [19%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (16%) {15%}
                                        • Chris Christie 16% [19%] (25%) {16%} [11%] (13%) {15%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 15% [11%] (18%) {15%} [24%] (14%) {9%}
                                        • Rand Paul 15% [19%] (13%) {17%} [18%] (15%) {15%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 10% [6%] (8%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {8%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 9% [5%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {16%}
                                        • Scott Walker 6% [10%] (7%) [4%]
                                        • Bobby Jindal 5% [4%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {4%}
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 6% [8%] (6%) {6%} [7%] (13%) {11%}
                                        Among Women
                                        • Jeb Bush 24% [17%] (12%) {14%} [10%] (10%) {15%}
                                        • Rand Paul 16% [6%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {12%}
                                        • Chris Christie 12% [16%] (20%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {14%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 10% [10%] (10%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {4%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 8% [12%] (15%) {10%} [10%] (13%) {10%}
                                        • Marco Rubio 8% [12%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%) {15%}
                                        • Bobby Jindal 5% [6%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {3%}
                                        • Scott Walker 3% [5%] (5%) [2%]
                                        • Someone else/Not sure 15% [15%] (14%) {10%} [11%] (14%) {19%}
                                        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                                        • Mike Huckabee 62% [64%] (65%) (71%) {70%} [73%] (69%) / 18% [18%] (14%) (12%) {15%} [15%] (15%) {+44%}
                                        • Paul Ryan 58% [58%] {67%} [75%] (78%) {76%} [74%] (47%) / 17% [18%] {13%} [11%] (9%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+41%} 
                                        • Rand Paul 56% [58%] (58%) {58%} [60%] (61%) {55%} [53%] (42%) / 17% [21%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {20%} [22%] (20%) {+39%}
                                        • Jeb Bush 53% [56%] (49%) {56%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [63%] (71%) / 21% [18%] (22%) {17%} [16%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {+32%} 
                                        • Marco Rubio 46% {57%} [62%] (59%) {60%} [62%] (53%) / 19% {13%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {+27%}
                                        • Ted Cruz 43% [45%] (43%) {27%} / 20% [20%] (21%) {13%} {+23%}
                                        • Chris Christie 41% [40%] (47%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [49%] (62%) / 37% [38%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (12%) {+4%}
                                        Survey of 542 Republican primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% [39%] (39%) {42%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [37%] (34%) {34%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 21% [17%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 6% [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

                                        Thursday, March 13, 2014

                                        Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                                        Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {45%} (46%)
                                        • Rand Paul (R) 39% {44%} (42%)
                                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {40%} [41%]
                                        • Chris Christie (R) 35% {45%} [41%]
                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%}
                                            • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%}
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {48%}
                                              • Ted Cruz (R) 35% {41%}
                                              Among Independents
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {43%} (38%)
                                              • Rand Paul (R) 36% {40%} (44%)
                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {35%} [36%]
                                              • Chris Christie (R) 32% {44%} [37%]
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {43%}
                                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 33% {37%}
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {47%}
                                                  • Ted Cruz (R) 30% {33%}
                                                  Among Men
                                                  • Rand Paul (R) 47% {53%} (49%)
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {34%} (39%)
                                                  • Chris Christie (R) 40% {51%} [45%]
                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {30%} [35%]
                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {35%}
                                                      • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {49%}
                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {38%}
                                                      • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {48%}
                                                      Among Women
                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {56%} (53%)
                                                      • Rand Paul (R) 32% {35%} (34%)
                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {49%} [47%]
                                                      • Chris Christie (R) 32% {39%} [37%]
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {57%}
                                                          • Jeb Bush (R) 32% {33%}
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {57%}
                                                          • Ted Cruz (R) 29% {34%}
                                                          Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 55% {53%}
                                                          • No 38% {42%}
                                                          Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 36% {46%}
                                                          • No 41% {30%}
                                                          Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 36% {38%}
                                                          • No 41% {42%}
                                                          Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 33% {36%}
                                                          • No 44% {47%}
                                                          Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 24% {28%}
                                                          • No 40% {42%}
                                                          Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                                                          • Yes 25% {29%}
                                                          • No 62% {62%}
                                                          Survey of 1,411 registered voters was conducted March 5-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% {27%} [29%] Democrat; 25% {28%} [27%] Republican; 39% {40%} [40%] Independent; 7% {4%} [4%] Other/Don't know. Ideology: {41%} Moderate; {39%} Conservative; {16%} Liberal.  Gender: {52%} [51%] Female; {48%} [49%] Male.  Race: {92%} [93%] White; {2%} [3%] Black; {2%} [1%] Hispanic; {3%} [4%] Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                          Wednesday, March 12, 2014

                                                          Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% 
                                                          • Chris Christie (R) 39%
                                                          Among Independents
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% 
                                                          • Chris Christie (R) 43%
                                                          National survey of 678 likely voters was conducted March 7-10, 2014.

                                                          Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                                                          Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                                                          • Mary Burke (D) 45%
                                                          • Scott Walker (R) 45%
                                                          • Some other candidate 5%
                                                          • Undecided 5% 
                                                          Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 10-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

                                                          Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

                                                          PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
                                                          • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
                                                          • Chris Christie (R) 42% [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
                                                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
                                                          • Rand Paul (R) 43% [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [48%]
                                                            • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% [43%]
                                                            Among Independents
                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
                                                            • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
                                                            • Chris Christie (R) 38% [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
                                                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
                                                            • Rand Paul (R) 40% [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [52%]
                                                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 34% [36%]
                                                              Among Men
                                                              • Jeb Bush (R) 49% [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
                                                              • Chris Christie (R) 48% [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
                                                              • Rand Paul (R) 49% [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
                                                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
                                                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%]
                                                                • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% [46%]
                                                                Among Women
                                                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
                                                                • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
                                                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
                                                                • Chris Christie (R) 37% [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
                                                                • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
                                                                • Rand Paul (R) 38% [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
                                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [50%]
                                                                  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% [41%]
                                                                  Among Whites
                                                                  • Jeb Bush (R) 57% [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
                                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
                                                                  • Chris Christie (R) 51% [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
                                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
                                                                  • Rand Paul (R) 54% [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
                                                                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
                                                                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% [54%]
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [38%]
                                                                    Among Blacks
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 86% [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
                                                                    • Jeb Bush (R) 9% [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
                                                                    • Chris Christie (R) 14% [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
                                                                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 87% [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
                                                                    • Rand Paul (R) 11% [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
                                                                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 89% [82%]
                                                                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 9% [9%]
                                                                      Survey of 884 North Carolina voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 23% [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 74% [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                                                                      Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                                                                      PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                                                                      • Mike Huckabee 19% [20%] (15%)
                                                                      • Chris Christie 15% [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
                                                                      • Ted Cruz 14% [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
                                                                      • Jeb Bush 12% [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                                                                      • Rand Paul 12% [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
                                                                      • Scott Walker 6% [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
                                                                      • Marco Rubio 5% [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%
                                                                      • Paul Ryan 4% [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
                                                                      • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
                                                                      • Someone else/Not sure 12% [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
                                                                      Among Men
                                                                      • Chris Christie 16% [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
                                                                      • Ted Cruz 16% [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
                                                                      • Mike Huckabee 15% [15%] (14%) 
                                                                      • Jeb Bush 13% [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
                                                                      • Rand Paul 13% [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                                                                      • Scott Walker 7% [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
                                                                      • Paul Ryan 3% [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%) 
                                                                      • Marco Rubio 3% [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
                                                                      • Bobby Jindal 2% [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
                                                                      • Someone else/Not sure 12% [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)
                                                                      Among Women
                                                                      • Mike Huckabee 24% [25%] (16%)
                                                                      • Chris Christie 13% [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
                                                                      • Jeb Bush 11% [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
                                                                      • Ted Cruz 11% [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]   
                                                                      • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
                                                                      • Marco Rubio 7% [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
                                                                      • Paul Ryan 5% [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)  
                                                                      • Scott Walker 5% [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
                                                                      • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
                                                                      • Someone else/Not sure 14% [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)
                                                                      Survey of 392 Republican primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 35% [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.