Saturday, November 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 33%
  • Marco Rubio 14%
  • Ted Cruz 11%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Nikki Haley 5%
  • Paul Ryan 5%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Unsure 13%
Survey of 811 Republican voters was conducted November 19-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 57% [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% [11%] (7%) {7%} [7%]
  • Joe Biden 9% [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)
  • Bernie Sanders 4%
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Don't know 14% [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
If Hillary Clinton does not run for President:
  • Joe Biden 34% (45%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 25%
  • Bernie Sanders 6%
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (3%)
  • Jim Webb 2% 
  • Don't know 28% (26%)
National survey of 610 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted November 18-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 11% [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
  • Ben Carson 9%
  • Rand Paul 8% [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% [10%]
  • Paul Ryan 7% [8%] (13%) {9%} [10%] (17%) 
  • Scott Walker 6% [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
  • Rick Perry 3% [3%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) 
  • Marco Rubio 3% [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
  • John Kasich 2% [2%] (2%) {2%}
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%]
  • Rob Portman 1%
  • Don't know 19% [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush 14% [9%] (11%) {11%} [13%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [8%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (17%) 
  • Rand Paul 9% [11%] (15%) {18%} [18%] (18%) 
  • Paul Ryan 8% [8%] (12%) {9%} [10%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% [8%] (11%) {14%} [13%]
  • Ben Carson 8%
  • Scott Walker 7% [9%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (2%)   
  • Mike Huckabee 6% [11%]
  • John Kasich 4% [3%] (3%) {2%}
  • Rick Perry 4% [4%]
  • Marco Rubio 4% [7%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (19%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] 
  • Rob Portman 0%
  • Don't know 12% [15%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (14%)
Among Women
  • Jeb Bush 14% [10%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 11%
  • Chris Christie 9% [11%] (11%) {21%} [15%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8% [10%]
  • Rand Paul 6% [10%] (11%) {9%} [17%] (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% [9%] (15%) {9%} [10%] (17%) 
  • Scott Walker 5% [7%] (5%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% [4%] (7%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 2% [3%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% [2%]
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [0%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) 
  • Rob Portman 1%
  • Ted Cruz 1% [7%] (7%) {12%} [7%]
  • John Kasich 0% [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Don't know 25% [25%] (30%) {21%} [22%] (23%)
Survey of 707 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted November 18-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {47%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% {38%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%} {49%} [50%]
    • Paul Ryan (R) 42% {41%} {40%} [38%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 41% {40%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 37% [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
      Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} [41%] (32%) {32%} [40%] (39%) [36%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 40% {42%} [40%] (47%) {48%} [38%] (41%) [36%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} {44%} [44%]
      • Paul Ryan (R) 37% {41%} {42%} [38%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {43%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {41%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 37% {43%} [38%] (43%) {41%} [39%] (41%) {45%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 35% {41%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {42%} [47%] (44%) {42%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 31% {43%} [36%] (39%) {43%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (46%) {47%} [48%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 30% [33%] (37%) {35%} [29%]
      Among Men
      • Chris Christie (R) 49% {42%} [43%] (49%) {47%} [39%] (43%) [41%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {43%} [40%] (33%) {35%} [45%] (38%) [38%]
      • Paul Ryan (R) 49% {46%} {44%} [44%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {42%} {44%} [43%]
      • Rand Paul (R) 49% {46%} [46%] (51%) {46%} [42%] (45%) {49%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {43%} [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%] (42%) {40%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% {46%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {44%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {45%} [43%] (47%) {45%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {42%} [43%] (40%) {40%}
      • Ted Cruz (R) 45% [40%] (45%) {41%} [36%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [45%] (43%) {45%} [49%
      Among Women
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {51%} [51%] (50%) {48%} [52%] (53%) [51%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 37% {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [33%] (36%) [32%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {53%} {55%} [56%]
      • Paul Ryan (R) 37% {37%} {35%} [32%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {54%} [55%] (57%) {54%} [58%] (58%) {57%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 34% {35%} [33%] (32%) {34%} [30%] (32%) {33%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {53%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 35% {35%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {53%} [54%] (57%) {55%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {37%} [33%] (31%) {35%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [55%] (58%) {57%} [58%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 30% [31%] (29%) {31%} [27%]
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Rand Paul 35% {32%} (34%) [30%] (31%) {32%} / 26% {32%} (31%) [33%] (28%) {24%} {+9%}
      • Paul Ryan 36% {36%} (38%) [34%] / 28% {33%} (31%) [36%] {+8%}
      • Mike Huckabee 36% {38%} / 29% {34%} {+7%} 
      • Hillary Clinton 50% {48%} [51%] (53%) [56%] (55%) {52%} (61%) / 45% {43%} [40%] (42%) [36%] (38%) {40%} (34%) {+5%}
      • Chris Christie 38% {37%} [33%] (47%) [40%] (45%) / 33% {38%} [30%] (23%) [22%] (18%) {+5%}
      • Jeb Bush 33% {32%} (31%) {29%} (25%) / 32% {37%} (38%) {29%} (29%) {+1%}
      • Ted Cruz 21% {23%} (27%) [16%] / 29% {26%} (27%) [25%] {-8%}
      National survey of 1,623 registered voters was conducted November 18-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 30% {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 27% {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 12% {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 74% {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 7% {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

      Tuesday, November 25, 2014

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Rasmussen (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Paul Ryan 20% (13%)
      • Scott Walker 20% [5%] (6%)
      • Jeb Bush 18% [12%] (16%)
      • Chris Christie 15% [22%] (21%)  
      • Rand Paul 13% [20%] (15%)
      Survey of likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 20-21, 2014.  Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 62% {70%} [77%] (63%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 17%
      • Joe Biden 7% {10%} [11%] (12%)
      • Jim Webb 2%
      • Martin O'Malley 2%
      Survey of likely Democratic primary voters was conducted November 20-21, 2014. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

      St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 48%
      • Rand Paul 41%
      • Not sure 10%  
      • Hillary Clinton 47%
      • Jeb Bush 39%
      • Not sure 14%
      Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 62%
      • Elizabeth Warren 13%
      • Bernie Sanders 6%
      • Joe Biden 5%
      • Deval Patrick 2%
      • Martin O'Malley 1%
      • Someone else 0%
      • None of the above 2%
      • Not sure 8%  
      Survey of 404 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

      St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Chris Christie 16%
      • Rand Paul 16%
      • Jeb Bush 14%
      • Ben Carson 9%
      • Mike Huckabee 8%
      • Paul Ryan 7%
      • Ted Cruz 5%
      • Bobby Jindal 4%
      • Rick Perry 3%
      • Someone else 1%
      • None of the above 4%
      • Not sure 13%  
      Survey of 407 Republican primary voters was conducted November 12-18, 2014 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

      Thursday, November 20, 2014

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

      Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll
      • Bill Cassidy (R) 56% [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
      • Mary Landrieu (D) 41% [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.
      Inside the numbers:
      Landrieu, a member of the U.S. Senate since 1997, has the support of only 76% of Louisiana Democrats. Twenty-one percent (21%) of the state’s Democrats and 92% of Louisiana Republicans favor Cassidy. He also has a seven-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.
      Cassidy leads nearly two-to-one among men, while the candidates run almost even among women voters. Landrieu is the choice of voters under 40, while the Republican is well ahead among those who are older.
      When voters are asked which candidate they trust more in four major policy areas, Cassidy has double-digit leads in three of them – taxes (52% to 39%), government spending (52% to 38%) and government ethics and corruption (52% to 37%). He leads by nine points in voter trust in the area of social issues (50% to 41%).
      Cassidy is viewed favorably by 55% of all voters in the state and unfavorably by 43%. This includes 27% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 28% with a Very Unfavorable one. For Landrieu, favorables are 43% and unfavorable 55%, including 29% with a Very Favorable view of the three-term senator and 42% with a Very Unfavorable view.

      Wednesday, November 19, 2014

      Poll Watch: Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Survey

      Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll
      • Bill Cassidy (R) 53% (48%)
      • Mary Landrieu (D) 42% (44%)
      • Unsure 5% (8%) 
      Survey of 761 active voters was conducted November 16-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.55 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Monday, November 17, 2014

      Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Survey

      Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll
      • Bill Cassidy (R) 59%
      • Mary Landrieu (D) 38%
      • Unsure 3%
      Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted November 12-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 36% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.  Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male.  Race: 69% White; 25% Black; 2% Hispanic; 1% Asian; 3% Other.

      Thursday, November 13, 2014

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Jeb Bush 15%
      • Ben Carson 15%
      • Chris Christie 11%
      • Mike Huckabee 11%
      • Rand Paul 10%
      • Ted Cruz 10%
      • Marco Rubio 7%
      • Paul Ryan 7% 
      • Rick Perry 3%
      • Someone else/Not sure 11% 
      Survey of 673 Republican primary voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014.  Party ID: 61% Republican; 38% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 40% Somewhat conservative; 26% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 6% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

      Saturday, November 08, 2014

      Fox News 2014 Exit Polls: 2016 Edition

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus
      • Mike Huckabee 18%
      • Rick Perry 17%
      • Jeb Bush 15%
      • Rand Paul 14%
      • Chris Christie 12%
      • Someone else 24%
      Exit poll survey of 352 Republican voters in Iowa was conducted November 4, 2014. 

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus
      • Hillary Clinton 67%
      • Elizabeth Warren 11%
      • Joe Biden 8%
      • Someone else 14%
      Exit poll survey of 249 Democratic voters in Iowa was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary
      • Jeb Bush 22%
      • Rand Paul 21%
      • Chris Christie 15%
      • Mike Huckabee 10%
      • Rick Perry 4%
      • Someone else 29%
       Exit poll survey of 164 Republican voters in New Hampshire was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary
      • Hillary Clinton 64%
      • Elizabeth Warren 18%
      • Joe Biden 4%
      • Someone else 14%
       Exit poll survey of 194 Democratic voters in New Hampshire was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary
      • Mike Huckabee 20%
      • Jeb Bush 18%
      • Chris Christie 12%
      • Rand Paul 12%
      • Rick Perry 11%
      • Someone else 28%
      Exit poll survey of 307 Republican voters in South Carolina was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary
      • Hillary Clinton 68%
      • Joe Biden 16%
      • Elizabeth Warren 5%
      • Someone else 11%
      Exit poll survey of 233 Democratic voters in South Carolina was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Florida 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good president?
      • Yes 40%
      • No 50%
      Exit poll survey of 947 voters in Florida was conducted November 4, 2014. 

      Do you think Marco Rubio would make a good president?
      • Yes 36%
      • No 50%
      Exit poll survey of 689 voters in Florida was conducted November 4, 2014. 

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Texas 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good president?
      • Yes 34%
      • No 50%
      Exit poll survey of 1,055 voters in Texas was conducted November 4, 2014. 

      Do you think Rick Perry would make a good president?
      • Yes 33%
      • No 60%
      Exit poll survey of 1,251 voters in Texas was conducted November 4, 2014. 

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Paul Ryan would make a good president?
      • Yes 46%
      • No 49%
      Do you think Scott Walker would make a good president?
      • Yes 42%
      • No 55%
      Exit poll survey of 852 voters in Wisconsin was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: New York 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good president?
      • Yes 43%
      • No 47%
      Do you think Chris Christie would make a good president?
      • Yes 36%
      • No 58%
      Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good president?
      • Yes 28%
      • No 64%
      Do you think Rand Paul would make a good president?
      • Yes 25%
      • No 61%
      Do you think Rick Perry would make a good president?
      • Yes 19%
      • No 64%
      Exit poll survey of 208 voters in New York was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Rick Santorum would make a good president?
      • Yes 23%
      • No 68%
      Exit poll survey of 585 voters in Pennsylvania was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Arkansas 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Mike Huckabee would make a good president?
      • Yes 50%
      • No 45%
      Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good president?
      • Yes 39%
      • No 56%
      Exit poll survey of 852 voters in Wisconsin was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Fox News 2014 Exit Poll: Kentucky 2016 Presidential Election

      Do you think Rand Paul would make a good president?
      • Yes 34%
      • No 52%
      Exit poll survey of 742 voters in Kentucky was conducted November 4, 2014.

      Tuesday, November 04, 2014

      Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Rick Snyder (R) 48.1% (47.1%) {48.3%} [48.0%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [49%]
      • Mark Schauer (D) 47.4% (46.9%) {43.4%} [45.7%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [37%]
      If you had to make a choice in the race for governor and you did not have the option of saying you’re not sure yet, who would you vote for?
      • Rick Snyder (R) 49%
      • Mark Schauer (D) 47%
      Survey of 1,310 likely voters was conducted November 3, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
      • Gary Peters (D) 52% {52.2%} [51.1%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
      • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% {38.1%} [37.5%] (39%) {43%} [36%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
      • Jim Fulner (L) 2% {3.2%} [2.2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
      • Richard Matkin (UST) 1% {0.8%} [1.0%] (0.5%) {0.5%} [1%] (2%)
      • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1% {0.6%} [1.2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
      • Undecided 4% {5.2%} [7.0%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)
      Survey of 1,224 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Monday, November 03, 2014

      Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Rick Snyder (R) 47.1% {48.3%} [48.0%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [49%]
      • Mark Schauer (D) 46.9% {43.4%} [45.7%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [37%]
      Survey of 1,224 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

      The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
      • Scott Brown (R) 47% (47%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
      • Undecided 4% (4%) {5%} [5%] (6%)
      Among Democrats
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 87% {91%} [82%] (85%)
      • Scott Brown (R) 11% {7%} [16%] (14%)
      Among Republicans
      • Scott Brown (R) 84% {85%} [76%] (76%)
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 13% {11%} [18%] (16%)
      Among Independents
      • Scott Brown (R) 48% {44%} [43%] (46%)
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% {48%} [49%] (45%)
      Among Men
      • Scott Brown (R) 51% {53%} [45%] (46%)
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% {41%} [50%] (47%)
      Among Women
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% {57%} [51%] (52%)
      • Scott Brown (R) 43% {38%} [43%] (42%)
      Horse race, with undecideds asked if they lean Shaheen or Brown:
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
      • Scott Brown (R) 48%
      • Completely undecided 3%
      Among Democrats
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 88%
      • Scott Brown (R) 11%
      Among Republicans
      • Scott Brown (R) 84%
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 14%
      Among Independents
      • Scott Brown (R) 49%
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46%
      Among Men
      • Scott Brown (R) 52%
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44%
      Among Women
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54%
      • Scott Brown (R) 44%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Scott Brown 44% {44%} [43%] (42%) / 46% {48%} [53%] (49%) {-2%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
      • Approve 47%
      • Disapprove 46%
      Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% (36%) {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 27% (31%) {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 44% (33%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

      The candidates for Governor this fall are Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican Walt Havenstein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
      • Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
      • Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
      • Undecided 4%
      Horse race, with undecideds asked if they lean Hassan or Havenstein:
      • Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
      • Walt Havenstein (R) 46%
      • Undecided 3%
      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Maggie Hassan’s job performance?
      • Approve 51%
      • Disapprove 39%
      Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Walt Havenstein?
      • Favorable 40%
      • Unfavorable 33%
      Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% Democrat; 27% Republican; 44% Independent/Other.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Paul Davis (D) 46% [48%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (42%)
      • Sam Brownback (R) 45% [44%] (42%) {38%} [37%] (40%)
      • Keen Umbehr (L) 4% [5%] (6%) {7%} [9%]
      • Undecided 4% [3%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (18%)
      Horse race, with Umbehr supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Brownback or Davis:
      • Paul Davis (D) 49% (45%) {45%} [44%]
      • Sam Brownback (R) 47% (44%) {39%} [39%]
      • Not sure 3% (12%) {15%} [17%] 
      Survey of 963 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
      • Greg Orman (I) 47% (46%) {44%} [41%] (23%)
      • Pat Roberts (R) 46% (47%) {41%} [34%] (32%)
      • Randall Batson (L) 3% (3%) {5%} [4%] (3%)
      • Undecided 4% (4%) {10%} [15%] (17%)
      Horse race, with Batson supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Roberts or Orman:
      • Greg Orman (I) 49% {46%} [46%] (43%) 
      • Pat Roberts (R) 47% {43%} [36%] (33%)
      • Not sure 3% {11%} [17%] (24%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Greg Orman 43% {42%} [39%] (24%) / 41% {38%} [19%] (12%) {+2%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Roberts’ job performance? 
      • Approve 34% {37%} [29%] (27%)
      • Disapprove 54% {47%} [46%] (44%)
      Survey of 963 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 53% (53%) {52%} [51%] (50%) Republican; 27% (31%) {28%} [26%] (30%) Democrat; 20% (16%) {20%} [22%] (20%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

      The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
      • Joni Ernst (R) 48% (44%) {40%}
      • Bruce Braley (D) 45% (42%) {41%}
      • Douglas Butzier (L) 1% (2%) {2%} 
      • Rick Stewart (I) 1% (1%) {2%}
      • Bob Quast 0% (1%) {0%}
      • Ruth Smith 0% (0%) {1%}
      • Undecided 5% (10%) {14%}
      Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Braley or Ernst: 
      • Joni Ernst (R) 49% {48%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [39%] (35%)
      • Bruce Braley (D) 46% {47%} [48%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
      • Undecided 5% {5%} [5%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (23%)
      Among Men
      • Joni Ernst (R) 53% [49%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (43%)
      • Bruce Braley (D) 42% [48%] (43%) {40%} [39%] (41%)
      • Undecided 5% [3%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (16%)
      Among Women
      • Bruce Braley (D) 50% [48%] (44%) {44%} [50%] (42%)
      • Joni Ernst (R) 46% [46%] (42%) {35%} [31%] (28%)
      • Undecided 4% [7%] (15%) {21%} [20%] (30%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Joni Ernst 46% [48%] (42%) {36%} [27%] (9%) / 45% [47%] (46%) {46%} [32%] (12%) {+1%}
      • Bruce Braley 42% [47%] (37%) {37%} [29%] (31%) / 45% [46%] (44%) {41%} [29%] (25%) {-3%}
      Survey of 1,265 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 37% {37%} [37%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 35% {41%} [36%] (35%) {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 27% {22%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
      • Kay Hagan (D) 46% [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
      • Thom Tillis (R) 44% [45%] {46%} (43%) [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%} 
      • Sean Haugh (L) 5% [4%] {4%} (5%) [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}
      Among Men
      • Thom Tillis (R) 48% {53%} (49%) [48%] {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
      • Kay Hagan (D) 44% {39%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
      • Sean Haugh (L) 3% {6%} (6%) [6%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}
      Among Women
      • Kay Hagan (D) 47% {54%} (49%) [49%] {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
      • Thom Tillis (R) 40% {40%} (37%) [33%] {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
      • Sean Haugh (L) 7% {3%} (5%) [4%] {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}  
      Horse race, with Haugh supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Hagan or Tillis:
      • Kay Hagan (D) 48% (47%) [46%] {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%
      • Thom Tillis (R) 46% (44%) [42%] {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Thom Tillis 36% {42%} (37%) [34%] {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% {50%} (49%) [48%] {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-12%}
      Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
      • Approve 41% (41%) [43%] {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
      • Disapprove 49% (50%) [48%] {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}
      Survey of 1,333 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 43% [44%] {46%} (44%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 35% [36%] {34%} (37%) [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 22% [21%] {19%} (19%) [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      • Nathan Deal (R) 47% [48%] (46%)
      • Jason Carter (D) 43% [45%] (41%)
      • Andrew Hunt (L) 4% [4%] (4%)
      • Undecided 6% [3%] (9%)
      Survey of 975 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 40% [40%] (38%) Republican; 35% [37%] (37%) Democrat; 25% [24%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Race: 64% [64%] (64%) White; 29% [29%] (28%) Black; 7% [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

      The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican David Perdue, Democrat Michelle Nunn, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
      • David Perdue (R) 46% {46%} [47%] (45%)
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 45% {46%} [47%] (43%)
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 5% {4%} [3%] (5%)
      • Undecided 5% {4%} [4%] (8%)
      Horse race, with Swafford supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Perdue or Nunn:
      • David Perdue (R) 48% (48%)
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 48% (45%)
      • Not sure 5% (6%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Michelle Nunn 45% (41%) / 41% (42%) {+4%}
      • David Perdue 43% (39%) / 41% (43%) {+2%}
      Survey of 975 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. Party ID: 40% {41%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 35% {38%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 25% {21%} [24%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Race: 64% {65%} [64%] (64%) White; 29% {29%} [29%] (28%) Black; 7% {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Nathan Deal (R) 50.8% [47.5%] (47.7%) {44.5%} [43.7%] (40%) {40.0%} [41%] (43%
      • Jason Carter (D) 44.5% [46.1%] (45.2%) {44.8%} [46.8%] (44%) {46.6%} [49%] (39%)
      • Andrew Hunt (L) 2.5% [3.5%] (4.9%) {5.4%} [4.3%] {4.5%} [4%]
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Gender: 55.1% [55%] Female; 44.9% [45%] Male. Race: 63.1% [64.4%] White; 30.4% [29.3%] Black; 6.5% [6.3%] Other. Results from the poll conducted October 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
      • David Perdue (R) 49.8% [47.4%] (47.3%) {46.0%} [43.4%] (40%) {43.0%} [42%] (37.5%)
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 45.6% [46.6%] (47.4%) {45.7%} [46.0%] (47%) {46.6%} [48%] (33.0%) 
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 2.4% [2.7%] (3.3%) {3.9%} [6.4%] (3%) {3.8%}
      Among Men
      • David Perdue (R) 59.8% [55.4%] (51.7%) {51.3%}
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 34.9% [38.8%] (41.6%) {39.3%}
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 3.1% [3.0%] (4.1%) {4.6%}
      Among Women
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 54.3% [53.1%] (52.5%) {51.2%}
      • David Perdue (R) 41.7% [40.8%] (43.4%) {41.4%}
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 1.8% [2.5%] (2.6%) {3.3%}
      Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted November 2, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Gender: 55.1% [55%] Female; 44.9% [45%] Male. Race: 63.1% [64.4%] White; 30.4% [29.3%] Black; 6.5% [6.3%] Other. Results from the poll conducted October 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      • Nathan Deal (R) 47% (43.8%) {43.7%} [44.4%] (43%)
      • Jason Carter (D) 44% (43.9%) {43.4%} [39.9%] (39%)
      • Andrew Hunt (L) 5% (4.6%) {4%} [6.8%] (7%)
      • Undecided 4% (3.7%) {9%} [8.9%] (11%)
      Survey of 1,463 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for Fox5 and Morris News.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

      • David Perdue (R) 48% (44.9%) {47.0%} [50.1%] (47%)
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 45% (47.3%) {42.6%} [39.8%] (40%)
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% (4.1%) {3.6%} [5.0%] (8%)
      • Undecided 4% (3.7%) {6.8%} [5.1%] (5%)
      Survey of 1,463 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for Fox5 and Morris News.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
      • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {49%} [50%] (50%)
      • Scott Brown (R) 47% {45%} [44%] (44%)
      • Undecided 4% {5%} [5%] (6%)
      Survey of 679 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 36% {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 33% {39%} [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

      • David Perdue (R) 46% [47%] (45%)
      • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% [47%] (43%)
      • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (5%)
      • Undecided 4% [4%] (8%)
      Survey of 533 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 41% [40%] (38%) Republican; 38% [37%] (37%) Democrat; 21% [24%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Race: 65% [64%] (64%) White; 29% [29%] (28%) Black; 6% [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

      PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
      • Kay Hagan (D) 46% {47%} (46%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
      • Thom Tillis (R) 45% {46%} (43%) [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%} 
      • Sean Haugh (L) 4% {4%} (5%) [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}
      Survey of 738 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 44% {46%} (44%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 36% {34%} (37%) [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 21% {19%} (19%) [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

      If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, Kay Hagan, Democrat or Sean Haugh, Libertarian?
      • Thom Tillis (R) 46% 
      • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
      • Sean Haugh (L) 6%
      • Not sure 4%
      If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Thom Tillis, Republican, or Kay Hagan, Democrat?
      • Thom Tillis (R) 48% (44%
      • Kay Hagan (D) 45% (44%)
      • Not sure 7% (12%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Kay Hagan 49% (37%) / 48% (49%) {+1%}
      • Thom Tillis 47% (15%) / 49% (33%) {-2%}
      Survey of 511 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.34 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Democrat; 34% (32%) Republican; 23% (24%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 43% (43%) Conservative; 39% (39%) Moderate; 14% (13%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

      PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
      • Paul Davis (D) 48% (42%) {42%} [39%] (42%)
      • Sam Brownback (R) 44% (42%) {38%} [37%] (40%)
      • Keen Umbehr (L) 5% (6%) {7%} [9%]
      • Undecided 3% (10%) {14%} [15%] (18%)
      Survey of 752 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.