Poll Watch: American Research Group Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% (51%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (44%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 3% (4%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 96% (92%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 2% (5%)
• Other 0% (0%)
• Undecided 2% (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 95% (87%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 3% (8%)
• Other 0% (1%)
• Undecided 2% (4%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% (47%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% (47%)
• Other 3% (2%)
• Undecided 5% (4%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 56% (51%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41% (45%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 2% (3%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54% (56%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41% (39%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 4% (4%)

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (50%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% (46%)
• Other 2% (1%)
• Undecided 4% (3%)

Age 50+

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% (43%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% (52%)
• Other 0% (1%)
• Undecided 1% (4%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 11-14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (36%) Democrat; 34% (32%) Republican; 31% (32%) Independent. Gender: 46% (47%) Men; 54% (53%) Women.  Age: 18-49: 54% (55%); 50 and older: 46% (45%). Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.